Public employee retirement benefits in Oregon are really starting to cut into the quality of life here. More and more tax revenue is going to pay retired politicians and bureaucrats, and as a result less and less is available for basic public services. Ted Sickinger of the O, who's one of the few reporters in town who understands all this, writes about it here.
For those who like happy talk, meanwhile, you can read this, which natters on about how Oregon is actually relatively better off than most other states. Who was it that talked about being "the last to die for a mistake"?
With two completely different versions of the story floating around, guess which one the Portland Business Journal picked up. Just guess.
Comments (18)
The sad part is all the BlueOregon and public employees are going to go to the: "See we're much better, now just keep paying into it." Meanwhile, Kitz and the legislature keeps ignoring it like it will go away.
The really sad part is that that is the highest priority debt, so schools, roads and police get cut before we take $0.01 out of employee benes.
The scary part is the 3rd party that said we should be contributing $4.5B instead of $1.1B every session to PERS for employee benes. Considering the state budget is like $15B, that is a lot of coin.
To paraphrase, our govt is of the people, by the people and for the public employees.
Meanwhile instead of being prudent during distressed economic times, our officials are spending as if no tomorrow. The whole scene is entirely insane, they are not stopping, thus debt swamping us. I think people are in for a rude awakening if they think things will somehow just go back to normal and work out. All I can say about that is I hope they are right and my assessment is wrong.
Not that it will make anyone feel better but we just moved to New Jersey from Beaverton. Property taxes went up 150% (from $4300 to $10,500), car insurance doubled, sales tax of 7% and a state income tax as well. Teachers, public sector workers and cops are eating this state alive with overtime and outrageous pensions. Based on my short experience here so far I wish I had Oregon's problems.
PERS isn't great, but at least it's about 73% funded. Compared with the billions unfunded in CoPo Police and Fire pensions, PERS looks positively sound. CoPo is really scary - and nobody's addressing it.
The Ted Sickinger story on how former UO coach Mike Bellotti got $5 million in unfunded PERS money is amazing. Particularly the bit about the divorce and remarriage. Does PERS have anyone on their staff who questions deals like this? Apparently not.
Also missing from the numbers are the benefit costs. In some school districts, employees and their families receive full medical insurance at no cost to the employee. Not a small number at all.
There is a finite (and perhaps declining) amount of tax revenue, and ever increasing costs to pay salaries, benefits, and pensions. Counting on an 8% return on pension fund investments while vilifying Wall Street at the same time doesn't make sense. Increasing pension benefits when returns were above 8% instead of building up reserves now seems like a very bad idea.
The conundrum is that the unions negotiated the best possible deal for its members without thinking about how benefits would be paid for in the future. Our representatives didn't pay much attention, either. Hard to blame the employees, except that none of them thought much about how much their benefits would cost in the future. They accepted their negotiated contracts in good faith.
Who had the fiduciary responsibility? What recourse do taxpayers have for this failure?
In the end, it cannot continue. It will blow up. The voting public will not stand for all the tax revenue going to pay the deficits for unfunded or poorly funded pension and retirement benefits, while essential services and schools funding shrinks to nothing.
Which administration and legislature is going to have the guts to face the issues? What is going to stop the exodus of smarter people from moving to more responsible and stable states? What can Oregon do to attract families with above average incomes who are able to pay above average income and property taxes to pay the ever increasing costs of running the state?
Recall that Salem Republicans OBSTRUCTED contract negotiations of a reasonable wage increase for public employees, 1988-89, which is what led to the 'kick the can down the road' non-solution of promising larger PERS contributions and returns ... someday in the future ... for who doesn't die before then.
Republican sieg heil goosestep IDIOCY made this PERS mess.
And maybe ALEC dictated the IDIOCY on hate-filled Republicans:
The Rhode Island State Legislature finally adjourned its 2012 session around 3:30 a.m. on Wednesday morning. It had been a brutal last few days.
ALEC ... the conservative group has a very clear agenda for dealing with state budgets. It wants to shrink them.
... two Woonsocket legislators quickly decided ... they could do a lot more than just fix the schools’ problem. They could actually shrink the town government!
And how does one go about doing that? By refusing [civility] to go along with tax increases and forcing the city to the edge of bankruptcy
Here’s the rub. Pensions are not the core problem in Woonsocket. [Republican sociopathic hate is the problem.] Yes, Woonsocket has a pension shortfall, but it is more manageable than many other places and has almost nothing to do with the current crisis.
Shrinking government sounds appealing. We all have our favorite examples of silly regulations and bloated bureaucracies. But struggling municipalities like Woonsocket don’t have a lot of fat; cutting means reducing or eliminating programs that citizens depend on.
