For some 'dogs, it's fourth and long
It's time for the players in our charity pro football underdog pool (current standings here) to start wracking their brains figuring out which of the following underdogs (in caps) can win its game outright, without the benefit of the point spread:
16.5 DETROIT at Minnesota
14.5 ST. LOUIS vs. New Orleans
11 CLEVELAND vs. Baltimore
9.5 TAMPA BAY at Miami
9 SEATTLE at Arizona
6.5 JACKSONVILLE at NY Jets
6.5 CINCINNATI at Pittsburgh
6.5 BUFFALO at Tennessee
4.5 WASHINGTON vs. Denver
3 CHICAGO at San Francisco (Thursday)*
3 GREEN BAY vs. Dallas
3 NEW ENGLAND at Indianapolis
2.5 PHILADELPHIA at San Diego
2 CAROLINA vs. Atlanta
2 KANSAS CITY at Oakland
Readers, feel free to chime in with suggestions.
* - This pick due by kickoff, 5:20 p.m. Thursday.
UPDATE, 11/13, 12:47 a.m.: No one took Chicago, and so everyone's still in the hunt for Sunday.
Comments (19)
I gotta go with Buffalo again ... maybe to my dismay. I am sorely tempted to say Tampa Bay over Miami but something also makes me reluctant there --- I'll be kicking myself if the Bucs do it again.
WHAT the heck is with the line only seeing Denver as 4.5 better than Washington? Wow, that is some serious slam on Denver. I realize that Pittsburgh thrashed them, but geez . . .
Posted by George Anonymuncule Seldes | November 10, 2009 8:51 PM
The Broncos are on the road. The Redskins played a better second half than Atlanta.
Posted by Jack Bog | November 10, 2009 8:55 PM
I'll make my official pick later, but check out 16.5 for the Detroit game. I haven't been closely tracking underdogs beyond the past few weeks, but that's a pretty extreme point spread. The gambling market has relegated the Lions to the second division.
Posted by Doug | November 10, 2009 10:38 PM
I'm going with the 49ers over the Bears on Thursday night. They're playing in front of the local fans and have the national TV stage as well. Plus Mike Singletary is putting some drive into the franchise after some horrible years.
Posted by Dave A. | November 11, 2009 4:30 AM
The gambling market has relegated the Lions to the second division.
And deservedly so, although it's worse when you're playing Mr. Wonderful.
Posted by Jack Bog | November 11, 2009 5:03 AM
Slow and steady wins the race. I'll take the Patriots.
Posted by Hank Stern | November 11, 2009 6:36 AM
I'll take Seattle. I don't really like any of the games this week. Seattle seems like the best value for what's out there.
Posted by Michael Welch | November 11, 2009 10:07 AM
Dave, I thought you had to pick an underdog to play in this pool. If I understand Jack's "dogs in CAPS" rule, this says
3 CHICAGO at San Francisco (Thursday)*
that you have to pick da bears, not SF.
Posted by George Anonymuncule Seldes | November 11, 2009 10:31 AM
George, Dave's not in the pool. And we welcome anyone's opinion on any game.
Posted by Jack Bog | November 11, 2009 10:33 AM
For my two safer picks of the week, I will take Green Bay to rebound at home and beat Dallas, and I will take Carolina at home against Atlanta. For my Hail Mary pick of the week...Cleveland picks up some Monday Night Mojo and knocks off the fading Baltimore Ravens.
Posted by Rich | November 11, 2009 1:06 PM
I picked Denver for a 3-point "lock" last week, so I'm can't talk too loudly. But I like each of the 6.5 point 'dogs. All are good matchups even taking into account home field advantage. Jacksonville and New York are 4-4, Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are 6-2 - with Cincy having a better record on the road, and the 3-5 Bills have outplayed 1-7 Tennessee. Can't see Tampa beating Miami or any of the higher point games panning out, and the rest don't offer enough bang for the buck. I'll send my final pick later this week.
Posted by jmh | November 11, 2009 1:38 PM
I'm tempted to go with St. Louis as they are at home and I don't believe that New Orleans will go undefeated this season. Therefore, maybe it's their week to lose. I don't think I'll lock that in yet.
Seattle is probably a better pick. Arizona is playing well, but I think Seattle could have some positive momentum after coming back and winning last week. Not going to lock that one in either.
Posted by Gary | November 11, 2009 3:14 PM
I will take SEATTLE because how bad can they be?
For those of you who asked Asheville is known as Portland East, or Portland South in addition to Paris of the Mountains. No Portlanders were harmed in the making of those names.
Posted by Sid | November 12, 2009 5:42 PM
I'll take Tampa Bay. How much does it rain in Asheville? Maybe I'll move.
Posted by Gary K | November 13, 2009 10:42 AM
Well, it does not rain much, but when it does the mountains funnel it all to a couple of locations, which flood like crazy. Of course, people keep building and re-building in those areas. Not much of a learning curve here.
Posted by Sidney R. Finkel | November 13, 2009 1:08 PM
I have it on good authority that Chad Ochocinco is going to double his bribe and offer two bucks to the referee this week. That should make the difference for Cincinnati. Put me down for the Bengals.
Posted by Rick | November 13, 2009 10:09 PM
I'm going to take Buffalo coming off a bye with a 2 game road win streak. And, depending on how many times they replay the Music City Lateral during the game, I may not live to pick next week.
Posted by Dan F | November 14, 2009 6:28 AM
Ok Jack - put me down for Buffalo. I'm sure I'll regret it but I gotta pick something.
Posted by jmh | November 14, 2009 8:26 AM
I'm thinking the Jets are just about done between the injuries and Sanchez hitting the rookie wall. Jacksonville please.
Posted by Gordon | November 14, 2009 10:30 AM