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This proposal presupposes a "moral hazard" in the current system because some people (e.g., single and childless adults with few recurring expenses) are able to live off UI. To the extent this is true, it's actually a good thing, as it lowers competition for whatever jobs do exist among those for whom UI does not suffice (e.g., people with families and burdensome mortgage payments). I suspect that Cascade's real intent here is to further increase downward pressure on wages by forcing more people to compete for jobs rather than stay on UI. The fact that the combined un- and underemployment rate is now about 20 percent doesn't seem to bother them at all. Especially in times like these, allowing some people to take a break from the labor market so others get a better shot at the available jobs is good social policy. Leave it alone.
Uh, Sid... really? I am sure that the cost of unemployment insurance is taken care of by whatever compensation scheme (you know like health insurance, etc.) whatever corporation has cooked up.
Cascade blows and so do their Randian trickle-down economic theories. When are they going to get around to discussing the "moral hazard" of tax "shirkers"?
Private UI is a completely useless concept. In an economic downturn likely to produce large numbers of unemployed people (like we're in) private UI accounts that were invested in stocks or something of the sort would suffer the same kind of depletion that private retirement accounts have taken the past few years.
Darrel did you actually read the article or did you just assume?
Here is your solution to the "useless concept" you present, limit investment options.
I don't know if you have been paying attention but that current pool of unemployment benefits that have you been paying into isn't exactly immune from downturns either.
Sid, the authors live in a universe where employers can only pay employees up to the value they add to the enterprise. If employers have to write a check to the state for unemployment insurance, that reduces the value of their employees, meaning that in reality unemployment insurance ends up being paid by the employees. This is economic reality; sorry if the math equations threw you.
So, if employees are paying the cost of their own unemployment insurance, the authors are arguing that they should stand to benefit from those payments more than they do now.
It does nothing to address payments for the large numbers of currently unemployed people. None of those people will ever have the kind of personal unemployment account the authors put forward unless they get jobs again and have those jobs long enough to sock away an amount significant enough to get them back on their feet again and see them through hard times.
It does nothing to address the fact that a lot of those people are likely to remain unemployed and become more unemployable with time as their skill sets go out of date before the economy recovers enough to reabsorb them (assuming it does).
It does nothing to address the potential that a significant number of people are likely to become unemployed in the near future because despite the happy talk of the administration and the bankers, a "jobless recovery" isn't a real recovery.
You say limiting investment options is a solution, but investment options for 401k plans are limited, too, so I'm not sure how that's supposed to be a solution. In most cases you have only a specific range of investment options available through an employer's 401k.
Unemployment benefits already vary in size based on previous wages. Does Cascade's crack team of Quebecois economists not know that? You'll make more money as a laid-off tech dude (up to a limit) than if you lose your job at the corner grocery. Presumably because you've paid more in UI withholding.
And I still think Cascade could devote some time to advocating for tougher tax law enforcement and closure of loopholes than propping up Reagan as a marionette and coming up with stories about unemployment kings driving Caddys when it's pretty damn obvious that there are a lot of people who legitimately can't find work. Or sell their houses to move someplace where there is work.
A couple of folks wrote that employees really pay the unemployment insurance costs because it results in lower money available for wages and hence lower wages.
If you really believe that abolishing the employer contribution for unemployment insurance (or for health care or for social security) would result in employers passing those savings along 100% to employees in the form of higher wages you need to leave Fantasy Island and return to the real world. That 100% of benefits are ultimately paid by employees in the form of lower wages is a great unsupported myth of conservatives to argue against any employee benefits, similar to the myth that 100% of a corporate income tax is passed on to consumers.
I know of a lot of situations where the SS contribution by employers ends near the end of the year as high wage employees hit the SS earnings limitation, but I know of no situation where the employer increases the compensation in those months to account for the fact that the employer no longer has to pay the match. (And no, employers have not taken the reduced contribution into account when setting compensation for individuals that meet SS earnings limits).
Don't you just hate it when facts and observations get in the way of your ideological position. Oh, and by the way my Ph. D. is in Economics and Quantitative Analysis, so I understand the math. What I do not understand is the position of many people, to paraphrase the editor in Liberty Valence, that "when theory and reality conflict, print the theory".