ALEC donors might be prosecuted for civil sedition, and they can pay for the pensions and municipal damages they caused as premeditated harm. (But DoJ is corrupt and unlawful, bought off to bumble around and not prosecute.) ALEC donors are corporate evils. They have store fronts, windows and merchandise. If desperate scraps&crumbs survival mobs vented frustration and anger on ALEC-evil properties it would be an understandable catharsis.
(2) If the Public Employees Retirement System is terminated * * * each member of the system has a nonforfeitable right to the benefits that the member has accrued * * * to the extent that those benefits are funded. [subsection added in 1999.]
The wording is consistent with the Oregon Supreme Court's determination that PERS can invest the private savings of the public employees (I say captive investors) in equities, consistent with the Oregon Constitution, but only so long as the government makes no guarantee to cover for private investment losses. Sprague v. Straub, 252 Or 507 (1969).
Mr. James Dalton, chairman of the PERS Board, plainly misstates the law when he asserts (as per the linked Oregonian article):
"We have a $16 billion unfunded liability," he said. "The question isn't if you're going to pay. The question is when you're going to pay."
I can still hear the Court asking James Baker (as independent lawyer for PERB) at oral argument on the PERS "reform" case whether PERS could be terminated, to which he had to answer yes, and note ORS 238.600. I was the only one who had pointed to that provision, in my amicus brief. Some folks apparently need to be reminded of it yet again.
That mistake is a big one, which alone could be grounds to remove James Dalton from his position (in my opinion). If he would care to attribute it to a particular named lawyer in a representative capacity then let him refer the questioner to them to answer directly, in their capacity as a lawyer.
To bolster Ted Sickinger's more realistic view of Oregon's public pension problem, take a look at some other independent studies that paint a far gloomier picture than the Pew study wants us to see.
Two such studies determine that Oregon has more than twice the Pew level of unfunded liabilities.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 29
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (18)
The sad part is all the BlueOregon and public employees are going to go to the: "See we're much better, now just keep paying into it." Meanwhile, Kitz and the legislature keeps ignoring it like it will go away.
The really sad part is that that is the highest priority debt, so schools, roads and police get cut before we take $0.01 out of employee benes.
The scary part is the 3rd party that said we should be contributing $4.5B instead of $1.1B every session to PERS for employee benes. Considering the state budget is like $15B, that is a lot of coin.
To paraphrase, our govt is of the people, by the people and for the public employees.
Posted by Steve | June 19, 2012 1:42 PM
I love the projected 8% estimated return on investments. And how do they determine this number?
They panel votes! What fools!
Wait till their investments in private equity go bust, then they will probably see a minus 8% return.
Posted by Tim | June 19, 2012 1:46 PM
Meanwhile instead of being prudent during distressed economic times, our officials are spending as if no tomorrow. The whole scene is entirely insane, they are not stopping, thus debt swamping us. I think people are in for a rude awakening if they think things will somehow just go back to normal and work out. All I can say about that is I hope they are right and my assessment is wrong.
Posted by clinamen | June 19, 2012 3:11 PM
It is easy to pick on this , but why has no one raised the gas tax in DECADES. That alone would pay for all our needs , and start cleaning the air !
Posted by twenty | June 19, 2012 3:24 PM
Not that it will make anyone feel better but we just moved to New Jersey from Beaverton. Property taxes went up 150% (from $4300 to $10,500), car insurance doubled, sales tax of 7% and a state income tax as well. Teachers, public sector workers and cops are eating this state alive with overtime and outrageous pensions. Based on my short experience here so far I wish I had Oregon's problems.
Posted by canucken | June 19, 2012 3:51 PM
PERS isn't great, but at least it's about 73% funded. Compared with the billions unfunded in CoPo Police and Fire pensions, PERS looks positively sound. CoPo is really scary - and nobody's addressing it.
Posted by Max | June 19, 2012 4:11 PM
The Ted Sickinger story on how former UO coach Mike Bellotti got $5 million in unfunded PERS money is amazing. Particularly the bit about the divorce and remarriage. Does PERS have anyone on their staff who questions deals like this? Apparently not.
http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2011/12/mike_bellotti_former_universit.html
Posted by uomatters | June 19, 2012 5:11 PM
But AFSCME needed some good news for their convention this week. (think it was afscme anyway)
Posted by Lc Scott | June 19, 2012 5:30 PM
Tell me why we give politicians a pension ?
Posted by tankfixer | June 19, 2012 6:39 PM
...but why has no one raised the gas tax in DECADES.
The last state gas tax increase came in 2011. It raised the tax from $.24 to $.30 per gallon.
