Now that its clear that the residents of Lake Oswego don't want a streetcar, the pushers of the project are going to doctor up the liars' budget and take another run at them. They'll keep gyrating until they get the thing built. And to think it's all about more taxpayer-subsidized Homer Williams condos -- as if that guy hasn't done enough damage to the public. What foolishness.
Comments (14)
It's funny how O's Brad Schmidt says that the 38% supporting the trolley are "slightly less than half" are supportive. Would he use those words if he was talking about some candidate who failed, losing by 38%? He'd call it a "landslide" for the winner.
And what is more significant, the 38% supporting it is after the question is asked "would you support it if the price was $200 Million versus the last estimate of $1/2 Billion. What a controlled poll and what a strange analysis.
When it is put up for a vote it will be defeated. And to refute the few posters who claim the citizens of Portland's trolley segment want the trolley, it should be put up for a vote noting how SW Macadam will be strangled with the trolley, zoning heights and density will be increased and their livable neighborhood will suffer.
This is the most telling point in the entire article:
"Local leaders had an incentive to value the already-owned land as high as possible, because the larger the overall project cost, the more federal money that could be available.
. . .
"It's likely that officials will now suggest the project costs far less."
So, let's get this straight: They had "incentive" to misrepresent the facts to cheat the federal government (which operates with our taxes to, by the way) and when the voters rejected it, they will come back and "suggest" lower costs.
How about this: GUARANTEE a low cost and make the contractor eat the cost overruns? You can't do that, then maybe you table this project until there is actually a demand or need for it.
I brought it up the other day and maybe someone can find the comment by Bill McDonald, as I recall, when he was referring to elected officials about their addiction to pet projects. Perhaps the same here, it becomes an addiction and they cannot stop. Must be a charge to take a swath of land, redo it and make a bundle too.
Remember when I was a kid in a plowed sand pile creating a network of roads, and designing a city...kinda fun, but can't imagine it would have been fun to tear down something others had built especially if others vehemently objected.
"Engineers are in the process of reworking the project and believe that the actual cost of the project could be half as much, or between $200 and $250 million dollars."
You must be stupid to beleive them. Out of the blue they can cut 50% just like that in two weeks. This gives me as much confidence in this number as their first pass.
Why does it matter? Once it gets started it'll cost 4x as much as they told us and they know that.
Dunthorpe, Lake Oswego, Clackamas County, you thought you were immune, but this streetcar and the MLR mean you're about to get zoned for condos, apartments, apartments, and condos, you're going to be hobbled to keep you from straying out of your neighborhoods unless you use expensive public transit, and the best part is you get to pay for it.
Putting aside the subsidies Mr. Grumpy, would you still be opposed to new condos if there weren't any public subsidies involved? If condo builders decided that there was actually a market for their product - people who wanted that choice of lifestyle? Or would you still be opposed to it for ideological reasons?
The part of the survey that fries me is the question that specifically asks what the pain threshold of the LO taxpayers is. Since it was determined to be around $200M, then that is the amount the new and improved cost estimate will be. (It doesn't hurt that Mayor Jack Hoffman and Adam Davis of Davis, Hibbits & Migdhal are associates in Portland's exclusive group, The Junto).
For anyone who has read or written bids or cost estimates, it is very easy to come within a target number. Just take a look at what is left out. Oh yeah, you can't see what isn't there. Leave out contingency factors, lowball the materials and labor, use today's pricing rather than projected costs, leave out items that you know will be necessary later, yada, yada. The report that was due 2 months ago couldn't possibly be ready until after the survey told the city what the cost numbers had to be.
With so many careers and so much money riding on this train and others around the country, they are very hard to kill. But it is hunting season.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
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14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
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Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
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Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
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La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
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Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
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Conundrum 2012
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Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
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L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
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Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
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Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
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Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
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Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
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Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
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Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
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Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
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Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
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David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (14)
It's funny how O's Brad Schmidt says that the 38% supporting the trolley are "slightly less than half" are supportive. Would he use those words if he was talking about some candidate who failed, losing by 38%? He'd call it a "landslide" for the winner.
And what is more significant, the 38% supporting it is after the question is asked "would you support it if the price was $200 Million versus the last estimate of $1/2 Billion. What a controlled poll and what a strange analysis.
When it is put up for a vote it will be defeated. And to refute the few posters who claim the citizens of Portland's trolley segment want the trolley, it should be put up for a vote noting how SW Macadam will be strangled with the trolley, zoning heights and density will be increased and their livable neighborhood will suffer.
