There will be no explicit admission of error, of course, much less any apology. Maybe Earl the Pearl can move his field office to one of the idle train cars.
Comments (11)
It's the economy, stupid. (intended sarcastically)
The expense of WES was never warranted by demand. "If you build it, they will come" is not much of a business plan.
If the specific ridership numbers for WES ever are released, we will be able to calculate the cost per passenger. Remember they had to tear up tracks and ballast AND underwrite the defunct car builder.
Surely sending out a cab to pick up each person would be cheaper - even over 10 years.
Along with the idea of a fleet of limos-how about a fleet of rapid/express buses in place of all the streetcars? They can go anywhere and if powered by bio diesel pretty darn economical and green. A bus costs $400,000 and a streetcar costs $2.9 million dollars.
The Portland Streetcar is 73 times more expensive to build than the rapid bus alternative. How is it 73 times better? It isn't superior. The rapid bus system is cheaper, more flexible, twice as fast, arrives more often, is easier to implement and it's users are willing to pay 23 times more for service.
"A bus costs $400,000 and a streetcar costs $2.9 million dollars. The Portland Streetcar is 73 times more expensive to build than the rapid bus alternative. How is it 73 times better? It isn't superior."
But it isn't SEXY!
This is the sort of spending that ruins any chance "government" has of gaining credibility for outlays in areas where we actually need the help.
Hopefully, my morning and evening commutes will be less impacted by WES train signals. More drivers and passengers are held up by WES at each crossing on TV Hwy or Farmington than are on the train.
If the specific ridership numbers for WES ever are released, we will be able to calculate the cost per passenger. Remember they had to tear up tracks and ballast AND underwrite the defunct car builder.
It's about 918 riders a day.
There are 32 daily trains - 16 in the A.M. and 16 in the P.M., so 8 trains in each direction for the morning and afternoon.
918 daily riders, divided by 32 trains, is 29 boarding rides.
The average "boarding cost" for a WES rider is $19.36. So WES costs $17,772 per day, $88,862 per week, $385,070 per month, $4,620,844 per year.
In comparison: A TriMet bus rider costs $3.39 per boarding ride. Yet TriMet likes to play "smoke and mirrors" and claim that the bus system is hugely expensive to operate, while ignoring WES.
By the way: All of this data comes STRAIGHT from publicly available TriMet data (which is a shock, as TriMet refuses to make their budget public information):
Kathe W: how about a fleet of rapid/express buses in place of all the streetcars? They can go anywhere and if powered by bio diesel pretty darn economical and green.
Based upon an analysis of Bus Rapid Transit systems, I calculated that TriMet could institute BRT on the Barbur Boulevard/Highway 99W route from downtown Portland to King City for a cost of $50 million - this includes a fleet of new 60' articulated, diesel-electric hybrid buses, improvements to all major bus stops (they would actually be comparable, although slightly smaller, than a MAX station), limited bus lanes and traffic signal pre-emption, and other benefits. BRT systems in other cities have shown increased ridership, decreased operating costs - one BRT system I researched even had a per-boarding cost of less than $1.00!!!
For the $161 million we spent on WES - TriMet could have instituted BRT on the 12-Barbur, 33-McLoughlin, and 57-T.V. Highway routes. For a little more, add the 9-Powell and 72-Killingsworth/82nd Avenue bus routes.
However, TriMet and Metro are so blatantly anti-bus, that TriMet refuses to spend any money to improve the bus system. That's why TriMet has cancelled all replacement bus orders, has a fleet of some 200 buses that are 20 years old and are well past replacement age -- not to mention, the federal government WILL pay 80% of the cost of a new bus. TriMet is basically snubbing this free federal money because it doesn't want to spend that 20% local match - it'd rather blow its money on MAX and WES lines. TriMet has no financial reserve (it was blown when it build the Red and Yellow lines) and has been criticized for many years of its poor financial condition.
One other comment: Light Rail supporters LOVE to cite, over and over again, that BRT is "just as expensive as light rail, so why not just build light rail?"
