The Harrisburg case raises fundamental questions about the way cities and states increasingly use debt to finance speculative development that private investors or lenders won't touch. From minor league stadiums to arenas, museums, downtown redevelopment and waste plants with unproven technologies, billions have been spent on schemes of questionable value. Some projects are backed by unrealistic economic projections, which leave taxpayers on the hook for bond payments or operating subsidies. These deals are one reason why state and local debt outstanding has ballooned from $1.3 trillion to $2.5 trillion in the last decade, according to the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Perhaps the country does need a national museum of bad government ideas. Harrisburg would be a good place for it.
The whole article should be accessible for a little while longer, here.
Comments (18)
And we have many we could showcase in that museum...MAX, the Streetcar, the Pearl, South Waterfront, The Round, etc.
Most of the bonds for these projects are backed by the property taxes of the city. Until there's a wave of bankruptcies, there's not that much risk to the bondholders. For deals that are based on the success of the project, interest rates are high. Earlier this year, some 15-year Portland "urban renewal" bonds were sold, and the interest rate on them was more than 6.25%.
And now we know why Sam isn't running for Mayor. The last thing he wants to happen is to be in the Mayor's office when all of those bills come due, so he'll gleefully leave the mess for the next slob dumb enough to want to inherit it.
Hmm. Author is a fellow at the "Manhattan Institute for Policy Research", whose website has, amongst other parts, a page praising Frederich Hayek, the most famous free-market libertarian Austria ever produced.
Regardless of who wrote it, it's more important whether or not the story is true, and that should be a matter of public record.
Early on during WW2 the Soviets carried out a secret mass execution of Polish officials and intelligentsia in the forests of Katyn. When later discovered by the invading German army, it was well documented and openly revealed to the Red Cross and the world, but the Allies pointed fingers at the messenger and refused to believe it, and after the war it was conveniently covered up by the occupying Soviet authorities.
Saw that story in this past weekend's Wall Street Journal. As I was reading it; it sounded way too much like a forerunner of what might happen to Portland in a few years. Already TriMet is having problems figuring out how to pay for current expenses - without their stupid train to Milwaukie.
"Most of the bonds for these projects are backed by the property taxes of the city."
Also, I'm pretty sure they get paid first. So even if our local services get crowded out of the budget, the bond holders get their 6.5%. Hmmm, maybe I should buy some....
So what happens to The City That Works when property taxes skyrocket to pay for all these bonds and services are reduced?
Not a pretty scene ahead, should have been stopped long ago, as soon as our City of Roses was slipped away from us. We can thank Katz/Hales/Adams and continuing on with Adams and council for more of the same.
What is it they see, or have been promised, to justify the risk?
The Harrisburg story is uncomfortably close to the Portland story. Basically an idiot mayor who loved to spend other people's money. Eventually the bills came due and now everyone is pointing fingers at each other.
There should be a check and balance approach to city debt but evidently the system doesn't really work very well. The taxpayers don't seem to pay much attention even though they are the ones on the hook. The city government doesn't seem capable of policing themselves and the banks don't really care too much since the debt is backed by taxpayer money.
There should be an external audit process but it doesn't seem to work. Portland is basically bankrupt right now but that is the last thing that the mayor, or even the mayor candidates, talk about. All they seem to talk about is how to spend more money.
If there was ever a need for "big government" and more "federal government", Congress ought to open a new branch of government whose job would be ONLY to audit all lower governments (cities, states, counties, special districts, joint power boards, regional governments, transit agencies, parks & rec districts, port districts, etc.)
Clearly, having "independent auditors" are too close to the government they are supposed to oversee, and the Secretary of State's office isn't doing their job.
A simple step would a requirement that cities would need to recognize pension costs in the same way that corporations have to recognize them.
At the moment, cities are allowed to willfully mislead taxpayers in regards to pension obligations. They are also allowed to make up numbers for estimated rate of return on their investments. A big city like Portland is politically motivated to lie about how much debt it carries. Since the guidelines are so loose, they get away with it. Besides, it is a boring topic. Not very many people want to discuss public finance issues. Until of course it is too late.