Sid - at the rate they keep raising the amount to hit the SS earnings limit, far fewer folks are going qualify. I know because it's getting later and later in the year for that bite to stop coming out of my paycheck. I am not a conservative either but I have spent far too much time around HR and corporate compensation types to know what goes into their thinking when they jigger salaries... Your PhD is fine and dandy but where is your real world experience?
Darrel you obviously didn't read the study. Yes some 401ks are limited to a set of crap proprietary mutual funds but how does that have anything to do with limited investment options in a UI account?
Please also look into what happened to the UI trusts in Oregon and around the country before you go on a rant about how individuals in control of their own money is bad and instead an individual controlling everyone’s money is better.
The proposed idea does have a solution for those who have not built up a big enough account, but you didn't actually read the article.
This UI idea usually incorporates an option to spend the account on reeducation so those who are laid off from a dying industry can be retrained and sent back into the economy.
What does UI benefits varying in size have anything to do with discrediting Cascade's study?
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 29
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (18)
Makes as much sense as health care savings accounts.
Posted by Conrad | August 4, 2010 8:31 AM
It's already been privatized: a bank owns the car you live in.
Posted by Allan L. | August 4, 2010 8:53 AM
Allan L. - lol
Posted by jon | August 4, 2010 9:58 AM
Ok, I don't know about the universe the authors live in but in the real world unemployment insurance is financed by employers, not employees.
Posted by Sid | August 4, 2010 10:04 AM
Economists envy physicists. That is the equation.
I don't know what the math symbol for envy is, but there must be one.
Somewhere!
Posted by Lawrence | August 4, 2010 10:28 AM
Haven't found one for economists, but here's the one for lawyers:
Σ
"In summation...."
Posted by Lawrence | August 4, 2010 10:40 AM
This proposal presupposes a "moral hazard" in the current system because some people (e.g., single and childless adults with few recurring expenses) are able to live off UI. To the extent this is true, it's actually a good thing, as it lowers competition for whatever jobs do exist among those for whom UI does not suffice (e.g., people with families and burdensome mortgage payments). I suspect that Cascade's real intent here is to further increase downward pressure on wages by forcing more people to compete for jobs rather than stay on UI. The fact that the combined un- and underemployment rate is now about 20 percent doesn't seem to bother them at all. Especially in times like these, allowing some people to take a break from the labor market so others get a better shot at the available jobs is good social policy. Leave it alone.
Posted by Semi-Cynic | August 4, 2010 11:12 AM
Uh, Sid... really? I am sure that the cost of unemployment insurance is taken care of by whatever compensation scheme (you know like health insurance, etc.) whatever corporation has cooked up.
Posted by LucsAdvo | August 4, 2010 11:30 AM
Thing is, Krugman could use prescisely the same math to prove exactly the opposite thesis. It's magic!
Posted by Grady Foster | August 4, 2010 4:55 PM
"...in the real world unemployment insurance is financed by employers, not employees.
It might be financed by employers, but it is paid for by employees in the form of lower wages. Same with health insurance.
Posted by MJ | August 4, 2010 5:34 PM
The typesetting in those equations is really gross. They should use LaTeX!
Posted by Chris | August 5, 2010 8:14 AM
Cascade blows and so do their Randian trickle-down economic theories. When are they going to get around to discussing the "moral hazard" of tax "shirkers"?
Private UI is a completely useless concept. In an economic downturn likely to produce large numbers of unemployed people (like we're in) private UI accounts that were invested in stocks or something of the sort would suffer the same kind of depletion that private retirement accounts have taken the past few years.
Posted by darrelplant | August 5, 2010 10:17 AM
Darrel did you actually read the article or did you just assume?
Here is your solution to the "useless concept" you present, limit investment options.
I don't know if you have been paying attention but that current pool of unemployment benefits that have you been paying into isn't exactly immune from downturns either.
