Meter updates every 30 seconds. Click here for
an instant update.
Our complete Portland debt series linked here.



Clearance sale
The bojack bumper sticker -- only $1.50!

To order, click here.







Excellent tunes -- free! And on your browser right now. Just click on Radio Bojack!






E-mail us here.

About

This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on August 4, 2010 7:48 AM. The previous post in this blog was In the early morning rain. The next post in this blog is We're No. 1. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

Links

Law and Taxation
How Appealing
Bag and Baggage
TaxProf Blog
Mauled Again
A Taxing Matter
TaxVox
Tax.com
Josh Marquis
Native America, Discovered and Conquered
The Yin Blog
OrCon Law
Ernie the Attorney
Conglomerate
Above the Law
The Volokh Conspiracy
Going Concern
Wealth Strategies Journal
Jim Hamilton's World of Securities Regulation
myCorporateResource.com
World of Work
The Faculty Lounge
Lowering the Bar

Hap'nin' Guys
Tony Pierce
Parkway Rest Stop
Utterly Boring.com
Dwight Jaynes
Bob Borden
Dingleberry Gazette
The Red Electric
Iced Borscht
Positively Glorious
The Rural Bus Route
Another Blogger
Jeremy Blachman
Dean's Rhetorical Flourish
Straight White Guy
HinesSight
Onfocus
AntSaint
Jalpuna
Rise Above
Beerdrinker.org
As Time Goes By
Dave Wagner
Jeff Selis
Alas, a Blog
Scott Hendison
Sansego
The View Through the Windshield
Mikeyman's Computer Treehouse
Appliance Blog
The Bleat
Rosenblog

Hap'nin' Gals
My Whim is Law
Lelo in Nopo
Attorney at Large
Linda Kruschke
The Non-Consumer Advocate
10 Steps to Finding Your Happy Place
A Pig of Success
Attorney at Large
Margaret and Helen
Kimberlee Jaynes
Cornelia Seigneur
Evidently
And Sew It Goes
Mile 73
Rainy Day Thoughts
That Black Girl
Posie Gets Cozy
{AE}
Cat Eyes
Kerianne
Melissa Lion
Rhi in Pink
Althouse
GirlHacker
Ragwaters, Bitters, and Blue Ruin
Heather Bea
Gina Rau
Chantel Williams
Frytopia
I Count to 4 (Nth of Pril)
Rose City Journal
Ready or Not
Lao Ocean Girl
Type Like the Wind

Portland and Oregon
Isaac Laquedem
StumptownBlogger
Rantings of a [Censored] Bus Driver
Jeff Mapes
Another Portland Blog
The Portlander
Gail Achterman
South Waterfront
Amanda Fritz
O City Hall Reporters
Guilty Carnivore
Old Town by Larry Norton
The Alaunt
Bend Blogs
Lost Oregon
Cafe Unknown
Tin Zeroes
David's Oregon Picayune
Mark Nelsen's Weather Blog
Travel Oregon Blog
Portland Housing Blog
Portland Daily Photo
Portland Building Ads
Portland Food and Drink.com
Dave Knows Portland
Idaho's Portugal
Alameda Old House History
MLK in Motion
LoveSalem

Retired from Blogging
Various Observations...
The Daily E-Mail
Saving James
Portland Freelancer
Furious Nads (b!X)
Izzle Pfaff
The Grich
Kevin Allman
AboutItAll - Oregon
Lost in the Details
Worldwide Pablo
Tales from the Stump
Whitman Boys
Misterblue
Two Pennies
This Stony Planet
1221 SW 4th
Twisty
I am a Fish
Here Today
What If...?
Superinky Fixations
Pinktalk
Mellow-Drama

Wonderfully Wacky
Dave Barry
Borowitz Report
Blort
Stuff White People Like
Probably Bad News
The Dullest Blog in the World
Worst of the Web
The Ultimate Insult
Scrabo's Mad World
Lancow's E-mail

Valuable Time-Wasters
My Gallery of Jacks
Litterbox, On the Prowl
Litterbox, Bag of Bones
Litterbox, Scratch
Maukie
Ride That Donkey
Singin' Horses
Rally Monkey
Simon Swears
Strong Bad's E-mail

Oregon News
KGW-TV
The Oregonian
Portland Tribune
KOIN
Willamette Week
KATU
The Sentinel
Southeast Examiner
Northwest Examiner
Sellwood Bee
Mid-County Memo
Vancouver Voice
Eugene Register-Guard
OPB
Topix.net - Portland
Salem Statesman-Journal
Oregon Capitol News
Portland Business Journal
Daily Journal of Commerce
Oregon Business
KPTV
Portland Info Net
McMinnville News Register
Lake Oswego Review
The Daily Astorian
Bend Bulletin
Corvallis Gazette-Times
Roseburg News-Review
Medford Mail-Tribune
Ashland Daily Tidings
Newport News-Times
Albany Democrat-Herald
The Eugene Weekly
Portland IndyMedia
The Columbian

Music-Related
The Beatles
Bruce Springsteen
Seal
Sting
Joni Mitchell
Ella Fitzgerald
Steve Earle
Joe Ely
Stevie Wonder
Lou Rawls

E-mail, Feeds, 'n' Stuff

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Why economists don't run the country

Here's an idea: Privatize unemployment.