Taxpayers really should insist on professional management for large cities, but it seems like a majority of voters in Portland are happy electing folks like Sam who really have no qualifications for the job.
A self-funded independent audit is what's needed for Portland and other government entities in our fair state.
The basic idea is that independent auditing firms would bid competitively for the right to audit the city. They'd get to keep 10% of any waste discovered, which would be increased to 25% if the waste happened in violation of any federal/state/local law, and upped to 50% if it results in a criminal conviction.
The auditing firm would be guaranteed access to all financial records of the entity in question.
My guess is that the government entity would protest some of what the auditor called "waste", and this would end up in the courts for all to see in gory detail.
In theory, the audit would pay for itself via the winning firm's bid. The budgetary savings from uncovering and eliminating waste would be substantial. Here in Pdx, perhaps more than substantial.
I would add to Snard's comment "bondholders are first in line" that PERS employees are right there too.
After you add those two obligations together, they amount to over 75% of our government budgets. Enjoy your $2.57 garbage pails, that's the government services we're left with.
...Enjoy your $2.57 garbage pails, that's the government services we're left with.
It is quite frightening to think of what will happen to our city with tax increases to pay for all the debt and then on top of that, seeing our services deteriorate before our eyes...
if only our local government had been prudent when they knew debt was a problem, I simply cannot understand what they were thinking to pile on more debt and spend like no tomorrow...
I guess that is it, there is no tomorrow for THEM to have to pay!
It looks like a downward spiral we have here,
I would so like to be wrong on this.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 29
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (18)
And we have many we could showcase in that museum...MAX, the Streetcar, the Pearl, South Waterfront, The Round, etc.
Posted by Jon | October 31, 2011 8:11 AM
So why then, do banks continue to issue bonds to high risk customers? What is it they see, or have been promised, to justify the risk?
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | October 31, 2011 8:24 AM
Most of the bonds for these projects are backed by the property taxes of the city. Until there's a wave of bankruptcies, there's not that much risk to the bondholders. For deals that are based on the success of the project, interest rates are high. Earlier this year, some 15-year Portland "urban renewal" bonds were sold, and the interest rate on them was more than 6.25%.
Posted by Jack Bog | October 31, 2011 8:36 AM
And now we know why Sam isn't running for Mayor. The last thing he wants to happen is to be in the Mayor's office when all of those bills come due, so he'll gleefully leave the mess for the next slob dumb enough to want to inherit it.
Posted by Texas Triffid Ranch | October 31, 2011 8:52 AM
Hmm. Author is a fellow at the "Manhattan Institute for Policy Research", whose website has, amongst other parts, a page praising Frederich Hayek, the most famous free-market libertarian Austria ever produced.
I can't not look on that with a jaundiced eye.
Stopped-clock-right-twice-a-day, I suppose.
Posted by Samuel John Klein | October 31, 2011 8:54 AM
Minds are like parachutes -- they work best when open.
Posted by Jack Bog | October 31, 2011 8:59 AM
Regardless of who wrote it, it's more important whether or not the story is true, and that should be a matter of public record.
Early on during WW2 the Soviets carried out a secret mass execution of Polish officials and intelligentsia in the forests of Katyn. When later discovered by the invading German army, it was well documented and openly revealed to the Red Cross and the world, but the Allies pointed fingers at the messenger and refused to believe it, and after the war it was conveniently covered up by the occupying Soviet authorities.
Sometimes the bad guy tells the truth.
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | October 31, 2011 9:49 AM
Saw that story in this past weekend's Wall Street Journal. As I was reading it; it sounded way too much like a forerunner of what might happen to Portland in a few years. Already TriMet is having problems figuring out how to pay for current expenses - without their stupid train to Milwaukie.
Posted by Dave A. | October 31, 2011 10:14 AM
"Most of the bonds for these projects are backed by the property taxes of the city."
Also, I'm pretty sure they get paid first. So even if our local services get crowded out of the budget, the bond holders get their 6.5%. Hmmm, maybe I should buy some....
