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Sunday, September 5, 2010

There's always something happening and it's usually quite loud

Yowsa, could the Democrats actually lose control of the U.S. House of Representatives? I hadn't realized it was that bad. What a disaster.

It appears that two races in our neck of the woods could make a difference. Up in the 'Couv, Brian Baird is stepping down from his gig as worldwide scuba diving guide. He's often seemed like a Republican in disguise, but if you complain about it you're told, "He has to be that way -- he's from a conservative district." We are about to see how true that is. Coming in to pitch for the Dems is Denny Heck, a high-powered media and internet expert and longtime figure in state politics. Over on the GOP side, they're running Jaime Herrera, a youthful state legislator with a Molly Bornado vibe. Heck and Herrera ran close in the "top two" primary, but now it's down to just the two of them.

Meanwhile, back in Beaverton, David "Wu Wu Wu" Wu is up for a seventh term, this time trying to swat down Rob Cornilles, a highly polished Tualatin sports marketing consultant whose halo comes in part from his BYU diploma. Wu hasn't had a decent opponent in a while, but Cornilles has come out swinging against Wu's record while promising to vote moderately himself. The district has historically been a bit of a wild card, and this is no ordinary election cycle. A lot of voters are none too pleased with the "new normal." Wu is doubtlessly sweating -- at least a little -- for a change.

Comments (16)

Losing the House could actually be best in the long run. If the GOP takes control of Congress, the next two years will be on their tab. That provides the President leverage for re-election in 2012 to paint the GOP as the bad guys. If Demos retain control, Obama will be running against his party, as the Demos will be blamed for the expected continuing problems with the economy. The heavy lifting has already been done - TARP, the stimulus bill, reforming financial regulation, health care. The immigration issue could probably be handled by executive action alone. With Congress under GOP control, and if Obama can perfect his partison negotiating skills, he could be well positioned for a second term.

A moderate from BYU? Yeah, as likely as me being the next pope.


I look forward to the waste of tax $$ with politically motivated GOP investigations of everything Obama did in the past two yrs, backed by subpoenas.

Jack where have you been? It isn't just Fox News reporting a possible bad day on November 2 for Democrats. It's all over the net, and on ABC and CBS as well. And there are several Democrat Senators - including Harry Reid in Nevada - that might not get re-elected either.

I've been right here -- which is where you aren't going to be if you keep up that tone.

Everybody knows it's going to be bad -- what I didn't realize is that control of the House was in question.

...and watch Scott Bruun take the fifth congressional district...

Once again, the choice of candidates for elected office takes my breath away.

Glad to see Ms Bordanaro found her true calling in begging for public money.

Look at the bright side:

We will no longer be in danger of them doubling or tripling our energy prices with some crackpot idea to cut CO2 emissions.

Electricity prices will not "skyrocket" (except here when they close Boardman and tear out all the dams.)

And maybe Al Grope will find a new scare to peddle.


Perhaps I should add that if the Rs take power, we will just get a new set of crackpot ideas, but they will be further away from implementation.

The trick is to switch parties before either one gets too far down the crazy road.


It's about time that the House leadership, i.e. Nancy Pelosi, acknowledged the fact that the Dems are going to have to fight to keep the House in November. As recently as mid July she threw a fit when Robert Gibbs suggested that there was a possibility that the Dems could lose their majority in the House.

The only reason that the Dems aren't in worse shape than they already are is that the tea party managed to get some fairly unelectable candidates onto the ballot. It may turn out that the woman who saves the House for the Dems is Sarah Palin

Rasmussen has, as usual, come out with their assessment of the likely results come November, and if you thought Pelosi was going to hold onto that big gavel afterwards, it looks as though you're in for a big surprise.

They also note that Republicans have a shot at the Senate.

Given what we can see at this moment , Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net . This is a “net” number since the GOP will probably lose several of its own congressional districts in Delaware, Hawaii, and Louisiana. This estimate, which may be raised or lowered by Election Day, is based on a careful district-by-district analysis, plus electoral modeling based on trends in President Obama’s Gallup job approval rating and the Democratic-versus-Republican congressional generic ballot (discussed later in this essay). If anything, we have been conservative in estimating the probable GOP House gains, if the election were being held today.

In the Senate, we now believe the GOP will do a bit better than our long-time prediction of +7 seats. Republicans have an outside shot at winning full control (+10), but are more likely to end up with +8 (or maybe +9, at which point it will be interesting to see how senators such as Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and others react). GOP leaders themselves did not believe such a result was truly possible just a few months ago. If the Republican wave on November 2 is as large as some polls are suggesting it may be, then the surprise on election night could be a full GOP takeover.

Wouldn't that be a kick in the pants?

On its face, it looks as though a lot of folks are indicating that they've about had enough of Hope'n'Change™.

At the same time, Republicans don't seem to garner much more respect than your average used-car salesman. If they're elected and repeat their past mistake of acting like little Democrats once in office, a third party becomes a more likely option than we've seen until now.

Excuse me! Morris Udell and his entire family are Mormans. Don't be so ignorant if you are going to rant. That said, I have had it with WU, a member of the Do nothing gang enjoying the good life back in D.C.

b - Did you mean Udall? He's long dead. I am thinking liberal Mormans are as extinct as liberal Repugnicants. Just sayin....

I just hope Wu's opponent finds the carpenter Mrs Wu tried to stiff for the work he did on her house, and makes a campaign ad using him. I'd love to see Wu lose.

The dems called on the weekend for money (I've given generously in the past, in an effort to apply a tourniquet to the hemorrhage of the Bush years).

I was folding laundry, my husband answered the phone. He says, "it's the dems, you want to talk to them?" I reply "tell them I'm voting straight Republican, in protest."
He repeats this to the caller. The caller starts to argue with him. He smiles. Then he says "gosh, it seems like you're making the argument that we have our facts wrong, but actually, it sounds like you're just blaming stuff on others, as usual. Oregon has the highest unemployment rate in the country, and democrats run the show here, so we're going to hold you responsible for this mess."

Yup, get ready for the Looney Tune Party to take control again!

Can't wait for the country to go all the way down the tubes, I guess that's the only way change will happen, when everybody is in despair, not just 20% of people who sit idly at home waiting for their unemployment benefits to expire.

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