Posted by wineagin | August 5, 2010 11:17 AM
Sid, the authors live in a universe where employers can only pay employees up to the value they add to the enterprise. If employers have to write a check to the state for unemployment insurance, that reduces the value of their employees, meaning that in reality unemployment insurance ends up being paid by the employees. This is economic reality; sorry if the math equations threw you.
So, if employees are paying the cost of their own unemployment insurance, the authors are arguing that they should stand to benefit from those payments more than they do now.
Posted by Steve Buckstein | August 5, 2010 11:38 AM
I read the article.
It does nothing to address payments for the large numbers of currently unemployed people. None of those people will ever have the kind of personal unemployment account the authors put forward unless they get jobs again and have those jobs long enough to sock away an amount significant enough to get them back on their feet again and see them through hard times.
It does nothing to address the fact that a lot of those people are likely to remain unemployed and become more unemployable with time as their skill sets go out of date before the economy recovers enough to reabsorb them (assuming it does).
It does nothing to address the potential that a significant number of people are likely to become unemployed in the near future because despite the happy talk of the administration and the bankers, a "jobless recovery" isn't a real recovery.
You say limiting investment options is a solution, but investment options for 401k plans are limited, too, so I'm not sure how that's supposed to be a solution. In most cases you have only a specific range of investment options available through an employer's 401k.
Unemployment benefits already vary in size based on previous wages. Does Cascade's crack team of Quebecois economists not know that? You'll make more money as a laid-off tech dude (up to a limit) than if you lose your job at the corner grocery. Presumably because you've paid more in UI withholding.
And I still think Cascade could devote some time to advocating for tougher tax law enforcement and closure of loopholes than propping up Reagan as a marionette and coming up with stories about unemployment kings driving Caddys when it's pretty damn obvious that there are a lot of people who legitimately can't find work. Or sell their houses to move someplace where there is work.
Posted by darrelplant | August 5, 2010 3:27 PM
A couple of folks wrote that employees really pay the unemployment insurance costs because it results in lower money available for wages and hence lower wages.
If you really believe that abolishing the employer contribution for unemployment insurance (or for health care or for social security) would result in employers passing those savings along 100% to employees in the form of higher wages you need to leave Fantasy Island and return to the real world. That 100% of benefits are ultimately paid by employees in the form of lower wages is a great unsupported myth of conservatives to argue against any employee benefits, similar to the myth that 100% of a corporate income tax is passed on to consumers.
I know of a lot of situations where the SS contribution by employers ends near the end of the year as high wage employees hit the SS earnings limitation, but I know of no situation where the employer increases the compensation in those months to account for the fact that the employer no longer has to pay the match. (And no, employers have not taken the reduced contribution into account when setting compensation for individuals that meet SS earnings limits).
Don't you just hate it when facts and observations get in the way of your ideological position. Oh, and by the way my Ph. D. is in Economics and Quantitative Analysis, so I understand the math. What I do not understand is the position of many people, to paraphrase the editor in Liberty Valence, that "when theory and reality conflict, print the theory".
Posted by Sid | August 6, 2010 6:39 AM
Sid - at the rate they keep raising the amount to hit the SS earnings limit, far fewer folks are going qualify. I know because it's getting later and later in the year for that bite to stop coming out of my paycheck. I am not a conservative either but I have spent far too much time around HR and corporate compensation types to know what goes into their thinking when they jigger salaries... Your PhD is fine and dandy but where is your real world experience?
Posted by LucsAdvo | August 6, 2010 10:38 PM
Darrel you obviously didn't read the study. Yes some 401ks are limited to a set of crap proprietary mutual funds but how does that have anything to do with limited investment options in a UI account?
Please also look into what happened to the UI trusts in Oregon and around the country before you go on a rant about how individuals in control of their own money is bad and instead an individual controlling everyone’s money is better.
The proposed idea does have a solution for those who have not built up a big enough account, but you didn't actually read the article.
This UI idea usually incorporates an option to spend the account on reeducation so those who are laid off from a dying industry can be retrained and sent back into the economy.
What does UI benefits varying in size have anything to do with discrediting Cascade's study?
Posted by Wineagin | August 9, 2010 10:45 AM