Posted by Snards | October 31, 2011 10:45 AM
As George Carlin used to say, "they own you". The super rich have built a system that robs you of your wealth and city bonds are part of that scam.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acLW1vFO-2Q
Posted by Ralph Woods | October 31, 2011 11:19 AM
So what happens to The City That Works when property taxes skyrocket to pay for all these bonds and services are reduced?
Not a pretty scene ahead, should have been stopped long ago, as soon as our City of Roses was slipped away from us. We can thank Katz/Hales/Adams and continuing on with Adams and council for more of the same.
What is it they see, or have been promised, to justify the risk?
Posted by clinamen | October 31, 2011 11:49 AM
The Harrisburg story is uncomfortably close to the Portland story. Basically an idiot mayor who loved to spend other people's money. Eventually the bills came due and now everyone is pointing fingers at each other.
There should be a check and balance approach to city debt but evidently the system doesn't really work very well. The taxpayers don't seem to pay much attention even though they are the ones on the hook. The city government doesn't seem capable of policing themselves and the banks don't really care too much since the debt is backed by taxpayer money.
There should be an external audit process but it doesn't seem to work. Portland is basically bankrupt right now but that is the last thing that the mayor, or even the mayor candidates, talk about. All they seem to talk about is how to spend more money.
Posted by Andy | October 31, 2011 12:31 PM
If there was ever a need for "big government" and more "federal government", Congress ought to open a new branch of government whose job would be ONLY to audit all lower governments (cities, states, counties, special districts, joint power boards, regional governments, transit agencies, parks & rec districts, port districts, etc.)
Clearly, having "independent auditors" are too close to the government they are supposed to oversee, and the Secretary of State's office isn't doing their job.
Posted by Erik H. | October 31, 2011 12:36 PM
For further fleshing out of this, from the Weekly Standard:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/smoke_598452.html
Posted by Mark Ellis | October 31, 2011 1:53 PM
A simple step would a requirement that cities would need to recognize pension costs in the same way that corporations have to recognize them.
At the moment, cities are allowed to willfully mislead taxpayers in regards to pension obligations. They are also allowed to make up numbers for estimated rate of return on their investments. A big city like Portland is politically motivated to lie about how much debt it carries. Since the guidelines are so loose, they get away with it. Besides, it is a boring topic. Not very many people want to discuss public finance issues. Until of course it is too late.
Taxpayers really should insist on professional management for large cities, but it seems like a majority of voters in Portland are happy electing folks like Sam who really have no qualifications for the job.
Posted by Andy | October 31, 2011 3:38 PM
A self-funded independent audit is what's needed for Portland and other government entities in our fair state.
The basic idea is that independent auditing firms would bid competitively for the right to audit the city. They'd get to keep 10% of any waste discovered, which would be increased to 25% if the waste happened in violation of any federal/state/local law, and upped to 50% if it results in a criminal conviction.
The auditing firm would be guaranteed access to all financial records of the entity in question.
My guess is that the government entity would protest some of what the auditor called "waste", and this would end up in the courts for all to see in gory detail.
In theory, the audit would pay for itself via the winning firm's bid. The budgetary savings from uncovering and eliminating waste would be substantial. Here in Pdx, perhaps more than substantial.
Posted by adp | October 31, 2011 7:58 PM
adp, I like your ideas.
I would add to Snard's comment "bondholders are first in line" that PERS employees are right there too.
After you add those two obligations together, they amount to over 75% of our government budgets. Enjoy your $2.57 garbage pails, that's the government services we're left with.
Posted by lw | October 31, 2011 8:33 PM
...Enjoy your $2.57 garbage pails, that's the government services we're left with.
It is quite frightening to think of what will happen to our city with tax increases to pay for all the debt and then on top of that, seeing our services deteriorate before our eyes...
if only our local government had been prudent when they knew debt was a problem, I simply cannot understand what they were thinking to pile on more debt and spend like no tomorrow...
I guess that is it, there is no tomorrow for THEM to have to pay!
It looks like a downward spiral we have here,
I would so like to be wrong on this.
Posted by clinamen | October 31, 2011 9:23 PM