The real unemployment rate is something like 17%, and September appears to have been the worst month in three years:
The state's professional and business services sector cut 2,600 jobs in September, when a loss of 200 would be normal. Within that count, employment services companies slashed 1,800 jobs. That industry, which includes temp agencies, is often considered as an indicator of future hiring.
Construction jobs fell by 1,400, bucking the monthly norm of 200 new jobs. Government, too, added fewer jobs than usual, creating a seasonally adjusted loss of 2,400.
Financial services companies brought on 300 new workers, continuing that industry's recent rebound. Retailers also posted gains, possibly because seasonal hiring began earlier than expected, Beleiciks said.
You can imagine how bad it would be without the government (and taxpayer-subsidized) make-work jobs that are so prevalent in Portland these days.
Comments (17)
The sad fact is that while Portland may do all right without jobs (so long as the hipster influx continues and they keep begging Mom and Dad for money, anyway), the real problem is with the rest of the state. I'm very serious when I ask at what point do people move out of the rest of Oregon because the taxes necessary to bail out Portland make living anywhere else in the state almost impossible?
This isn't just idle speculation. I was a kid when New York City defaulted, and I remember people moving out of upstate New York because the taxes necessary to pay off NYC's debt jumped through the roof. I'm waiting for the day that you start seeing businesses and individuals bailing on Oregon, yelling "Let the hipsters pay for their own toys" as they go over the Siskyou Pass.
"You can imagine how bad it would be without the government (and taxpayer-subsidized) make-work jobs that are so prevalent in Portland these days."
It may be actually worse with those make work jobs due to the adverse impact from misspending the nonexistent money on them.
Portland-Milwaukie Light Rail is the ultimate farce of creating jobs as all of the local match shares are funded by borrowing against existing revenue streams which fee more important government services and those employed there.
With interest costs and out of state purchases of rail cars and other big ticket elements that makes the project a local job killer as no replacement revenue is available to fund those essential services jobs.
This is what happens when nefarious elected officials who evade the voters and piece together and financing scheme without any new funding which voters would often approve for a project.
But when the scoundrels know they would never get voter approval they shift into their scurrilous money grab gear and pilfer everything necessary to buy their new toy.
All the while telling everyone how vital it and how wise they are for their savvy financing package.
These are the worst of the worst in local governments and their conniving racketeering has become an invitation for voters to remove them.
C'mon, we need more taxes, get rid of the corporate kicker, take more money from schools via URDs and funding PERS contributions. This'll draw all kinds of employers.
If you just had the vision to see where this'll put us in 20 years, you'd be able to realize how smart politicians are here in OR.
Thought it was funny the economist saying those unemployment numbers are so bad.
TTR, you smacked it right on top of the head. This has been going on for many years now.
Our happy place is traveling the backroads of Oregon,Washington,Montana & Idaho and just returned from a week in the Yellowstone area. We started noticing about 3 years ago the difference in the economies. The next time you are in Spokane travel to Coeur d' alene and notice the change in scenery at the Idaho State line. The commercial building density is amazing, it is very easy to tell which state is really open to business. Driving through Boise and on to Idaho Falls a couple of weeks ago I was struck by the huge inventories of commercial vehicles, cars and trucks and especially the RV's including huge high end buses. Also noticed very little commercial property for sale or lease.
Returning to Oregon, empty space after empty space for sale or lease. Even the merchants in Jackson Hole were happy and upbeat as they reported the best year in a long while.
Idaho and Montana have been sucking jobs out of Oregon, Washington and especially California for several years.
Just remember, it is for the Chilren so keep reelecting these empty suited BlueManure types... move along nothing more to see here.
I'm waiting for the day that you start seeing businesses and individuals bailing on Oregon, yelling "Let the hipsters pay for their own toys" as they go over the Siskyou Pass.
I was with you up to that point, TTR. But do you remember what's on the other side of the Siskiyou Pass?
MJ, I remember. That was the pass I took to move back to Texas, because the last thing I wanted was to get caught in early snows in the Columbia Gorge. (By the time I left, I so loathed Portland that I swore that if my then-wife died, I'd drag her body across the border atop the car, like the aunt in National Lampoon's Vacation, just so I didn't have to bury her in Oregon.)
