This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on January 16, 2011 10:50 PM.
The previous post in this blog was A rarity, a Ratzer.
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Impossible to say, since you're comparing an activIty that's about as rare as Hope Diamonds with one that's about as common as, well, riding a bike.
And riding a bike wouldn't be as dangerous if only People who went through fantastically expensive training and selection progrAms were allowed to compete for the very limited opportunities to do it, and they spent billions on each ride.
But, other than that, point well taken. Bikes are very hazardous. As soon as the MORE dangerous transport problems are solved, then we should definitely do Something about the bikes. I'm for complete separation from cars myself, with a nice network of carless roads provided in parallEl to the roads for machine powered vehicles ...seems like everyone would be happier.
Bicycles are hazardous, and their hazards should be disclosed to people if the government is going to spend millions to promote them. Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training and licensing system in place, as there is with motorcycles. There are also some places where bicycles shouldn't be allowed -- Highway 26 west of town, for starters. 'Til then, see you in the emergency room next to the astronaut with the broken hip -- or maybe at the undertaker's when that semi doesn't see you.
You're right. Just because a guy can do a spacewalk doesn't mean he can ride a bike without breaking his hip. It will be interesting to hear the details of the accident.
Bicycles are hazardous, and their hazards should be disclosed to people if the government is going to spend millions to promote them. Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training
Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually.
Clearly, the biggest threat to public health, safety and welfare is bicycles. Keep up the anti-bike crusade, folks.
Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training and licensing system in place, as there is with motorcycles.
What about pedestrians or runners? I think about 4,500 "pedestrians" are killed every year. Perhaps we should train and license them as well?
I've been driving on public roads (leaving out the earlier field car experiences) since I was not quite 16. That's almost 40 years of driving (minus the year in Boston with no car and the first year and a half of PDX with no car). I had a bike in college (4 yrs) and one in the early 80s for less than 5 years. During the times I had a bike, I also had a car and was driving a lot more than cycling. My point being that I and most other people have logged a lot more public road miles in cars than on bikes. Almost no one I work with commutes by bike to work and those that do, pretty much don't in the winter. So if you want your bogus statistics to be meaningful (you know the adage - figures cannot lie but ...) let's have an apples to apples comparison. Fatalities per mile traveled in cars versus fatalities per mile traveled on bicycle. Until then, all there is noise from your corner.
There is some reason to think that existing safety issues would be improved with more cycling, rather than less. Especially if it were accompanied by better driver training and more stringent driver licensing standards.
Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually.
Comparing the raw headcount of auto/bike fatalities is worthless by itself. The number of fatalities per trip per technology would be a valid comparison. There's no point in even looking up what is the obvious answer.
Right. The *fact* that 40,000 people die in auto accidents while 650 die in bicycle accidents is meaningless.
Unless of course you're not obsessively, compulsively anti-bicycle.
Yes, normalizing the data by VMT paints a different picture. As does normalizing by travel time. But aggregate numbers are not "meaningless" if you value human life. Or are concerned with public health.
Unless of course you're not obsessively, compulsively anti-bicycle.
Joey, you've picked the wrong audience. Here, the mantra is, unless public funds are spent directly on cars and their infrastructure, they're wasted and misused. The idea that people who wish to drive are advantaged by measures that encourage bicycles, or that it may be good policy to encourage and support cycling for public health or energy conservation purposes, is too foreign and complex for them and doesn't resonate with their immediate perception of self-interest.
Personally, I was talking about Joey's misuse of the helmet statistic, which he misused to imply that not wearing one was a contributing factor in all but 10% the deaths he named. There is simply no proof of that. In fact, not wearing a helmet is almost always the least of the cyclists' problem in fatal auto-bike accidents. Helemt use would not have saved a single rider in any of the most recent PDX deaths. But those "facts" don't stop the pimping of a bogus statistical analysis. Take a statistics and logic class, then maybe you'll have more success using them to make a point.
I was talking about Joey's misuse of the helmet statistic, which he misused to imply that not wearing one was a contributing factor in all but 10% the deaths he named.
Misuse of the helmet statistic? Imply? I presented data, including what I found to be an interesting data point that 90% of the 650 bicycle deaths involved people who were not wearing helmets. There's no implication. It was a parenthetical aside.
If you really want to start massaging the data so it tells the "true story" (?!), perhaps we should include the health and environment implications of auto emissions, the automobile's role in Americans' increasingly sedentary lifestyles, etc.
The only implication I'm trying to make is that bicycles are not the evil of evils. I simply don't understand the obsession and demagoguery. There are greater threats/costs/etc. to society.
