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Thursday, October 2, 2008

Is Bristol Palin really pregnant?

I know, I know, Obama said not to write any more about Bristol Palin, but to me it's important to determine whether her mother either faked a pregnancy or endangered her own child during childbirth.

The more I look at photos of Bristol Palin from the Republican Convention, the less convinced I am that she was really five months pregnant at the time. Here are a couple of "lovebird" shots from the Huffington Post. Is that a baby under there, or some sort of padding? The breasts look particularly odd. Is that pregnancy, or a towel?

Then look at this one from the same night, where she's standing up. What are those two small bumps in her dress? Is that from a baby, or is it from buckles or straps of some kind?

Finally, in that same photo, look at the baby's face. Does he look like Sarah or Todd Palin? To me he looks like Levi Johnston.

UPDATE, 8:14 p.m.: We note parenthetically that in the post-debate photo op tonight, Trig Palin was around, at one point being carried by Piper. But Bristol was absent. Uh huh.

Comments (53)

Has Palin released her medical records yet?

Of course not. No tax returns, either.

There's going to be a tragic miscarriage in a day or two . . . . and no wedding.

I thought Sunday was Google bait day. :-)

Count me among the "Trig is Bristol's and not Sarah's" camp. The tinfoil hat dude in me expects October to be a big month for young Bristol. wedding.

That would be a bad thing for Todd. I could easily see the RNC cutting the guy a check to say "I do" and make it last for six months or so.

oh. my. gawd. This is getting good.

Incidentally, mp97303, neith Obama or Biden have released their medical records either.

My only question is, why? I don't understand what they have to gain with so many fake pregnancies.

"The breasts look particularly odd." Maybe when she turns 18 I will think about that Jack.

"What are those two small bumps in her dress? Is that from a baby, or is it from buckles or straps of some kind?"

Standard issue Republican Chastity belt.

neith Obama or Biden have released their medical records either.

I must have missed something, Butch. Which of them is claiming to have been pregnant?

"I don't understand what they have to gain with so many fake pregnancies."

I think it has more to do with what they have to lose.

She looks pregnant to me; the height of the "baby bump" is correct for this stage of pregnancy. As for her boobs: they're huge, and if she's a busty girl to begin with, this, too, would be normal.

My complicated mathematical formulas say stay away from this one, Jack. Confirmation bias running amok - you want to think there's a big scandal here. I'll put the line at -2000 that there isn't.


Obama claimed he quit smoking. But he still looks gaunt to me. I demand he release all of his medical records to prove he no longer smokes. If he doesn't, he's obviously hiding the fact that he has lung cancer.

"I must have missed something, Butch. Which of them is claiming to have been pregnant?"


Just because they are men doesn't mean that they can't be pregnant.

It would be hard to run for President while male and pregnant (even as an African American). But I bet Oprah would have you on her show, even if you were a Republican.

"If he doesn't, he's obviously hiding the fact that he has lung cancer."


Obama is not hiding lung cancer, but I think he is hiding his pregnancy.

And the guy is doing an amazing job at hiding this pregnancy. I have been studying his beach photos, and it is simply uncanny how thin he looks.

The Obamas do a much better job of hiding their pregnancies than the Palins. That alone makes them a better choice in November.

Those arrows are pointing to the Bristol Stump

'You know the kid in Bristol is as sharp as a pistol
When you see the Bristol stump'

"What are those two small bumps in her dress? Is that from a baby, or is it from buckles or straps of some kind?"

No, they're the "wires" that Dubya was wearing to feed him intelligible answers during the debates with Kerry. In this case, they're being used as subliminal programming for the Palin pre-born child.

I wonder at which big box store in Wasilla Levi went to buy (charge on somebody's' credit card)the engagement looking ring on Bristol's left ring finger?
Is it real or is it a CZ?
I feel sorry for all the kids. Can you imagine having Sarah and Todd for parents? Ghastly!

Got to give you credit, Jack. You don't shy away.

I want the truth about the candidate for vice president. I don't feel as though we have been given the truth.

Butch said:Incidentally, mp97303, neith Obama or Biden have released their medical records either.

Actually, Obama released his medical records on 5/29/2008. Still waiting for Biden.

Maybe Joe will ask her about it tonight?

the height of the "baby bump" is correct for this stage of pregnancy

It sure wasn't that way for her mother. When her mother was five months pregnant (supposedly), she was skinny as a rail.

Perhaps the issue is paternity, not maternity. This would also fit the facts. Weight might have been controlled and labor induced to conceal the actual conception date. A 6 lb 2 oz baby is full term for some women.

I'm about 4-1/2 months pregnant right now and that's basically what my body looks like right now. With the exception of my chest, because whatever bra she's wearing isn't doing her any favors.