A considerable number of private sector jobs are directly tied to the auto industry. TriMet is anything but financially self-sustainable. Taxpayer funded subsides for public transit on average is close to 61 cents per passenger mile compared to a subsidy of six to nine cents per passenger mile for drivers. Unlike motorized highway users who pay fuel taxes and other user fees to financially support roadway infrastructure, there are no user fees assessed on bicycling to pay for specialized bicycle infrastructure. As long as the car haters are in charge shifting private sector jobs to those financed by taxpayers, Oregon will always be in need of well paying self-sustainable jobs.
"(By the time I left, I so loathed Portland that I swore that if my then-wife died, I'd drag her body across the border atop the car, like the aunt in National Lampoon's Vacation, just so I didn't have to bury her in Oregon.)"
Oh, that's so sweet. ;=)
I used to really love this (my home) state; was even proud and happy to pay my taxes. I'd say that's pretty much all gone since about 2000.
Texas TR It's already happening. I have five friends that have moved to Vancouver because of the taxes. I am retired, as soon as my wife retires (4-5 years) we are selling all the property we own here and bugging out for Wyoming. The taxes there are much less damaging to retirees than Oregon. It's sad, I was born here (and love Oregon.) But I'm not staying given the way this state is being run.
Couldn't agree more TTR - but it was a great place for many of us for a long time, the very visible rot and invisible suffering the rulers have unleashed - while blind to all criticism and fueled by media coverup - is just too much.
I'll still visit this site cause Jack's great and we have a lot of friends here - but God willing, will be out by 2013.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
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Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
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La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
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Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
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Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
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Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
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Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (17)
The sad fact is that while Portland may do all right without jobs (so long as the hipster influx continues and they keep begging Mom and Dad for money, anyway), the real problem is with the rest of the state. I'm very serious when I ask at what point do people move out of the rest of Oregon because the taxes necessary to bail out Portland make living anywhere else in the state almost impossible?
This isn't just idle speculation. I was a kid when New York City defaulted, and I remember people moving out of upstate New York because the taxes necessary to pay off NYC's debt jumped through the roof. I'm waiting for the day that you start seeing businesses and individuals bailing on Oregon, yelling "Let the hipsters pay for their own toys" as they go over the Siskyou Pass.
Posted by Texas Triffid Ranch | October 22, 2012 7:07 AM
...and the old question remains 'are you better off'?
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/05/us/politics/better-off-its-less-clear-than-in-1980-campaign.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
Posted by gibby | October 22, 2012 7:32 AM
TTR: Good points; but, I suggest they won't be going over the Siskiyou. They'll be going over the CRC.
.
Posted by Rick Newton | October 22, 2012 7:35 AM
TTR, it's already happening, the neighbors sold out took a hit on their loan and moved to Montana with the parting comment, adi-f---king-os
Posted by phil | October 22, 2012 7:39 AM
"You can imagine how bad it would be without the government (and taxpayer-subsidized) make-work jobs that are so prevalent in Portland these days."
It may be actually worse with those make work jobs due to the adverse impact from misspending the nonexistent money on them.
Portland-Milwaukie Light Rail is the ultimate farce of creating jobs as all of the local match shares are funded by borrowing against existing revenue streams which fee more important government services and those employed there.
With interest costs and out of state purchases of rail cars and other big ticket elements that makes the project a local job killer as no replacement revenue is available to fund those essential services jobs.
This is what happens when nefarious elected officials who evade the voters and piece together and financing scheme without any new funding which voters would often approve for a project.
But when the scoundrels know they would never get voter approval they shift into their scurrilous money grab gear and pilfer everything necessary to buy their new toy.
All the while telling everyone how vital it and how wise they are for their savvy financing package.
These are the worst of the worst in local governments and their conniving racketeering has become an invitation for voters to remove them.
Posted by Voters | October 22, 2012 7:46 AM
C'mon, we need more taxes, get rid of the corporate kicker, take more money from schools via URDs and funding PERS contributions. This'll draw all kinds of employers.
If you just had the vision to see where this'll put us in 20 years, you'd be able to realize how smart politicians are here in OR.
Thought it was funny the economist saying those unemployment numbers are so bad.
Posted by Steve | October 22, 2012 8:00 AM
Sorry, what he said:
"State Employment Economist Nick Beleiciks said the losses likely aren't that steep."