I think the market is going to move faster than the argument. The ongoing revolution in computer modeling and design + increased sophistication with materials and fabrication techniques + increased consumer interest in non-auto modes of transport are all likely to complicate the issue with greater speed in the coming years. Innovations tend to force changes, and in unexpected ways. Obviously we're not seeing Segways everywhere but there's no doubt that a greater variety of vehicles will continue to press into spaces where cars dominate. And the familiar ones — scooters, bicycles, skateboards, etc. — continue their evolution in speed and performance in ways that surprise and worry passing drivers.
So much of America's infrastructure came of age with, and was built exclusively for, automobiles that using it with any other sort of vehicle is definitely inherently dangerous as well as something of a counter-cultural act. In a car, it's an unbelievably awesome system. But even if it were a perfect system we're hardly a species that can leave well enough alone. Changes are coming. I personally hope that, like the early days of flight, all of the terrible decisions, miscalculations, rocketing fatalities, and crass spectacle leads somewhere pretty cool.
Merely pointing out an erroneous usage of statistics doesn't mean I'm against bicycles for heaven's sake. Such narrow black-and-thinking, tsk tsk. No wonder everything is falling apart.
What was "erroneous" about the usage of statistics? About 40,000 people die in automobile accidents every year. Fact. About 650 people die in bicycle accidents every year. Fact. People can interpret data in different ways.
Simply asserting that someone has misused these facts because you don't like them is disingenuous. Tsk tsk. No wonder everything is falling apart.
One of the things that rather proves the delusions of the bikes are better crowd is another whole issue involving statistics. Quite bluntly, the populations going to quickly skew towards aging (the first of the Baby Boomers are reaching retirement age this very year). And most retirees are not likely to make bicycles their transportation of choice for a lot of reasons.
Between 2010 and 2050 the 65 and over population in the US will increase from 13% to 20%.
America's elderly population is expected to reach 72 million by 2030, more than double the number in 2000.
As boomer whose joints are already not in great shape, the thought of giving up my very safe and cushy ride with heated seats for a bicycle is unlikely. I thought about buying one for recreation last year and the urban test ride convinced me I was better off walking than dealing with a bike.
So when bikers have to get licensed and their bikes get registered to pay for their use of the streets, I might be inclined to listen. Until then, what I hear is just more entitled whining.
It's erroneous because it's as dumb an argument as saying "more people die by riding bicycles than by walking" (probably a true statement), so biking is bad for you.
Yeh, Allan L., I'm with you-"safety issues would improve with more cycling".
I've noticed that when ants head out from their nest, the column with the singular or a few ants dart everywhere, backtracking, flipping around. But the columns that have numerous ants, everything seems to have less accidents.
As a lifestyle choice, I suspect being sedentary (ie sitting on the sofa in front of the boob tube) is a lot more dangerous, and causes more deaths and attendant societal costs than riding a non polluting bicycle. Most of us survived childhood on a bicycle without a helmet. You can't eliminate all dangers in life. I just don't get the sharpness of the anti bike rhetoric on this site. Where does it come from? What is the threat that so many seem to feel about those who choose bicycles as a mode of transportation. Don't we have enough fear mongering in our daily press and politics without inciting paranoia about something as common place and simple as bicycles.
Is riding a bike across town more dangerous than walking in space? Intuition says no. But I can guarantee you that the bike trip costs a hell of a lot less.
"Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually."
Joey, When you remove riders not wearing helmets from your statistical "analysis" of bike fatalities, you (consciously or not) imply that wearing a helmet would have saved their lives, a leap of faith for which there is no proof in the evidence you provided. That was my point.
Is it safer to wear a helmet than not? Of course it is. But lets not pollute debates with poorly used "data." It's already been mentioned, but just because someone points out a gigantic flaw in your argument doesn't mean they disagree with your general principle.
P.S. Use of parentheses is a totally awesome way to let readers know that you want something to be considered as a "parenthetical aside." Using a phrase like "in other words" will put whatever follows smack dab in the middle of your point, not on the side.
What is the threat that so many seem to feel about those who choose bicycles as a mode of transportation.
It's not a threat, so much as (a) the annoyance you feel when a cyclist unnecessarily slows you down or forces you to take evasive action, and (b) a real fear that you're going to hit one of the clowns who pull daredevil stunts and ride around at night in their best hipster black.
Then there's the raiding of already outrageous sewer fees.
Then there's the "sharrows" and the constant preaching.
I have to disagree. I know a number of retirees that bicycle daily for recreation and fitness.