I'm glad you keep bringing up this issue. It is good to know I'm not the only one who believes Sarah P is not Trig's birth mother. Aside from yours, another blog I now check daily is:

Her chest does look weird. Her boobs are huge (perhaps more like a second pregnancy???) but it also looks like there's extra up high on her chest. Not sure what to think about the bumps. That dress sure doesn't look comfortable. The thing that looks most like she's pregnant however is her face. You can tell she's gained weight by her face.

This is horrible that we're discussing this. But something is wrong with this picture and I hope someday we know the truth...we deserve it in this case.

I want the truth about the candidate for vice president. I don't feel as though we have been given the truth.

But we all know we've been given the truth about the Democratic candidate for president.

Actually, Bristol looks like a nursing mother to me. She might be wearing a nursing bra.

I think this is such an idiotic and absurd obsession Jack. Really, who started this pathetic conspiracy theory anyway! Why do you think it's not Sarah's baby? What is there to gain by claiming Bristol's baby as her own? It doesn't alleviate any potential embarrassment in having an unwed, pregnant daughter now that Bristol's pregnant. As for checking out her breasts! How disgustingly invasive. Women's breasts are varied enough let alone when they are pregnant! Doesn't it make more sense for a 40 something mother to give birth to a Down's Syndrome baby than a teenager? This is really ridiculous. I'm done now. Who really cares about the pregnancy? I would rather focus on some real issues. (Besides, my sister-in-law's aunt KNOWS Sarah personally and saw her and talked to her when she was pregnant. People who know her must know the difference. Has anyone in Alaska validated this rumor at all?) This is probably about as real a thought (and I use this term loosely) as the thinking that the NYC Twin Towers coming down was an inside job. Idiocy!!!!!

Who really cares about the pregnancy?

If the governor of Alaska publicly faked pregnancy and childbirth, she should not be vice president of the United States. And so every American voter should care.



I don't care about it because it's kind of like reading the tabloids. If I thought there was any valid credibility to it, I would care. But I just don't see any actual evidence coming in to support this. If someone out there has any valid evidence other than shear speculation, than I will start caring then...

There's lots of evidence, and together it's pretty compelling. Here are four sites that collect a lot of the known facts and open questions:

You can go with reality-based or faith-based. It's up to you.

BTW, the day there are two babies whose parentages are conclusively confirmed to be as Sarah Palin describes them, I'll apologize to the world.

Conclusively? You mean beyond the birth certificate?

You can't really trust DNA tests, Jack. They are only as good as the chain of custody and the lab's willingness to allow 24 hour monitoring by proctors. And think how similar Bristol's and Sarah's DNA print must look. If there is a vast moose-wing conspiracy, they're clearly sophisticated enough to fake a DNA test.

Maybe we need a Today camera crew in the room with Bristol while she delivers the Levi protege? They could do a really tasteful behind the shoulder shot with a solar filter and light volume: nothing too graphic. Or maybe you could just stand in the delivery room with a webcam, broadcasting the truth directly to tin-foil hat wearers around the world?

Perhaps you could invite Governor Palin to sit in your living room and nurse young Trig until he has a full tummy. And hope he doesn't barf all over the floor, which is what I feel like doing every time this conspiracy rears its ugly head again.

Clearly, a forty-something grandmother wouldn't be producing breast milk if she faked a pregnancy, right?

A quick lookup of incidence of Down Syndrome by maternal age finds 1/41 (or 1/35 per NIH) at age 44 and 1/1923 at age 20 (can't find numbers for a teenage mother).

From a strictly maternal age standpoint, Sarah has more than a 47X greater chance of being the mother.

Jack, you don't seem like such a crazy gambler.

BTW, the day there are two babies whose parentages are conclusively confirmed to be as Sarah Palin describes them, I'll apologize to the world.

That's the ticket, Jack.

And don't go all Clintonesque on us with "well, that depends on how you define 'conclusively confirmed'.

How about this:

If the teenager has a mis-carriage I'll concede that you may have something real here, and VP Palin should address this issue, since it won't go away until she does.

If the teenager does in fact 'deliver a baby'(1), will you concede that she is that baby's mother?

Is that fair to all involved?

(1) Or are you going to behave as Mister Tee describes? If so, then nothing, no facts of any kind, will convince you that you might be wrong.

>>A quick lookup of incidence of Down Syndrome by maternal age finds 1/41 (or 1/35 per NIH) at age 44 and 1/1923 at age 20 (can't find numbers for a teenage mother).>>

I bet 1/1923 is MUCH, MUCH higher than the incidence of mothers who have a surprise announcement of a pregnancy at 6 months and elect to fly for 8 hours with amniotic leakage during a high risk pregnancy and bypass better-equipped hospitals for a small hometown one for delivery by a now-missing, non-specialist doc with no announcement of the delivery.