Posted by Lee | November 22, 2011 12:15 PM
The Portland area government must so dysfunctional as to virtually not even exist. How else can we be such a haven for predators and prey?
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | November 22, 2011 12:52 PM
So you didn't like what we wanted to sell you in the first place. Okay so we'll just spend more of your money trying to sell it to you again.
Posted by Evergreen Libertarian | November 22, 2011 12:53 PM
This is the most telling point in the entire article:
"Local leaders had an incentive to value the already-owned land as high as possible, because the larger the overall project cost, the more federal money that could be available.
. . .
"It's likely that officials will now suggest the project costs far less."
So, let's get this straight: They had "incentive" to misrepresent the facts to cheat the federal government (which operates with our taxes to, by the way) and when the voters rejected it, they will come back and "suggest" lower costs.
How about this: GUARANTEE a low cost and make the contractor eat the cost overruns? You can't do that, then maybe you table this project until there is actually a demand or need for it.
Free advice, you don't even have to vote for me.
Posted by Mike (the other one) | November 22, 2011 1:23 PM
Wonder how much the consultants are being paid to keep this turkey alive?
Posted by pdxjim | November 22, 2011 1:47 PM
Homer should retire...he's old enough!
Now if only we could retire the rest of the public crooks.
I guess their PERS pensions aren't large enough yet!
Posted by Portland Native | November 22, 2011 2:11 PM
Homer should retire...he's old enough!
I brought it up the other day and maybe someone can find the comment by Bill McDonald, as I recall, when he was referring to elected officials about their addiction to pet projects. Perhaps the same here, it becomes an addiction and they cannot stop. Must be a charge to take a swath of land, redo it and make a bundle too.
Remember when I was a kid in a plowed sand pile creating a network of roads, and designing a city...kinda fun, but can't imagine it would have been fun to tear down something others had built especially if others vehemently objected.
Posted by clinamen | November 22, 2011 3:35 PM
The voters of Lake Oswego do get to vote up or down on the boondoggle, but it is not a binding vote. The city council can still approve the project.
Posted by the other steve | November 22, 2011 3:47 PM
Don't even wait for the vote if that is the case...
Start the recall!
Posted by clinamen | November 22, 2011 6:17 PM
2nd most telling sentence:
"Engineers are in the process of reworking the project and believe that the actual cost of the project could be half as much, or between $200 and $250 million dollars."
You must be stupid to beleive them. Out of the blue they can cut 50% just like that in two weeks. This gives me as much confidence in this number as their first pass.
Why does it matter? Once it gets started it'll cost 4x as much as they told us and they know that.
Posted by Steve | November 22, 2011 6:25 PM
Dunthorpe, Lake Oswego, Clackamas County, you thought you were immune, but this streetcar and the MLR mean you're about to get zoned for condos, apartments, apartments, and condos, you're going to be hobbled to keep you from straying out of your neighborhoods unless you use expensive public transit, and the best part is you get to pay for it.
Politicians to the public... "screw you".
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | November 22, 2011 7:11 PM
Putting aside the subsidies Mr. Grumpy, would you still be opposed to new condos if there weren't any public subsidies involved? If condo builders decided that there was actually a market for their product - people who wanted that choice of lifestyle? Or would you still be opposed to it for ideological reasons?
Posted by Benjamin J. | November 22, 2011 8:54 PM
The part of the survey that fries me is the question that specifically asks what the pain threshold of the LO taxpayers is. Since it was determined to be around $200M, then that is the amount the new and improved cost estimate will be. (It doesn't hurt that Mayor Jack Hoffman and Adam Davis of Davis, Hibbits & Migdhal are associates in Portland's exclusive group, The Junto).
For anyone who has read or written bids or cost estimates, it is very easy to come within a target number. Just take a look at what is left out. Oh yeah, you can't see what isn't there. Leave out contingency factors, lowball the materials and labor, use today's pricing rather than projected costs, leave out items that you know will be necessary later, yada, yada. The report that was due 2 months ago couldn't possibly be ready until after the survey told the city what the cost numbers had to be.
With so many careers and so much money riding on this train and others around the country, they are very hard to kill. But it is hunting season.
Posted by Nolo | November 23, 2011 12:56 AM
Streetcar surveys with integrity??
Posted by clinamen | November 23, 2011 9:33 AM