I researched a number of light rail, streetcar (which is just stripped down light rail) and BRT projects over the last 20 years, and then adjusted for inflation.
The ONLY way the light rail supporters can claim their argument, is by comparing the original San Diego Trolley line, built in the late 1970s, for what is today an absolutely low-ball price of $10.7 million/mile, to Los Angeles' Orange Line BRT which came in at $25.3 million - which is by leaps and bounds the most expensive BRT line.
Most other BRT lines came in at a price closer to $2-4 million/mile, with Snohomish County's system (north of Seattle) coming in at $700,000/mile, and Eugene's EmX lines coming in at $4-6 million/mile. Meanwhile, the Portland Streetcar cost between $28 and $37 million/mile; and the Eastside Loop will cost $45 million/mile.
WES is actually comparatively cheap at $11.3 million/mile. San Diego's Sprinter "Diesel Light Rail" line cost $21.7 million/mile.
The original MAX line cost $27.7 million/mile; the Westside, Interstate and Clackamas (Blue, Yellow and Green Lines) cost about $68-70 million/mile. The Red Line to the airport came in "cheap" at just $27.7 million/mile, comparable to the Streetcar. Milwaukie MAX is projected to cost $192 million/mile.
Seattle's light rail system? An eye-ball-bulging $185 million/mile!!!!!!!
And here's a comparison: Remember that expensive Los Angeles BRT line at $25 million/mile? Let's look at Los Angeles light rail: the Gold Line cost $150 million/mile!
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (11)
It's the economy, stupid. (intended sarcastically)
Posted by Stanton | February 24, 2010 7:01 PM
The expense of WES was never warranted by demand. "If you build it, they will come" is not much of a business plan.
If the specific ridership numbers for WES ever are released, we will be able to calculate the cost per passenger. Remember they had to tear up tracks and ballast AND underwrite the defunct car builder.
Surely sending out a cab to pick up each person would be cheaper - even over 10 years.
Posted by Tom Parker | February 24, 2010 7:43 PM
A fleet of limousines would have been much cheaper.
Posted by Jack Bog | February 24, 2010 7:54 PM
I loved this headline in the Wilsonville Spokesman a few days ago... "WES trains will run on schedule this afternoon".
That was big news in these parts
Posted by Gibby | February 24, 2010 9:31 PM
Along with the idea of a fleet of limos-how about a fleet of rapid/express buses in place of all the streetcars? They can go anywhere and if powered by bio diesel pretty darn economical and green. A bus costs $400,000 and a streetcar costs $2.9 million dollars.
The Portland Streetcar is 73 times more expensive to build than the rapid bus alternative. How is it 73 times better? It isn't superior. The rapid bus system is cheaper, more flexible, twice as fast, arrives more often, is easier to implement and it's users are willing to pay 23 times more for service.
Posted by kathe w. | February 25, 2010 8:56 AM
"A bus costs $400,000 and a streetcar costs $2.9 million dollars. The Portland Streetcar is 73 times more expensive to build than the rapid bus alternative. How is it 73 times better? It isn't superior."
But it isn't SEXY!
This is the sort of spending that ruins any chance "government" has of gaining credibility for outlays in areas where we actually need the help.
Posted by Tom Parker | February 25, 2010 11:35 AM
Hopefully, my morning and evening commutes will be less impacted by WES train signals. More drivers and passengers are held up by WES at each crossing on TV Hwy or Farmington than are on the train.
Posted by LucsAdvo | February 25, 2010 1:08 PM
If the specific ridership numbers for WES ever are released, we will be able to calculate the cost per passenger. Remember they had to tear up tracks and ballast AND underwrite the defunct car builder.
It's about 918 riders a day.
There are 32 daily trains - 16 in the A.M. and 16 in the P.M., so 8 trains in each direction for the morning and afternoon.
918 daily riders, divided by 32 trains, is 29 boarding rides.