Spoken by someone with a govt job and good benefits.
Posted by Steve | October 22, 2012 8:10 AM
TTR, you smacked it right on top of the head. This has been going on for many years now.
Our happy place is traveling the backroads of Oregon,Washington,Montana & Idaho and just returned from a week in the Yellowstone area. We started noticing about 3 years ago the difference in the economies. The next time you are in Spokane travel to Coeur d' alene and notice the change in scenery at the Idaho State line. The commercial building density is amazing, it is very easy to tell which state is really open to business. Driving through Boise and on to Idaho Falls a couple of weeks ago I was struck by the huge inventories of commercial vehicles, cars and trucks and especially the RV's including huge high end buses. Also noticed very little commercial property for sale or lease.
Returning to Oregon, empty space after empty space for sale or lease. Even the merchants in Jackson Hole were happy and upbeat as they reported the best year in a long while.
Idaho and Montana have been sucking jobs out of Oregon, Washington and especially California for several years.
Just remember, it is for the Chilren so keep reelecting these empty suited BlueManure types... move along nothing more to see here.
Posted by BoBo | October 22, 2012 9:37 AM
I'm waiting for the day that you start seeing businesses and individuals bailing on Oregon, yelling "Let the hipsters pay for their own toys" as they go over the Siskyou Pass.
I was with you up to that point, TTR. But do you remember what's on the other side of the Siskiyou Pass?
Posted by MJ | October 22, 2012 9:56 AM
Which if any of your votes will make any of this any degree better, and if so, how?
Posted by sally | October 22, 2012 10:50 AM
Out here in Eastern Oregon we've been wanting to join with Idaho for years. I have no problem at all having Boise as a capitol. No problem whatsoever.
Eastern Washingtonians probably feel the same.
Posted by Jo | October 22, 2012 10:56 AM
MJ, I remember. That was the pass I took to move back to Texas, because the last thing I wanted was to get caught in early snows in the Columbia Gorge. (By the time I left, I so loathed Portland that I swore that if my then-wife died, I'd drag her body across the border atop the car, like the aunt in National Lampoon's Vacation, just so I didn't have to bury her in Oregon.)
Posted by Texas Triffid Ranch | October 22, 2012 1:54 PM
A considerable number of private sector jobs are directly tied to the auto industry. TriMet is anything but financially self-sustainable. Taxpayer funded subsides for public transit on average is close to 61 cents per passenger mile compared to a subsidy of six to nine cents per passenger mile for drivers. Unlike motorized highway users who pay fuel taxes and other user fees to financially support roadway infrastructure, there are no user fees assessed on bicycling to pay for specialized bicycle infrastructure. As long as the car haters are in charge shifting private sector jobs to those financed by taxpayers, Oregon will always be in need of well paying self-sustainable jobs.
Posted by TR | October 22, 2012 2:16 PM
"(By the time I left, I so loathed Portland that I swore that if my then-wife died, I'd drag her body across the border atop the car, like the aunt in National Lampoon's Vacation, just so I didn't have to bury her in Oregon.)"
Oh, that's so sweet. ;=)
I used to really love this (my home) state; was even proud and happy to pay my taxes. I'd say that's pretty much all gone since about 2000.
Posted by sally | October 22, 2012 2:21 PM
Texas TR It's already happening. I have five friends that have moved to Vancouver because of the taxes. I am retired, as soon as my wife retires (4-5 years) we are selling all the property we own here and bugging out for Wyoming. The taxes there are much less damaging to retirees than Oregon. It's sad, I was born here (and love Oregon.) But I'm not staying given the way this state is being run.
Posted by HMLA-267 | October 22, 2012 3:20 PM
I used to really love this (my home) state; was even proud and happy to pay my taxes. I'd say that's pretty much all gone since about 2000.
I couldn't agree more. It'd be interesting to take a poll asking how many people used to love it here and now can't wait to get out.
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | October 22, 2012 3:46 PM
Couldn't agree more TTR - but it was a great place for many of us for a long time, the very visible rot and invisible suffering the rulers have unleashed - while blind to all criticism and fueled by media coverup - is just too much.
I'll still visit this site cause Jack's great and we have a lot of friends here - but God willing, will be out by 2013.
Posted by Leaving very soon | October 22, 2012 4:17 PM