Comments (18)

Makes as much sense as health care savings accounts.

It's already been privatized: a bank owns the car you live in.

Allan L. - lol

Ok, I don't know about the universe the authors live in but in the real world unemployment insurance is financed by employers, not employees.

Economists envy physicists. That is the equation.

I don't know what the math symbol for envy is, but there must be one.

Somewhere!

Haven't found one for economists, but here's the one for lawyers:

Σ

"In summation...."

This proposal presupposes a "moral hazard" in the current system because some people (e.g., single and childless adults with few recurring expenses) are able to live off UI. To the extent this is true, it's actually a good thing, as it lowers competition for whatever jobs do exist among those for whom UI does not suffice (e.g., people with families and burdensome mortgage payments). I suspect that Cascade's real intent here is to further increase downward pressure on wages by forcing more people to compete for jobs rather than stay on UI. The fact that the combined un- and underemployment rate is now about 20 percent doesn't seem to bother them at all. Especially in times like these, allowing some people to take a break from the labor market so others get a better shot at the available jobs is good social policy. Leave it alone.

Uh, Sid... really? I am sure that the cost of unemployment insurance is taken care of by whatever compensation scheme (you know like health insurance, etc.) whatever corporation has cooked up.

Thing is, Krugman could use prescisely the same math to prove exactly the opposite thesis. It's magic!

"...in the real world unemployment insurance is financed by employers, not employees.

It might be financed by employers, but it is paid for by employees in the form of lower wages. Same with health insurance.

The typesetting in those equations is really gross. They should use LaTeX!

Cascade blows and so do their Randian trickle-down economic theories. When are they going to get around to discussing the "moral hazard" of tax "shirkers"?

Private UI is a completely useless concept. In an economic downturn likely to produce large numbers of unemployed people (like we're in) private UI accounts that were invested in stocks or something of the sort would suffer the same kind of depletion that private retirement accounts have taken the past few years.

Darrel did you actually read the article or did you just assume?

Here is your solution to the "useless concept" you present, limit investment options.

I don't know if you have been paying attention but that current pool of unemployment benefits that have you been paying into isn't exactly immune from downturns either.

Sid, the authors live in a universe where employers can only pay employees up to the value they add to the enterprise. If employers have to write a check to the state for unemployment insurance, that reduces the value of their employees, meaning that in reality unemployment insurance ends up being paid by the employees. This is economic reality; sorry if the math equations threw you.

So, if employees are paying the cost of their own unemployment insurance, the authors are arguing that they should stand to benefit from those payments more than they do now.

I read the article.

It does nothing to address payments for the large numbers of currently unemployed people. None of those people will ever have the kind of personal unemployment account the authors put forward unless they get jobs again and have those jobs long enough to sock away an amount significant enough to get them back on their feet again and see them through hard times.

It does nothing to address the fact that a lot of those people are likely to remain unemployed and become more unemployable with time as their skill sets go out of date before the economy recovers enough to reabsorb them (assuming it does).

It does nothing to address the potential that a significant number of people are likely to become unemployed in the near future because despite the happy talk of the administration and the bankers, a "jobless recovery" isn't a real recovery.

You say limiting investment options is a solution, but investment options for 401k plans are limited, too, so I'm not sure how that's supposed to be a solution. In most cases you have only a specific range of investment options available through an employer's 401k.

Unemployment benefits already vary in size based on previous wages. Does Cascade's crack team of Quebecois economists not know that? You'll make more money as a laid-off tech dude (up to a limit) than if you lose your job at the corner grocery. Presumably because you've paid more in UI withholding.

And I still think Cascade could devote some time to advocating for tougher tax law enforcement and closure of loopholes than propping up Reagan as a marionette and coming up with stories about unemployment kings driving Caddys when it's pretty damn obvious that there are a lot of people who legitimately can't find work. Or sell their houses to move someplace where there is work.

A couple of folks wrote that employees really pay the unemployment insurance costs because it results in lower money available for wages and hence lower wages.

If you really believe that abolishing the employer contribution for unemployment insurance (or for health care or for social security) would result in employers passing those savings along 100% to employees in the form of higher wages you need to leave Fantasy Island and return to the real world. That 100% of benefits are ultimately paid by employees in the form of lower wages is a great unsupported myth of conservatives to argue against any employee benefits, similar to the myth that 100% of a corporate income tax is passed on to consumers.