These folks are mostly in rural Oregon (to wit: Madras, Vale, Grants Pass, Cottage Grove) and simply experience the fun and fitness that comes with biking, even though they don't have nearly the infrastructure we have here.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (40)
Impossible to say, since you're comparing an activIty that's about as rare as Hope Diamonds with one that's about as common as, well, riding a bike.
And riding a bike wouldn't be as dangerous if only People who went through fantastically expensive training and selection progrAms were allowed to compete for the very limited opportunities to do it, and they spent billions on each ride.
But, other than that, point well taken. Bikes are very hazardous. As soon as the MORE dangerous transport problems are solved, then we should definitely do Something about the bikes. I'm for complete separation from cars myself, with a nice network of carless roads provided in parallEl to the roads for machine powered vehicles ...seems like everyone would be happier.
Posted by George Anonymuncule Seldes | January 16, 2011 11:49 PM
Bicycles are hazardous, and their hazards should be disclosed to people if the government is going to spend millions to promote them. Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training and licensing system in place, as there is with motorcycles. There are also some places where bicycles shouldn't be allowed -- Highway 26 west of town, for starters. 'Til then, see you in the emergency room next to the astronaut with the broken hip -- or maybe at the undertaker's when that semi doesn't see you.
Posted by Jack Bog | January 17, 2011 12:06 AM
What a silly comparison.
Posted by John | January 17, 2011 12:06 AM
You're right. Just because a guy can do a spacewalk doesn't mean he can ride a bike without breaking his hip. It will be interesting to hear the details of the accident.
Posted by Jack Bog | January 17, 2011 12:12 AM
It wasn't an accident, he was confirming e=mc2 on earth as opposed to space.
Posted by phil | January 17, 2011 4:19 AM
Two bad weekends for NASA. Of course, they've had worse.
Posted by Jack Bog | January 17, 2011 4:32 AM
No doubt about it, Air bags should be standard equipment.
Posted by Abe | January 17, 2011 6:40 AM
Bicycles are hazardous, and their hazards should be disclosed to people if the government is going to spend millions to promote them. Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training
There is. We call it "childhood".
Posted by Allan L. | January 17, 2011 7:21 AM
"In space, no one can hear your fixie."
Posted by Texas Triffid Ranch | January 17, 2011 7:25 AM
Which are you more likely to see? A human from earth completing a space walk, or someone from outer space riding a bike in Portland:)
Posted by gibby | January 17, 2011 7:51 AM
Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually.
Clearly, the biggest threat to public health, safety and welfare is bicycles. Keep up the anti-bike crusade, folks.
Posted by Joey | January 17, 2011 10:02 AM
OKAY
Posted by phil | January 17, 2011 10:04 AM
Cyclists would get that disclosure, and learn how to avoid the problems, if there were some sort of mandatory training and licensing system in place, as there is with motorcycles.
What about pedestrians or runners? I think about 4,500 "pedestrians" are killed every year. Perhaps we should train and license them as well?
Posted by Joey | January 17, 2011 10:08 AM
Let's just ban bicycling and any sport or activity that might result in injury....at the very least WE NEED TO PROTECT THE CHILDREN!!!!!!!
Posted by John Peterson | January 17, 2011 10:19 AM
Joey -
I've been driving on public roads (leaving out the earlier field car experiences) since I was not quite 16. That's almost 40 years of driving (minus the year in Boston with no car and the first year and a half of PDX with no car). I had a bike in college (4 yrs) and one in the early 80s for less than 5 years. During the times I had a bike, I also had a car and was driving a lot more than cycling. My point being that I and most other people have logged a lot more public road miles in cars than on bikes. Almost no one I work with commutes by bike to work and those that do, pretty much don't in the winter. So if you want your bogus statistics to be meaningful (you know the adage - figures cannot lie but ...) let's have an apples to apples comparison. Fatalities per mile traveled in cars versus fatalities per mile traveled on bicycle. Until then, all there is noise from your corner.
Posted by LucsAdvo | January 17, 2011 10:20 AM
What about pedestrians or runners? I think about 4,500 "pedestrians" are killed every year. Perhaps we should train and license them as well?
Well, if they are in the traffic lanes with 2-ton automobiles going 45 mph, they need something.
Posted by Jon | January 17, 2011 10:21 AM
There is some reason to think that existing safety issues would be improved with more cycling, rather than less. Especially if it were accompanied by better driver training and more stringent driver licensing standards.
Posted by Allan L. | January 17, 2011 10:27 AM
Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually.
Comparing the raw headcount of auto/bike fatalities is worthless by itself. The number of fatalities per trip per technology would be a valid comparison. There's no point in even looking up what is the obvious answer.
