We could use an enemy (other than the amorphous "terror"). Our domestic politics functioned better when we had something outside the country to think about.
China is not a communist country, they are a capitalist country and they are doing their best to modernize with the advantage of not needing to spend the money and time for R+D.
"with the advantage of not needing to spend the money and time for R+D."
Are you sure? China does take advantage of a lot of the technology we supply to them, but they do spend a lot on upgrading infrastructure and realize they need to look forward.
The other advantage is the one party rule. So instead of spending a lot of time making the other party look bad, they can actually focus on long-range planning.
Govt here top-to-bottom is always interested in the next patch to make it thru the day.
Plus Chinese politicians are smarter than our guys and have patience.
We get the best deal no matter what. We get all the stuff China makes and they get our bonds which are worth less and less. Stuff for paper, nice trade.
We get the best deal no matter what. We get all the stuff China makes and they get our bonds which are worth less and less. Stuff for paper, nice trade.
If you don't think that they'll trade paper for blood, I've overestimated you.
Clinamen and Rettig: We just keep printing more monopoly money and use it to pay them back. China has no choice but to take it, and if they don’t their economy will crash. They are totally aware of what is happening and that is why they are not revaluing their currency. Their worst fear is inflation in the western economies. Unfortunately that is inevitable. If it happens slowly enough they will cope. I personally buy gold and silver. You might want to consider it.
We're not using dollars to "pay China back" so much as we are using dollars to buy goods, since most of the goods we consume are produced in China. China buys our bonds because, well, what else are they going to do with the dollars we spent at their factories? Put them in a mattress? They could sell the dollars on the foreign currency markets, but that would depress the value of the dollar and make their goods more expensive for us, which they don't want. But the idea that we are somehow financing our national debt by selling bonds to China is a fantasy. It's our trade deficit that produces this. Our deficit doesn't need "financing", nor does our national "debt".
"what else are they going to do with the dollars we spent at their factories?"
Buy hard assets like oil fields in African countries or gold since bonds will be a wasting asset. They'll also buy technology since Bonds are just a parking place for money now, they are just trying to figure their investment targets now.
If you look at gold over the past year you may have noticed an increase in price.
I'm still trying to get over the two-faced irony of closing Hanford's coal-powered plant and then funneling megabucks into outfitting ports in Longview and Portland to enable the shipment of coal to China where it will -- one suspects -- enter the same atmosphere when it's burned.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
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L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
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Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 32
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (11)
We could use an enemy (other than the amorphous "terror"). Our domestic politics functioned better when we had something outside the country to think about.
Posted by Allan L. | December 4, 2010 11:12 AM
China is not a communist country, they are a capitalist country and they are doing their best to modernize with the advantage of not needing to spend the money and time for R+D.
Posted by Kimber45 | December 4, 2010 12:01 PM
"with the advantage of not needing to spend the money and time for R+D."
Are you sure? China does take advantage of a lot of the technology we supply to them, but they do spend a lot on upgrading infrastructure and realize they need to look forward.
The other advantage is the one party rule. So instead of spending a lot of time making the other party look bad, they can actually focus on long-range planning.
Govt here top-to-bottom is always interested in the next patch to make it thru the day.
Plus Chinese politicians are smarter than our guys and have patience.
Posted by Steve | December 4, 2010 12:21 PM
We get the best deal no matter what. We get all the stuff China makes and they get our bonds which are worth less and less. Stuff for paper, nice trade.
Posted by John Benton | December 4, 2010 12:22 PM
. . Stuff for paper, nice trade.
Until . . time to collect.
Do they get to own the Golden Gate Bridge?
and. . and . .
Posted by clinamen | December 4, 2010 1:26 PM
We get the best deal no matter what. We get all the stuff China makes and they get our bonds which are worth less and less. Stuff for paper, nice trade.
If you don't think that they'll trade paper for blood, I've overestimated you.
Posted by John Rettig | December 4, 2010 6:08 PM
Clinamen and Rettig: We just keep printing more monopoly money and use it to pay them back. China has no choice but to take it, and if they don’t their economy will crash. They are totally aware of what is happening and that is why they are not revaluing their currency. Their worst fear is inflation in the western economies. Unfortunately that is inevitable. If it happens slowly enough they will cope. I personally buy gold and silver. You might want to consider it.
Posted by John Benton | December 4, 2010 6:30 PM
We're not using dollars to "pay China back" so much as we are using dollars to buy goods, since most of the goods we consume are produced in China. China buys our bonds because, well, what else are they going to do with the dollars we spent at their factories? Put them in a mattress? They could sell the dollars on the foreign currency markets, but that would depress the value of the dollar and make their goods more expensive for us, which they don't want. But the idea that we are somehow financing our national debt by selling bonds to China is a fantasy. It's our trade deficit that produces this. Our deficit doesn't need "financing", nor does our national "debt".
Posted by Allan L. | December 5, 2010 8:55 AM
"what else are they going to do with the dollars we spent at their factories?"
Buy hard assets like oil fields in African countries or gold since bonds will be a wasting asset. They'll also buy technology since Bonds are just a parking place for money now, they are just trying to figure their investment targets now.
If you look at gold over the past year you may have noticed an increase in price.
Posted by Steve | December 5, 2010 9:21 AM
I'm still trying to get over the two-faced irony of closing Hanford's coal-powered plant and then funneling megabucks into outfitting ports in Longview and Portland to enable the shipment of coal to China where it will -- one suspects -- enter the same atmosphere when it's burned.
Posted by NW Portlander | December 5, 2010 10:40 AM
The Chinese are building alot of submarines for a country that doesn't plan on fighting an enemy.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-492804/The-uninvited-guest-Chinese-sub-pops-middle-U-S-Navy-exercise-leaving-military-chiefs-red-faced.html
Posted by Mister Tee | December 6, 2010 10:50 AM