Nurse Amanda says she's still way ahead
The Portland City Council incumbent has announced the results of another poll that she's taken, and she says she's as sure as she was last fall that she's far out in front of challenger Mary Nolan. We must admit that Nolan, who's well connected with the Goldschmidt clan, hasn't been making much of a splash with all the money she's raised. No Google ads, no Facebook ads, no TV ads, nada. By now, we would have expected to see a lot more.
Nolan still has something like $169,000 in the bank, though. Most ballots won't be going out for another month; maybe she's waiting until April 1 to start spending her war chest in earnest. The incumbent has around $42,000 to play with, and she had to lend her campaign $50,000.
In any event, polls that candidates release are not terribly convincing. We'll believe that Nurse Amanda's way ahead, if and when the real votes are counted and that's what they show. We may vote for her as the lesser of two evils, but we think she's grossly overestimating her popularity. And if Nolan's up for attack ads, they are practically going to write themselves.
| Posted at 8:45 AM | Permalink |
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Comments (4)
I've always thought Nolan was being overestimated, a la Ginny Burdick. She's well-known in Salem, but not in Portland. Fritz is out in the community a lot, which goes a long way in local elections like these.
It would be nice to see an independent poll, but even if the lead was only 30 points, or 20 points, at what point is it too late for Nolan to catch up? I'm not sure that attack ads will cause any large swing in this race.
Posted by Miles | March 21, 2012 9:28 AM
"Nolan's campaign manager, said Fritz's poll results don't reflect their own campaign polling."
Gee, what a surprise. I wouldn't under-estimate the GOLD-schmidt factor. They'll blow Fritz out of the water if it becomes an arms race.
Personally, I'm awating the Bogdanski endorsement (I know the lesser of two evils is still evil) before I cast my vote.
Portland is getting more cartoonish than Portlandia by the minute.
Posted by Steve | March 21, 2012 10:27 AM
You can hear most of the candidates make their case at the Rose City Park/CNN Candidates Fair on Apr 7, 10 - 2PM. See the RCP neighborhood website at
http://www.rcpna.org/apm/article.php?id=418
Posted by Fred Stovel | March 21, 2012 8:44 PM
I'm no fan of Nurse Amanda but at least she did try to oppose the SamRandy Cabal on occasion.
And given how slimy her opponent is well it's vote for her or write in some Bozo
Posted by tankfixer | March 22, 2012 10:38 PM