Those of you who, like me, pay the stupidity tax from time to time, take note: Saturday's Powerball jackpot will be $300 million. The cash option should pay about half that, right? Which would be $150 million.
The odds of winning the big prize are 146,107,962 to 1. And so for once, they're paying decent odds, if you're the only one with the magic numbers come this time Saturday night.
If you do win, remember that you read about it here. I'll cover any gift tax that you owe on what you flip my way.
Comments (12)
Whats the tax for a $150 million dollar payout? Somewhere in the 50% range?
According to Powerball.com, the cash option is $140.3 million.
It occurred to me recently that a lot of endowment-funded organizations follow a strategy of only spending the income that spins off the endowment - and never touching the principal.
If I remember right (and I might not), the annual income is usually pretty consistently around 5% of the total value of the endowment... into perpetuity.
So, if you got $140 million cash, paid $70 million in taxes, and then invested the remainder like an endowment... you'd then get $3.5 million a year in income - forever. That's $291,000 a month.
My wife (who has a degree in mathematics) likes to point out that, statistically speaking, your chances of winning are effectively equal whether you buy a ticket or not. ;-)
I heard the PDC is "investing" in Powerball as a "linchpin".
They are purchasing some $5 million tickets on behalf of their favorite public-private developer partners in hopes of genrating the $300 million return for their friends.
After the draw Saturday they intend on quietly claiming success as the $5 million will have been spent.
As with other linchpins winning won't be neccessary once the spending has occured.
They need only establish that more spending will follow and pretend it's the same as winning.
My wife (who has a degree in mathematics) likes to point out that, statistically speaking, your chances of winning are effectively equal whether you buy a ticket or not. ;-)
Ask her how I can get myself on the list of people who won it without buying a ticket.
The words 'investment' and 'lottery' should never be used in the same sentence.
The 6/49 lottery was brought to France by Cassanova when he escaped confinement in the Italian city states. The lottery in France grew to proportions that almost equaled the Tulip Mania in Holland. Casanova ofcourse got rich several times via the lottery, by selling tickets not by winning it.
The NetPresentValue of that stream of income can be a tidy sum but most lottery winners let the money trickle away in lifestyle changes that are poorly planned.
A lottery is indeed a tax on the mathematically feebleminded. Ofcourse, one may wonder if that is not a class of persons who should be taxed. We have "sin taxes" levied on alcohol and tobaco, why not a 'stupidity tax' levied on those foolish enough to buy lottery tickets.
As to the mathematically similar chances for non-ticket purchase, that is true. Its only the administrative classification of 'ticket purchaser' that is significant. Once that hurdle has been reached, the chances are about the same as before. "You can't win if you don't play the game; but if you play the game, your chances of winning are about the same as before you paid your game-entry fee".
A PassLine bet at 100x odds offers a house edge of 0.09 percent against the player. Even a blackjack game offers about a 2 percent house edge. Roulette a 5.25 percent house edge. That is known as gambling. A lottery is not gambling, it is a voluntary gift to the state by those who are deluded.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (12)
Whats the tax for a $150 million dollar payout? Somewhere in the 50% range?
Posted by Anthony | August 23, 2007 12:22 AM
According to Powerball.com, the cash option is $140.3 million.
It occurred to me recently that a lot of endowment-funded organizations follow a strategy of only spending the income that spins off the endowment - and never touching the principal.
If I remember right (and I might not), the annual income is usually pretty consistently around 5% of the total value of the endowment... into perpetuity.
So, if you got $140 million cash, paid $70 million in taxes, and then invested the remainder like an endowment... you'd then get $3.5 million a year in income - forever. That's $291,000 a month.
Right? Where's my math off?
Posted by Kari Chisholm | August 23, 2007 1:07 AM
It's not.
I'm in.
Posted by Jack Bog | August 23, 2007 1:09 AM
Whats the tax for a $150 million dollar payout?
Feds, roughly 35%. Oregon, roughly another 9%. There are some asterisks, but it doesn't reach 50% -- more like 45%.
Of course, if you make money buying and selling stocks, it's 15%...
Posted by Jack Bog | August 23, 2007 1:11 AM
Kari, and if you spent the $3.5 million every years (maybe more like $2 million after taxes), there'd still be $70 million in the bank at all times.
Posted by Jack Bog | August 23, 2007 1:12 AM
Mega-Millions up here in The Couv is $200+ million right now too. I have tickets for both.
Posted by Chris Snethen | August 23, 2007 7:45 AM
My wife (who has a degree in mathematics) likes to point out that, statistically speaking, your chances of winning are effectively equal whether you buy a ticket or not. ;-)
Posted by Lev Koszegi | August 23, 2007 7:52 AM
I heard the PDC is "investing" in Powerball as a "linchpin".
They are purchasing some $5 million tickets on behalf of their favorite public-private developer partners in hopes of genrating the $300 million return for their friends.
After the draw Saturday they intend on quietly claiming success as the $5 million will have been spent.
As with other linchpins winning won't be neccessary once the spending has occured.
They need only establish that more spending will follow and pretend it's the same as winning.
Posted by Ben | August 23, 2007 8:30 AM
My wife (who has a degree in mathematics) likes to point out that, statistically speaking, your chances of winning are effectively equal whether you buy a ticket or not. ;-)
Ask her how I can get myself on the list of people who won it without buying a ticket.
Posted by Zeb Quinn | August 23, 2007 1:49 PM
Double your money instantly!
Fold it and put it back in your pocket.
Posted by George Seldes | August 23, 2007 8:30 PM
The words 'investment' and 'lottery' should never be used in the same sentence.
The 6/49 lottery was brought to France by Cassanova when he escaped confinement in the Italian city states. The lottery in France grew to proportions that almost equaled the Tulip Mania in Holland. Casanova ofcourse got rich several times via the lottery, by selling tickets not by winning it.
The NetPresentValue of that stream of income can be a tidy sum but most lottery winners let the money trickle away in lifestyle changes that are poorly planned.
Posted by FoolsGold | August 26, 2007 6:53 AM
A lottery is indeed a tax on the mathematically feebleminded. Ofcourse, one may wonder if that is not a class of persons who should be taxed. We have "sin taxes" levied on alcohol and tobaco, why not a 'stupidity tax' levied on those foolish enough to buy lottery tickets.
As to the mathematically similar chances for non-ticket purchase, that is true. Its only the administrative classification of 'ticket purchaser' that is significant. Once that hurdle has been reached, the chances are about the same as before. "You can't win if you don't play the game; but if you play the game, your chances of winning are about the same as before you paid your game-entry fee".
A PassLine bet at 100x odds offers a house edge of 0.09 percent against the player. Even a blackjack game offers about a 2 percent house edge. Roulette a 5.25 percent house edge. That is known as gambling. A lottery is not gambling, it is a voluntary gift to the state by those who are deluded.
Posted by FoolsGold | August 26, 2007 7:04 AM