The average "boarding cost" for a WES rider is $19.36. So WES costs $17,772 per day, $88,862 per week, $385,070 per month, $4,620,844 per year.
In comparison: A TriMet bus rider costs $3.39 per boarding ride. Yet TriMet likes to play "smoke and mirrors" and claim that the bus system is hugely expensive to operate, while ignoring WES.
By the way: All of this data comes STRAIGHT from publicly available TriMet data (which is a shock, as TriMet refuses to make their budget public information):
http://www.trimet.org/pdfs/publications/performance-statistics/trimetridershipfy09.pdf
Posted by Erik H. | February 25, 2010 10:28 PM
Kathe W: how about a fleet of rapid/express buses in place of all the streetcars? They can go anywhere and if powered by bio diesel pretty darn economical and green.
Based upon an analysis of Bus Rapid Transit systems, I calculated that TriMet could institute BRT on the Barbur Boulevard/Highway 99W route from downtown Portland to King City for a cost of $50 million - this includes a fleet of new 60' articulated, diesel-electric hybrid buses, improvements to all major bus stops (they would actually be comparable, although slightly smaller, than a MAX station), limited bus lanes and traffic signal pre-emption, and other benefits. BRT systems in other cities have shown increased ridership, decreased operating costs - one BRT system I researched even had a per-boarding cost of less than $1.00!!!
For the $161 million we spent on WES - TriMet could have instituted BRT on the 12-Barbur, 33-McLoughlin, and 57-T.V. Highway routes. For a little more, add the 9-Powell and 72-Killingsworth/82nd Avenue bus routes.
However, TriMet and Metro are so blatantly anti-bus, that TriMet refuses to spend any money to improve the bus system. That's why TriMet has cancelled all replacement bus orders, has a fleet of some 200 buses that are 20 years old and are well past replacement age -- not to mention, the federal government WILL pay 80% of the cost of a new bus. TriMet is basically snubbing this free federal money because it doesn't want to spend that 20% local match - it'd rather blow its money on MAX and WES lines. TriMet has no financial reserve (it was blown when it build the Red and Yellow lines) and has been criticized for many years of its poor financial condition.
Posted by Erik H. | February 25, 2010 10:33 PM
One other comment: Light Rail supporters LOVE to cite, over and over again, that BRT is "just as expensive as light rail, so why not just build light rail?"
I researched a number of light rail, streetcar (which is just stripped down light rail) and BRT projects over the last 20 years, and then adjusted for inflation.
The ONLY way the light rail supporters can claim their argument, is by comparing the original San Diego Trolley line, built in the late 1970s, for what is today an absolutely low-ball price of $10.7 million/mile, to Los Angeles' Orange Line BRT which came in at $25.3 million - which is by leaps and bounds the most expensive BRT line.
Most other BRT lines came in at a price closer to $2-4 million/mile, with Snohomish County's system (north of Seattle) coming in at $700,000/mile, and Eugene's EmX lines coming in at $4-6 million/mile. Meanwhile, the Portland Streetcar cost between $28 and $37 million/mile; and the Eastside Loop will cost $45 million/mile.
WES is actually comparatively cheap at $11.3 million/mile. San Diego's Sprinter "Diesel Light Rail" line cost $21.7 million/mile.
The original MAX line cost $27.7 million/mile; the Westside, Interstate and Clackamas (Blue, Yellow and Green Lines) cost about $68-70 million/mile. The Red Line to the airport came in "cheap" at just $27.7 million/mile, comparable to the Streetcar. Milwaukie MAX is projected to cost $192 million/mile.
Seattle's light rail system? An eye-ball-bulging $185 million/mile!!!!!!!
And here's a comparison: Remember that expensive Los Angeles BRT line at $25 million/mile? Let's look at Los Angeles light rail: the Gold Line cost $150 million/mile!
Posted by Erik H. | February 25, 2010 10:42 PM
Speaking of non too brilliant moves, the president of the board of trimet wants Fearless Fred Hansen to try THIS again.
Posted by al m | February 25, 2010 11:58 PM