Reader poll: Will Obama win it all this week?
If Hillary doesn't take both Texas and Ohio this week, she's probably a goner. Although she may continue to hang around, without those two victories she'll have a hard time becoming the Democratic presidential nominee.
But will it come pass? Will Obama take either of those states?
| Posted at 12:59 PM | Permalink |
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Comments (8)
I predict an 8 pt Obama win in TX, and a 5 pt Obama loss in Ohio. And she'll thump him in Rhode Island.
When the dust clears, she'll have no hope of catching him in pledged delegates. Then we'll see the death throes.
Posted by Sebastian | March 2, 2008 4:13 PM
I predict hearing Clinton operatives on the news Wednesday morning telling us that the great state of Texas has followed the path blazed by Idaho, South Carolina, Wisconsin and Other States That Don't Really Count.
Posted by joel | March 2, 2008 6:17 PM
My prediction is that they will both be close, with Clinton taking Ohio by a slightly larger margin than she takes Texas. However, it will be so close that Clinton's goose will be cooked. She needs to win both states to stay in the race at all, and she needs a really big win in Texas to make any delegate-count gains on Obama. She's not going to get a big enough win in Texas.
As I tried to say the other week in Can you say "President McCain" (before my comment got eaten by an approval system) I think Texas will break her campaign.
Posted by Alan DeWitt | March 2, 2008 6:17 PM
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Posted by Jack Bog | March 2, 2008 6:27 PM
I think Obama will win in Texas. I have (formerly registered Republican) friends who have changed their registration to Demo and are voting for Obama. I confess I was shocked when they told me. I would never have expected that!
Posted by portland native | March 2, 2008 9:04 PM
Both elections will be close, but it doesn't matter. Clinton may get the most votes in Ohio and Texas but with the proportional way the Democrats divvy up delegates, they will split the delegate count about evenly. So Obama will maintain his lead in delegates.
Posted by Gil Johnson | March 2, 2008 9:24 PM
Since HRC has the whole super-delegate thing rigged in her favor, she would have to lose one or both of these if she's going to go away any time soon.
The "death throes" of a Clinton campaign, as Sebastian put it, will not be pretty.
Posted by Jack Bog | March 2, 2008 9:26 PM
And it appears that will hold true, given the fact she said she's not done after tomorrow night if she wins 'any' state.
Here comes the big ugly fight about Florida and Michigan.
Posted by Sebastian | March 3, 2008 12:12 PM