>>>I bet 1/1923 is MUCH, MUCH higher ...>>>

Continuing... Any one of the steps in Gov. Palin's pregnancy story is completely plausible and reasonable. All of the steps together stretch the plausibility to the breaking point.

Now add to that the photo of the loving kiss that Levi (link below) gives to baby Trig, Levi being the teen boyfriend of Palin's daughter, and plausibility stretches even more. Some 17-yr old boys might give their girlfriends' baby brothers kisses on their foreheads, but as one more detail in this whole chain it sure looks more like a dad kissing a son than a kid kissing his girlfriend's brother.

I think little Trig is Bristols'. She doesn't look pregnant now and when Sarah Palin was said to be pregnant, she didn't show.

Anyways, Trig I like. Sarah Palin I don't like. It is sad the little guy was born into such a screwball family.

Jack - this was golden, loved it!

with no announcement of the delivery.

There was an announcement on the hospital website, but they took it down. Try this Google search:

If Trig were Bristol's baby, isn't it likely someone in their town would know this? Was Bristol shipped off somewhere for months and months? I don't really care, I'm just puzzled.

The reports are that Bristol was pulled out of high school for something like five months with "mononucleosis."

Is it just me, or does Bristol look increasingly LESS pregnant?

Check out this video as they arrive for the debate in St. Louis -

That's not Bristol -- it's Willow.

Bristol's far out of the public eye -- again. Don't expect to see much of her again before the election.

If you look at the video of Palin at the hockey game in Philly, you'll also see Bristol Palin and the little sister. Bristol should be abot 6-7 months along at this point and yet she doesn't appear to be pregnant at all. And they don't seem to care that its obvious as hell that she's not pregnant. This woman is shameless. Did she think that we forgot her daughter was supposed to be pregnant?!!?

Are you sure that was Bristol? Was it Bristol and Piper, or Willow and Piper? Willow's grown up quite a bit and looks a lot like her older sister now (except for the "pregnancy" belly).

Here's the video. That's Willow and Piper Palin. As usual, Bristol is not around.

Bristol has showed up, at least from a distance. She was video'ed going into a hotel in New York City with her mom on Saturday. All the latest sightings are tracked (or should that be trigged) here.

I really think that Trig is Bristol's son. Look at what is known:

1. There are no pictures that show her looking pregnant at 7 months pregnant.

2. Bristol was out of school during the time that she would have started showing until the baby was born.

3. If she was quarantined during this time, how did she get pregnant.

4. What pregnant woman travels late in pregnancy? Palin claims to have had her water break in Texas.

5. What pregnant woman has her water break in Texas and then gets on a plane going to Alaska, especially one who has had multiple births which can lead to faster births.

Bottom line is that the baby is not Sarah's. She claimed the baby in either an effort to help save her daughter's rep, something my grandparents did for their daughter, or she is trying to make sure that her daughter's special needs child is covered under her health insurance policy, this is a kid who may end up with high medical bills, and Bristol has no job.