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | January 17, 2011 11:29 AM
Thank you, Joey, for the lesson misusing statistics. Well done.
Posted by pmalach | January 17, 2011 11:48 AM
Right. The *fact* that 40,000 people die in auto accidents while 650 die in bicycle accidents is meaningless.
Unless of course you're not obsessively, compulsively anti-bicycle.
Yes, normalizing the data by VMT paints a different picture. As does normalizing by travel time. But aggregate numbers are not "meaningless" if you value human life. Or are concerned with public health.
Posted by Joey | January 17, 2011 11:51 AM
Unless of course you're not obsessively, compulsively anti-bicycle.
Joey, you've picked the wrong audience. Here, the mantra is, unless public funds are spent directly on cars and their infrastructure, they're wasted and misused. The idea that people who wish to drive are advantaged by measures that encourage bicycles, or that it may be good policy to encourage and support cycling for public health or energy conservation purposes, is too foreign and complex for them and doesn't resonate with their immediate perception of self-interest.
Posted by Allan L. | January 17, 2011 11:58 AM
Personally, I was talking about Joey's misuse of the helmet statistic, which he misused to imply that not wearing one was a contributing factor in all but 10% the deaths he named. There is simply no proof of that. In fact, not wearing a helmet is almost always the least of the cyclists' problem in fatal auto-bike accidents. Helemt use would not have saved a single rider in any of the most recent PDX deaths. But those "facts" don't stop the pimping of a bogus statistical analysis. Take a statistics and logic class, then maybe you'll have more success using them to make a point.
Posted by pmalach | January 17, 2011 12:11 PM
...their immediate perception of self-interest.
A subject about which you are, doubtless, the reigning expert. Blinkers on, helmet on, ride on!
A bit thick, wot?
Posted by cc | January 17, 2011 12:29 PM
I was talking about Joey's misuse of the helmet statistic, which he misused to imply that not wearing one was a contributing factor in all but 10% the deaths he named.
Misuse of the helmet statistic? Imply? I presented data, including what I found to be an interesting data point that 90% of the 650 bicycle deaths involved people who were not wearing helmets. There's no implication. It was a parenthetical aside.
If you really want to start massaging the data so it tells the "true story" (?!), perhaps we should include the health and environment implications of auto emissions, the automobile's role in Americans' increasingly sedentary lifestyles, etc.
The only implication I'm trying to make is that bicycles are not the evil of evils. I simply don't understand the obsession and demagoguery. There are greater threats/costs/etc. to society.
Posted by Joey | January 17, 2011 12:35 PM
As usual, cc, nothing to offer but insults? Disappointing, if not surprising.
Posted by Allan L. | January 17, 2011 12:35 PM
things can happen... not good news for NASA... Speedy recovery...
Posted by h | January 17, 2011 12:57 PM
I think the market is going to move faster than the argument. The ongoing revolution in computer modeling and design + increased sophistication with materials and fabrication techniques + increased consumer interest in non-auto modes of transport are all likely to complicate the issue with greater speed in the coming years. Innovations tend to force changes, and in unexpected ways. Obviously we're not seeing Segways everywhere but there's no doubt that a greater variety of vehicles will continue to press into spaces where cars dominate. And the familiar ones — scooters, bicycles, skateboards, etc. — continue their evolution in speed and performance in ways that surprise and worry passing drivers.
So much of America's infrastructure came of age with, and was built exclusively for, automobiles that using it with any other sort of vehicle is definitely inherently dangerous as well as something of a counter-cultural act. In a car, it's an unbelievably awesome system. But even if it were a perfect system we're hardly a species that can leave well enough alone. Changes are coming. I personally hope that, like the early days of flight, all of the terrible decisions, miscalculations, rocketing fatalities, and crass spectacle leads somewhere pretty cool.
Posted by ep | January 17, 2011 1:15 PM
Driving an automobile is by far the most dangerous mode of transportation.
Americans have decided they are willing to accept the risks related to driving, because cars are so convenient.
I'm cool with this, I just wish people would be more honest about it.
Posted by Justin | January 17, 2011 2:41 PM
skateboards, etc. — continue their evolution in speed and performance in ways that surprise and worry passing drivers.
Wow. Where did that come from? Skateboards?
Speed and performance evolution?
Did somebody change the law of gravity?
Posted by Max | January 17, 2011 3:06 PM
Merely pointing out an erroneous usage of statistics doesn't mean I'm against bicycles for heaven's sake. Such narrow black-and-thinking, tsk tsk. No wonder everything is falling apart.
