We spent a couple of days recently in the company of some card-carrying members of the progressive majority in academe, from different parts of the country. One professor, who's writing a book about what we owe future generations, kept reminding all of us that not all deficit spending by government is bad. Lost in the rhetoric about bankrupting future generations, he said, are projects that will benefit those generations, and for which they should be willing to pay.
We can disagree about which projects meet that criteria, but in general, he has a point. One of the local tourist attractions we showed the group was the Bonneville Dam -- a great place to kill an hour or so on a rainy afternoon. I'm sure that when Roosevelt was talking about building that thing, he ran into some opposition, including fiscal conservatives. "But look how well it turned out," said our friend.
Don't worry -- we're not going to go all soft on junk like the Portland streetcar. And given that the city is $3 billion in the hole on pensions and retiree health care, a project would have to rank high on the durability scale to justify itself at this stage in Portland history. But we'll concede his point: that sometimes, deficit spending isn't a bad thing.
Comments (21)
Great Post
Many folks, radical conservatives in particular say government should be run more like a business. Agreed.
A business will borrow money when the future benefits of the project return more than the cost (including the cost of the capital expended). Government should operate the same way. Investment projects, like infrstructure, education etc can be debt financed when their benefits to the future are greater than their costs. This is not bankrupting future generations, it is enhancing their quality of life.
If governments borrows to finance current operations, or to provide tax cuts,or for semi-useless projects this is not prudent and it does burden future generations.
Debt is not the biggest way in which the current "Greediest Generation" in pushing burdens onto future generations. By polluting the environment and by reckless use of natural resources we are placing a far greater burden on generations to come then we are doing with the national debt. If those who express concern about leaving our children and grandchildren indebted were really sincere, they would be the most ardent environmentalists of all.
There is a difference between issuing bonds and running deficits. Even if I have enough money to pay cash for my house, I may have some very good reasons to get a mortgage loan.
And it's OK to issue bonds for "permanent" infrastructure projects (e.g. Bonneville). Sorry, Sam, a bioswale is not a permanent infrastructure project. Even worse is bankrupting the children with bonds to pay for current retirement obligations. Talk about getting nothing for something.
Oh well, we're spending our children's inheritance. Après moi, le déluge! Wipe hands on pants.
Even a fiscal conservative might want to see a new bridge built before the old one falls into the river. Objections are raised when the price doubles for silliness.
As a "fiscal conservative" I don't necessarily disagree with the premise that there is good and bad debt. The real trick is in evaluating which is which.
Over the past 30 years, the federal government has gone into debt for everything imaginable, most of which is annual operating expenses. Virtually none of the debt accrued has been for infrastructure. In the coming years, we can look forward to borrowing to pay retirement benefits, just as we are already borrowing to pay medical benefits.
The current Administration has dramatically increased the amount of "bad" debt while very slightly increasing the amount of "good" debt. It's unacceptable and unsustainable.
Good point. For what it's worth, things like the Streetcar aren't forward thinking or designed to be here for generations. I don't know a single person who thinks it's a good idea, and only a few knew it was even happening. Gone are the days when epic, forward thinking projects are planned years in advance. This city in particular applies bandaid to bandaid with no real remedy to problems real or imagined.
What goes? Bonneville was "good" infrastructure but the proposed NJ to NYC tunnel is "bad" according to Jack. The criteria seem to have been similar: financial mechanism (bonds and direct federal aid), anticipated long-term need. What have I missed in the argument that praised Gov. Christie?
The BPA was modeled after the TVA. The issue was the privatization of electricity vs government control. Wendell Willkie ran against FDR in the 1940 election. He changed from democrat to republican not long before that and his background was with the holding companies(private). The running mate was Charles McNary of Oregon.
Referring to my previous commment, if there is really an established need (not just two sides ginning up arguments) AND this doesn't get to be a political favor / cost plus deal (like the Tram starting at
I mean you can always find a pro argument for any project and I think Christie wasn't convinced of either being valid.