Multnomah County also has a $.03 per gallon gasoline tax and Washington County has a $.01 per gallon tax.
See: http://www.oregon.gov/ODOT/CS/FTG/pages/reqgasdiscl.aspx
Posted by John | June 19, 2012 6:43 PM
30% for PERS when you can't the bonded PERS that some school districts did. Budget breaker, but "it's for the children, who are our future!"
Posted by Harry | June 19, 2012 7:43 PM
can't = count. Yay iPad!
Posted by Harry | June 19, 2012 7:46 PM
"PERS isn't great, but at least it's about 73% funded."
Yeah and they only need to take #1.1B extra from schools and police to get to that level - Every year.
Posted by Steve | June 19, 2012 8:32 PM
Also missing from the numbers are the benefit costs. In some school districts, employees and their families receive full medical insurance at no cost to the employee. Not a small number at all.
There is a finite (and perhaps declining) amount of tax revenue, and ever increasing costs to pay salaries, benefits, and pensions. Counting on an 8% return on pension fund investments while vilifying Wall Street at the same time doesn't make sense. Increasing pension benefits when returns were above 8% instead of building up reserves now seems like a very bad idea.
The conundrum is that the unions negotiated the best possible deal for its members without thinking about how benefits would be paid for in the future. Our representatives didn't pay much attention, either. Hard to blame the employees, except that none of them thought much about how much their benefits would cost in the future. They accepted their negotiated contracts in good faith.
Who had the fiduciary responsibility? What recourse do taxpayers have for this failure?
In the end, it cannot continue. It will blow up. The voting public will not stand for all the tax revenue going to pay the deficits for unfunded or poorly funded pension and retirement benefits, while essential services and schools funding shrinks to nothing.
Which administration and legislature is going to have the guts to face the issues? What is going to stop the exodus of smarter people from moving to more responsible and stable states? What can Oregon do to attract families with above average incomes who are able to pay above average income and property taxes to pay the ever increasing costs of running the state?
Posted by Mike (one of the many) | June 19, 2012 9:48 PM
Recall that Salem Republicans OBSTRUCTED contract negotiations of a reasonable wage increase for public employees, 1988-89, which is what led to the 'kick the can down the road' non-solution of promising larger PERS contributions and returns ... someday in the future ... for who doesn't die before then.
Republican sieg heil goosestep IDIOCY made this PERS mess.
And maybe ALEC dictated the IDIOCY on hate-filled Republicans:
When ALEC Takes Over Your Town, By JOE NOCERA, NYTimes, June 18, 2012
ALEC donors might be prosecuted for civil sedition, and they can pay for the pensions and municipal damages they caused as premeditated harm. (But DoJ is corrupt and unlawful, bought off to bumble around and not prosecute.) ALEC donors are corporate evils. They have store fronts, windows and merchandise. If desperate scraps&crumbs survival mobs vented frustration and anger on ALEC-evil properties it would be an understandable catharsis.Posted by Tenskwatawa | June 19, 2012 10:44 PM
Hey Tenskwatawa -
You forgot to blame Bush and the Koch Brothers in your rant. Does MSNBC/Media Matters know you are plagiarizing their talking points?
Posted by Pelep | June 19, 2012 11:01 PM
ORS 238.600(2) still provides in part:
The wording is consistent with the Oregon Supreme Court's determination that PERS can invest the private savings of the public employees (I say captive investors) in equities, consistent with the Oregon Constitution, but only so long as the government makes no guarantee to cover for private investment losses. Sprague v. Straub, 252 Or 507 (1969).
Mr. James Dalton, chairman of the PERS Board, plainly misstates the law when he asserts (as per the linked Oregonian article):
I can still hear the Court asking James Baker (as independent lawyer for PERB) at oral argument on the PERS "reform" case whether PERS could be terminated, to which he had to answer yes, and note ORS 238.600. I was the only one who had pointed to that provision, in my amicus brief. Some folks apparently need to be reminded of it yet again.
That mistake is a big one, which alone could be grounds to remove James Dalton from his position (in my opinion). If he would care to attribute it to a particular named lawyer in a representative capacity then let him refer the questioner to them to answer directly, in their capacity as a lawyer.
Posted by pdxnag | June 19, 2012 11:50 PM
To bolster Ted Sickinger's more realistic view of Oregon's public pension problem, take a look at some other independent studies that paint a far gloomier picture than the Pew study wants us to see.
Two such studies determine that Oregon has more than twice the Pew level of unfunded liabilities.
source: http://www.statebudgetsolutions.org/doclib/20110304_StatePensionLiabilityMarch4.pdf
Posted by Steve Buckstein | June 20, 2012 11:35 AM