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | January 17, 2011 3:55 PM
What was "erroneous" about the usage of statistics? About 40,000 people die in automobile accidents every year. Fact. About 650 people die in bicycle accidents every year. Fact. People can interpret data in different ways.
Simply asserting that someone has misused these facts because you don't like them is disingenuous. Tsk tsk. No wonder everything is falling apart.
Posted by Joey | January 17, 2011 4:40 PM
One of the things that rather proves the delusions of the bikes are better crowd is another whole issue involving statistics. Quite bluntly, the populations going to quickly skew towards aging (the first of the Baby Boomers are reaching retirement age this very year). And most retirees are not likely to make bicycles their transportation of choice for a lot of reasons.
Between 2010 and 2050 the 65 and over population in the US will increase from 13% to 20%.
America's elderly population is expected to reach 72 million by 2030, more than double the number in 2000.
As boomer whose joints are already not in great shape, the thought of giving up my very safe and cushy ride with heated seats for a bicycle is unlikely. I thought about buying one for recreation last year and the urban test ride convinced me I was better off walking than dealing with a bike.
So when bikers have to get licensed and their bikes get registered to pay for their use of the streets, I might be inclined to listen. Until then, what I hear is just more entitled whining.
Posted by LucsAdvo | January 17, 2011 5:13 PM
It's erroneous because it's as dumb an argument as saying "more people die by riding bicycles than by walking" (probably a true statement), so biking is bad for you.
Enough of this silly argument.
Posted by Mr. Grumpy | January 17, 2011 5:26 PM
Yeh, Allan L., I'm with you-"safety issues would improve with more cycling".
I've noticed that when ants head out from their nest, the column with the singular or a few ants dart everywhere, backtracking, flipping around. But the columns that have numerous ants, everything seems to have less accidents.
Posted by lw | January 17, 2011 6:15 PM
As a lifestyle choice, I suspect being sedentary (ie sitting on the sofa in front of the boob tube) is a lot more dangerous, and causes more deaths and attendant societal costs than riding a non polluting bicycle. Most of us survived childhood on a bicycle without a helmet. You can't eliminate all dangers in life. I just don't get the sharpness of the anti bike rhetoric on this site. Where does it come from? What is the threat that so many seem to feel about those who choose bicycles as a mode of transportation. Don't we have enough fear mongering in our daily press and politics without inciting paranoia about something as common place and simple as bicycles.
Posted by Drew G. | January 17, 2011 7:36 PM
Is riding a bike across town more dangerous than walking in space? Intuition says no. But I can guarantee you that the bike trip costs a hell of a lot less.
"Roughly 40,000 Americans die in automobile accidents every year, compared to about 650 bicyclists (90% were not wearing helmets). In other words, only about 60 cyclists who are wearing a helmet are killed annually."
Joey, When you remove riders not wearing helmets from your statistical "analysis" of bike fatalities, you (consciously or not) imply that wearing a helmet would have saved their lives, a leap of faith for which there is no proof in the evidence you provided. That was my point.
Is it safer to wear a helmet than not? Of course it is. But lets not pollute debates with poorly used "data." It's already been mentioned, but just because someone points out a gigantic flaw in your argument doesn't mean they disagree with your general principle.
P.S. Use of parentheses is a totally awesome way to let readers know that you want something to be considered as a "parenthetical aside." Using a phrase like "in other words" will put whatever follows smack dab in the middle of your point, not on the side.
Posted by pmalach | January 17, 2011 8:02 PM
What is the threat that so many seem to feel about those who choose bicycles as a mode of transportation.
It's not a threat, so much as (a) the annoyance you feel when a cyclist unnecessarily slows you down or forces you to take evasive action, and (b) a real fear that you're going to hit one of the clowns who pull daredevil stunts and ride around at night in their best hipster black.
Then there's the raiding of already outrageous sewer fees.
Then there's the "sharrows" and the constant preaching.
After a while, you get a backlash.
Posted by Jack Bog | January 17, 2011 10:54 PM
LucsAdvo,
I have to disagree. I know a number of retirees that bicycle daily for recreation and fitness.
These folks are mostly in rural Oregon (to wit: Madras, Vale, Grants Pass, Cottage Grove) and simply experience the fun and fitness that comes with biking, even though they don't have nearly the infrastructure we have here.
Posted by Andrew | January 18, 2011 11:21 AM
As usual, cc, nothing to offer but insults? Disappointing, if not surprising.
To each according his need...
Posted by cc | January 18, 2011 8:17 PM
To each according his need...
Can I get another "to"???
Never mind, the moment has passed - if there ever was a moment.
Posted by cc | January 18, 2011 8:27 PM