What have I missed in the argument that praised Gov. Christie?
The fact that the NJ-NY tunnel really isn't needed. There is already fine mass transit between New Jersey and New York City. More rail cars and ferry boats arguably may be needed (even that's subject to debate), but a new tunnel? That's just somebody's toy.
By polluting the environment and by reckless use of natural resources we are placing a far greater burden on generations to come then we are doing with the national debt. If those who express concern about leaving our children and grandchildren indebted were really sincere, they would be the most ardent environmentalists of all.
Sure. Hydropower isn't a "renewable" resource, and the Boardman coal plant must be shut down - so that the coal that provides most of the power required to run our "emissionless" streetcars and light rail "trains" can be shipped to China, where they'll burn it in a much more "environmentally friendly" manner than we. They get cheap power; we get their emissions: it's an environmentalist's dream!
A nostalgic look at Bonneville Dam or Timberline Lodge is a look at what is no longer possible with today's planners and enviros.
Heck we can no longer even build a Freemont or Glenn Jackson Bridge.
Neither of those would be possible today.
The CRC and Sellwood bridge plans are both needed.
The cost is made so high and design so defective that we have spent over $100 million in planning the Columbia River Crossing only to get a conceptual drawing of a bridge never before engineered or built with no idea how much it will cost.
The preferred Sellwood replacement bridge design has the same two current 12 ft driving lanes but add 18 1/2 feet in each directions for ped/bike crossing . http://www.sellwoodbridge.org/DraftEIS.aspx Granted there is only 4 ft or so right now for ped/bike crossing. But do we need to increase that to 37 feet and no added driving lanes?
Currently 34,000 vehicle cross that bridge daily and the new one will have 37 ft for pedestrian and bike traffic and 24 ft for vehicles?
And down river that marvelous no vehicle bridge for the coming Milwaukie Light Rail.
What's a few billion in debt for future generations.
The BPA is a government enterprise which year and year out breaks even, repaying its treasury interest rate and principle obligations in full. In fact, its charter requires it to pursue financial self sufficiency. Many years it faces being privatized if it doesn't meet this requirement. So, this is kind of the exception to the rule most government tends towards waste. Compare this against TriMet's farebox revenue which covers only 20% of its operating costs while its employees get healthcare plans more than 50% higher than even other state government employees on average. So, you've picked out one of the rare exceptions for giving some positive feedback to deficit spending.
I would grant you this, though. When there is a run on the banks, the federal government's deficit spending on the financial sector is very useful in staunching an economic collapse. So, we do have to concede merit to some of the Keynsian arguments. No doubt about it.
I think that is the position of a minority that doesn't even include the NJ governor. There is currently a single rail tunnel (PATH aside) that is some 100 years old, has just two tracks and operates at capacity.
Agree with Mr. Clark except for characterization of the steps taken to prevent runs on banks as Keynesian. Saving the economy from an uncontrolled meltdown caused by spiralling out-of-control asset sales is more about protecting the currency (a monetary issue) than it is about spurring economic growth in the Keynesian sense.
As financially successful as the the Bonneville Power Administration has been over the years (at least those with wet winters) you don't have to look too far to find counter examples. There is always WHOOPS.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (21)
Great Post
Many folks, radical conservatives in particular say government should be run more like a business. Agreed.
A business will borrow money when the future benefits of the project return more than the cost (including the cost of the capital expended). Government should operate the same way. Investment projects, like infrstructure, education etc can be debt financed when their benefits to the future are greater than their costs. This is not bankrupting future generations, it is enhancing their quality of life.
If governments borrows to finance current operations, or to provide tax cuts,or for semi-useless projects this is not prudent and it does burden future generations.
Debt is not the biggest way in which the current "Greediest Generation" in pushing burdens onto future generations. By polluting the environment and by reckless use of natural resources we are placing a far greater burden on generations to come then we are doing with the national debt. If those who express concern about leaving our children and grandchildren indebted were really sincere, they would be the most ardent environmentalists of all.