I know of a lot of situations where the SS contribution by employers ends near the end of the year as high wage employees hit the SS earnings limitation, but I know of no situation where the employer increases the compensation in those months to account for the fact that the employer no longer has to pay the match. (And no, employers have not taken the reduced contribution into account when setting compensation for individuals that meet SS earnings limits).

Don't you just hate it when facts and observations get in the way of your ideological position. Oh, and by the way my Ph. D. is in Economics and Quantitative Analysis, so I understand the math. What I do not understand is the position of many people, to paraphrase the editor in Liberty Valence, that "when theory and reality conflict, print the theory".

Sid - at the rate they keep raising the amount to hit the SS earnings limit, far fewer folks are going qualify. I know because it's getting later and later in the year for that bite to stop coming out of my paycheck. I am not a conservative either but I have spent far too much time around HR and corporate compensation types to know what goes into their thinking when they jigger salaries... Your PhD is fine and dandy but where is your real world experience?

Darrel you obviously didn't read the study. Yes some 401ks are limited to a set of crap proprietary mutual funds but how does that have anything to do with limited investment options in a UI account?

Please also look into what happened to the UI trusts in Oregon and around the country before you go on a rant about how individuals in control of their own money is bad and instead an individual controlling everyone’s money is better.

The proposed idea does have a solution for those who have not built up a big enough account, but you didn't actually read the article.

This UI idea usually incorporates an option to spend the account on reeducation so those who are laid off from a dying industry can be retrained and sent back into the economy.

What does UI benefits varying in size have anything to do with discrediting Cascade's study?


Sponsors







We accept advertising through Blogads. If you're interested, click the "Advertise here" link above, or go here to place your ad through Blogads. For assistance, e-mail me here; I'd be glad to help. Reach lots of viewers -- we're up to about 3,800 unique visits a day, and more than 61,000 page views a week (as of November 4). Our rates are dirt cheap for the exposure you'll get! If you'd like to advertise without going through the Blogads system, that's do-able, too. Just e-mail us here for more information.

As a lawyer/blogger, I get
to be a member of:

In Vino Veritas

Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
Cameron, Chardonnay
B.R. Cohn, Cabernet, Silver Label 2006
Graffigna, Cabernet 2005
Palo Alto, Reserve Red 2008
Menguante, Garnacha 2008
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Felsina Berardenga, Vin Santo 1997
Anne Amie, Pinot Gris 2009
McKinley Springs, Bombing Ramge Red 2007
Vieux Papes Red
Dionysius Chardonnay 2009
Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2009
Vega Montan, Mencia 2008
Chateau la Vernede, Coteaux du Languedoc 2007
Mount Defiance, Hellfire (White) 2008
Root: 1, Cabernet 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Pinot Grigio 2009
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 White, 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 Rose, 2007
Abacela, Grenache Rose 2009
Avia Cabernet 2004
Lemelson Pinot Noir, Thea's Selection 2007
Chateau de la Roulerie, Rose d'Anjou 2009
Casal Garcia, Vinho Verde Rose
La Ferme Julien, Rose 2008
Cana's Feast, Bricco Red, 2006
Hogue, Genesis Merlot, 2008
Owen Roe, Sharecropper's Cabernet, 2008
Kim Crawford, Unoaked Chardonnay 2008
J. Scott, Pinot Noir 2008
Edmunds St. John, White, Heart of Gold 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2006
Stevenot, Cabernet, Sierra Foothills, "Stanford" 2000
Portuga, Vinho Rose 2009
Taylor Fladgate, First Estate Reserve Porto
Franciscan, Cabernet, Napa 2006
Chaparral de Vega Sindoa, Garnacha 2008
Quinta da Aveleda, Vinho Verde 2008
St. Francis, Chardonnay Sonoma 2008
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Blanc, 2007
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Noir 2008
St. Innocent, Pinot Noir 2006
Jigsaw, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Indian Wells 2007
Charles Shaw, Chardonnay 2008
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Rosé 2009
Cameron, Willamette Valley Chardonnay
Il Valore, Sangiovese, Giovane, Puglia 2008
Duck Pond, Chardonnay, Wahluke Slope 2007
Kim Crawford, Marlborough Pinot Noir 2008
Domaine du Pesquier, Cotes du Rhone 2005
Cantina Zaccagnini, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2006
Domaine Matrot, Chardonnay, Bourgogne 2007
David Hill, Oregon Sparkling Wine, Brut
Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
David Hill, Estate Pinot Noir, Barrel Select 2006
Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
Magnificent, Cabernet, Steak House 2008
Conundrum 2008
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
La Granja, Tempranillo 360, 2008
Santa Rita, Mendalla Real Cabernet 2006
Columbia Crest, Grand Estates Merlot 2006
Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Collegiata, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo
Troon, Druid's Fluid 2008
La Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Monte Antico, Toscana 2006
Vieux Papes, Blanc de Blancs

The Occasional Book

Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 54
At this date last year: 50
Total run in 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269


Clicky Web Analytics