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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on June 9, 2008 9:40 AM. The previous post in this blog was Wheels coming off in SoWhat. The next post in this blog is Which memorials are o.k. to trample?. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Monday, June 9, 2008

Portland bond rating up a notch

Given how much debt the City of Portland is piling on these days, it's a wonder that the rating agencies aren't downgrading some of its bonds. But it appears just the opposite is happening. Last week, in response to our inquiry, the city revealed that a $17.5 million bond refinancing deal about to go down tomorrow will do so at an improved rating over the debt that's being paid off.

According to the city debt manager, Eric Johansen, Moody's has rated the new bonds Aa1 -- which is a notch above the Aa2 rating that the original bonds, issued in 1998, received. The "refunding" bonds are of a smaller amount than the original debt, and they have a shorter term -- perhaps those factors explain the rating upgrade. In any event, it will be interesting to see what kind of interest rate the new bonds get. The bonds being paid off bore interest at rates ranging from 4.6 to 5.0 percent. Both sets of I.O.U.'s, original and new, generate tax-exempt interest for the bondholders. Both are backed by the full faith and credit of the city -- namely, its entire taxing power.

Meanwhile, Moody's has signaled that the two major bond insurance companies, MBIA and Ambac, are probably about to get a rating downgrade, which means that the city's longstanding practice of buying an even higher rating -- Aaa -- through insurance has probably been killed off once and for all.

Comments (1)

If the city were a company, you would tend to look at its bond rating secondarily to its stock price. If stock price is in steep, steep decline heading towards zero, you should get nervous about holding the company's bonds.

Where most cities have gotten into trouble is in financial derivatives such as interest rate swaps. I don't think PDX cityhall has played much in this arena. Moreover, I wonder if the city could tap the Port of Portland assets/revenues through taxes and fees if it got squeezed. If it could, this spending party could go on for sometime. Then again, the progressive electorate who control Portland may be willing to have cityhall increase everyone's tax bill. Adams did win outright by 57% or more. Quite an endorsement for more borrow, spend and tax.




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