Posted by Sid | October 11, 2010 1:14 PM
There is a difference between issuing bonds and running deficits. Even if I have enough money to pay cash for my house, I may have some very good reasons to get a mortgage loan.
And it's OK to issue bonds for "permanent" infrastructure projects (e.g. Bonneville). Sorry, Sam, a bioswale is not a permanent infrastructure project. Even worse is bankrupting the children with bonds to pay for current retirement obligations. Talk about getting nothing for something.
Oh well, we're spending our children's inheritance. Après moi, le déluge! Wipe hands on pants.
Posted by Garage Wine | October 11, 2010 1:17 PM
Even a fiscal conservative might want to see a new bridge built before the old one falls into the river. Objections are raised when the price doubles for silliness.
Posted by Gibby | October 11, 2010 1:34 PM
As a "fiscal conservative" I don't necessarily disagree with the premise that there is good and bad debt. The real trick is in evaluating which is which.
Over the past 30 years, the federal government has gone into debt for everything imaginable, most of which is annual operating expenses. Virtually none of the debt accrued has been for infrastructure. In the coming years, we can look forward to borrowing to pay retirement benefits, just as we are already borrowing to pay medical benefits.
The current Administration has dramatically increased the amount of "bad" debt while very slightly increasing the amount of "good" debt. It's unacceptable and unsustainable.
Posted by John Fairplay | October 11, 2010 1:44 PM
Good point. For what it's worth, things like the Streetcar aren't forward thinking or designed to be here for generations. I don't know a single person who thinks it's a good idea, and only a few knew it was even happening. Gone are the days when epic, forward thinking projects are planned years in advance. This city in particular applies bandaid to bandaid with no real remedy to problems real or imagined.
Posted by Jake | October 11, 2010 2:01 PM
What goes? Bonneville was "good" infrastructure but the proposed NJ to NYC tunnel is "bad" according to Jack. The criteria seem to have been similar: financial mechanism (bonds and direct federal aid), anticipated long-term need. What have I missed in the argument that praised Gov. Christie?
Posted by Don | October 11, 2010 2:06 PM
"are projects that will benefit those generations, and for which they should be willing to pay."
I agree mostly with BPA, but sometimes these get to be more revenue-generation than public service (a la PWB.)
No, the Timbers and their ballpark won't benefit generations to come.
Posted by Steve | October 11, 2010 2:12 PM
The BPA was modeled after the TVA. The issue was the privatization of electricity vs government control. Wendell Willkie ran against FDR in the 1940 election. He changed from democrat to republican not long before that and his background was with the holding companies(private). The running mate was Charles McNary of Oregon.
Posted by dan | October 11, 2010 2:17 PM
Referring to my previous commment, if there is really an established need (not just two sides ginning up arguments) AND this doesn't get to be a political favor / cost plus deal (like the Tram starting at
I mean you can always find a pro argument for any project and I think Christie wasn't convinced of either being valid.
Posted by Steve | October 11, 2010 2:20 PM
Of course, it will cost 1000+ times its initial development to remove it in 10-30 years when the fishies win.
Posted by PJB | October 11, 2010 3:17 PM
What have I missed in the argument that praised Gov. Christie?
The fact that the NJ-NY tunnel really isn't needed. There is already fine mass transit between New Jersey and New York City. More rail cars and ferry boats arguably may be needed (even that's subject to debate), but a new tunnel? That's just somebody's toy.
Posted by Jack Bog | October 11, 2010 3:21 PM
By polluting the environment and by reckless use of natural resources we are placing a far greater burden on generations to come then we are doing with the national debt. If those who express concern about leaving our children and grandchildren indebted were really sincere, they would be the most ardent environmentalists of all.