In Vino Veritas

Lange, Pinot Gris 2015
Kiona, Lemberger 2014
Willamette Valley, Pinot Gris 2015
Aix, Rosé de Provence 2016
Marchigüe, Cabernet 2013
Inazío Irruzola, Getariako Txakolina Rosé 2015
Maso Canali, Pinot Grigio 2015
Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Kirkland, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2016
Cantele, Salice Salentino Reserva 2013
Whispering Angel, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2013
Avissi, Prosecco
Cleto Charli, Lambrusco di Sorbara Secco, Vecchia Modena
Pique Poul, Rosé 2016
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Rosé 2016
Stoller, Pinot Noir Rosé 2016
Chehalem, Inox Chardonnay 2015
The Four Graces, Pinot Gris 2015
Gascón, Colosal Red 2013
Cardwell Hill, Pinot Gris 2015
L'Ecole No. 41, Merlot 2013
Della Terra, Anonymus
Willamette Valley, Dijon Clone Chardonnay 2013
Wraith, Cabernet, Eidolon Estate 2012
Januik, Red 2015
Tomassi, Valpolicella, Rafaél, 2014
Sharecropper's Pinot Noir 2013
Helix, Pomatia Red Blend 2013
La Espera, Cabernet 2011
Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2013
Locations, Spanish Red Wine
Locations, Argentinian Red Wine
La Antigua Clásico, Rioja 2011
Shatter, Grenache, Maury 2012
Argyle, Vintage Brut 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16 Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2014
Benton Hill, Pinot Gris 2015
Primarius, Pinot Gris 2015
Januik, Merlot 2013
Napa Cellars, Cabernet 2013
J. Bookwalter, Protagonist 2012
LAN, Rioja Edicion Limitada 2011
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2009
Denada Cellars, Cabernet, Maipo Valley 2014
Marchigüe, Cabernet, Colchagua Valley 2013
Oberon, Cabernet 2014
Hedges, Red Mountain 2012
Balboa, Rose of Grenache 2015
Ontañón, Rioja Reserva 2015
Three Horse Ranch, Pinot Gris 2014
Archery Summit, Vireton Pinot Gris 2014
Nelms Road, Merlot 2013
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris 2014
Conn Creek, Cabernet, Napa 2012
Conn Creek, Cabernet, Napa 2013
Villa Maria, Sauvignon Blanc 2015
G3, Cabernet 2013
Chateau Smith, Cabernet, Washington State 2014
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16
Willamette Valley, Rose of Pinot Noir, Whole Clusters 2015
Albero, Bobal Rose 2015
Ca' del Baio Barbaresco Valgrande 2012
Goodfellow, Reserve Pinot Gris, Clover 2014
Lugana, San Benedetto 2014
Wente, Cabernet, Charles Wetmore 2011
La Espera, Cabernet 2011
King Estate, Pinot Gris 2015
Adelsheim, Pinot Gris 2015
Trader Joe's, Pinot Gris, Willamette Valley 2015
La Vite Lucente, Toscana Red 2013
St. Francis, Cabernet, Sonoma 2013
Kendall-Jackson, Pinot Noir, California 2013
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Napa Valley 2013
Erath, Pinot Noir, Estate Selection 2012
Abbot's Table, Columbia Valley 2014
Intrinsic, Cabernet 2014
Oyster Bay, Pinot Noir 2010
Occhipinti, SP68 Bianco 2014
Layer Cake, Shiraz 2013
Desert Wind, Ruah 2011
WillaKenzie, Pinot Gris 2014
Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2013
Des Amis, Rose 2014
Dunham, Trautina 2012
RoxyAnn, Claret 2012
Del Ri, Claret 2012
Stoppa, Emilia, Red 2004
Primarius, Pinot Noir 2013
Domaines Bunan, Bandol Rose 2015
Albero, Bobal Rose 2015
Deer Creek, Pinot Gris 2015
Beaulieu, Rutherford Cabernet 2013
Archery Summit, Vireton Pinot Gris 2014
King Estate, Pinot Gris, Backbone 2014
Oberon, Napa Cabernet 2013
Apaltagua, Envero Carmenere Gran Reserva 2013
Chateau des Arnauds, Cuvee des Capucins 2012
Nine Hats, Red 2013
Benziger, Cabernet, Sonoma 2012
Roxy Ann, Claret 2012
Januik, Merlot 2012
Conundrum, White 2013
St. Francis, Sonoma Cabernet 2012

The Occasional Book

Marc Maron - Waiting for the Punch
Phil Stanford - Rose City Vice
Kenneth R. Feinberg - What is Life Worth?
Kent Haruf - Our Souls at Night
Peter Carey - True History of the Kelly Gang
Suzanne Collins - The Hunger Games
Amy Stewart - Girl Waits With Gun
Philip Roth - The Plot Against America
Norm Macdonald - Based on a True Story
Christopher Buckley - Boomsday
Ryan Holiday - The Obstacle is the Way
Ruth Sepetys - Between Shades of Gray
Richard Adams - Watership Down
Claire Vaye Watkins - Gold Fame Citrus
Markus Zusak - I am the Messenger
Anthony Doerr - All the Light We Cannot See
James Joyce - Dubliners
Cheryl Strayed - Torch
William Golding - Lord of the Flies
Saul Bellow - Mister Sammler's Planet
Phil Stanford - White House Call Girl
John Kaplan & Jon R. Waltz - The Trial of Jack Ruby
Kent Haruf - Eventide
David Halberstam - Summer of '49
Norman Mailer - The Naked and the Dead
Maria Dermoȗt - The Ten Thousand Things
William Faulkner - As I Lay Dying
Markus Zusak - The Book Thief
Christopher Buckley - Thank You for Smoking
William Shakespeare - Othello
Joseph Conrad - Heart of Darkness
Bill Bryson - A Short History of Nearly Everything
Cheryl Strayed - Tiny Beautiful Things
Sara Varon - Bake Sale
Stephen King - 11/22/63
Paul Goldstein - Errors and Omissions
Mark Twain - A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
Steve Martin - Born Standing Up: A Comic's Life
Beverly Cleary - A Girl from Yamhill, a Memoir
Kent Haruf - Plainsong
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 8
At this date last year: 0
Total run in 2018: 10
In 2017: 113
In 2016: 155
In 2015: 271
In 2014: 401
In 2013: 257
In 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269

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