Sure. Hydropower isn't a "renewable" resource, and the Boardman coal plant must be shut down - so that the coal that provides most of the power required to run our "emissionless" streetcars and light rail "trains" can be shipped to China, where they'll burn it in a much more "environmentally friendly" manner than we. They get cheap power; we get their emissions: it's an environmentalist's dream!
Posted by Max | October 11, 2010 3:48 PM
"projects that will benefit those generations"
Sounds like Vera about the Tram.
A nostalgic look at Bonneville Dam or Timberline Lodge is a look at what is no longer possible with today's planners and enviros.
Heck we can no longer even build a Freemont or Glenn Jackson Bridge.
Neither of those would be possible today.
The CRC and Sellwood bridge plans are both needed.
The cost is made so high and design so defective that we have spent over $100 million in planning the Columbia River Crossing only to get a conceptual drawing of a bridge never before engineered or built with no idea how much it will cost.
The preferred Sellwood replacement bridge design has the same two current 12 ft driving lanes but add 18 1/2 feet in each directions for ped/bike crossing .
http://www.sellwoodbridge.org/DraftEIS.aspx Granted there is only 4 ft or so right now for ped/bike crossing. But do we need to increase that to 37 feet and no added driving lanes?
Currently 34,000 vehicle cross that bridge daily and the new one will have 37 ft for pedestrian and bike traffic and 24 ft for vehicles?
And down river that marvelous no vehicle bridge for the coming Milwaukie Light Rail.
What's a few billion in debt for future generations.
Posted by Ben | October 11, 2010 4:07 PM
The BPA is a government enterprise which year and year out breaks even, repaying its treasury interest rate and principle obligations in full. In fact, its charter requires it to pursue financial self sufficiency. Many years it faces being privatized if it doesn't meet this requirement. So, this is kind of the exception to the rule most government tends towards waste. Compare this against TriMet's farebox revenue which covers only 20% of its operating costs while its employees get healthcare plans more than 50% higher than even other state government employees on average. So, you've picked out one of the rare exceptions for giving some positive feedback to deficit spending.
I would grant you this, though. When there is a run on the banks, the federal government's deficit spending on the financial sector is very useful in staunching an economic collapse. So, we do have to concede merit to some of the Keynsian arguments. No doubt about it.
Posted by Bob Clark | October 11, 2010 4:17 PM
a new tunnel? That's just somebody's toy.
I think that is the position of a minority that doesn't even include the NJ governor. There is currently a single rail tunnel (PATH aside) that is some 100 years old, has just two tracks and operates at capacity.
Posted by Allan L. | October 11, 2010 4:53 PM
Agree with Mr. Clark except for characterization of the steps taken to prevent runs on banks as Keynesian. Saving the economy from an uncontrolled meltdown caused by spiralling out-of-control asset sales is more about protecting the currency (a monetary issue) than it is about spurring economic growth in the Keynesian sense.
As financially successful as the the Bonneville Power Administration has been over the years (at least those with wet winters) you don't have to look too far to find counter examples. There is always WHOOPS.
Posted by Grady Foster | October 11, 2010 5:00 PM
(PATH aside)
Why on earth would you put PATH "aside"? It's a major rail service, and it could expand its frequency of service.
Portland has no mass transit (Tri-Met aside).
Posted by Jack Bog | October 11, 2010 5:05 PM
Deficit spending only lasts until the bagholders quit buying your bonds. When the music stops, ALL the chairs get taken away at once.
It may not happen to the State of Oregon, it should not happen to the United States. It's already too late for the City of Portland.
Posted by Mister Tee | October 11, 2010 8:14 PM
"has just two tracks and operates at capacity."
Fine, raise the rates until it is jsut below capacity and use the exces to fund for a new rail line. I mean what the heck, PWB does it that way.
Posted by Steve | October 11, 2010 8:38 PM
I would put PATH aside because that's where it is.
Posted by Allan L. | October 12, 2010 3:55 PM
Après moi, le déluge!
Regina Spektor fan, GW?
Posted by Miles | October 12, 2010 5:31 PM