It's not the future that I can see, it's just my fantasy
Well, it looks as though the "creative class" is packing up and leaving Portland -- either that, or they were locals to begin with, and now they're moving back into Mom and Dad's basement. Either way, apartment vacancies are up, and likely to stay that way for a while.
And yet we still have fops parading around nattering about the "creatives" and their profound roles in our "built environment." This would be funny, if said clowns weren't running the city government.
Judging by my neighborhood, they're all living five to a house.
"AN EVENING OF CONVERSATION ON PORTLAND'S BUILT ENVIRONMENT"
I find all these planning "conversations" and "seminars" interesting, because they all know what's going to be said, and everyone there will already be in agreement, or else they wouldn't be there.
Agenda:
Sustainability = good
Suburbs = bad
Transit = good
Bikes = good
Transit oriented development = good
"Twenty minute neighborhoods blah blah"
What can we do to have more of these things?
Take questions from the like-minded audience
This information shines a brighter light on the recently approved (by Council) HAP proposal for Hillsdale Terrace redevelopment. (Nov 4 Agenda item #36751)
I have built and owned numerous multi family units.
If those 63 units were sold in this depressed market they might bring between $3 and $3.5 Million.
The HAP proposal is for $41 Million.
Does anyone else see the concern?
The existing site is problematic so why redevelop there?
If they simply gave them away for the tax credit, and relocated the families into existing units at a cost of $70-90,000 per, it would only cost $6-7 Million and the admin cost would remain about the same.
Who gets the remaining $35 Million and for what?
Why do we have to continue to ask this question?
To anyone looking at this critically it would seem that perpetuating the dependence on subsidies and manipulating families to that end, in order to maintain the lifestyles of those administering the program has a higher priority than breaking that dependency on federal subsidies and incorporating those families into mainstream society.
While not all families would be able, I'm certain that some could make it on their own, and contribute to our collective
benefit.
Ran into a young "cultural creative" in a decadent (aka "affordable") eastern city recently. They had just moved "back east" after two-and-a-half years in Portland ("a fun place") -- left because "there were no jobs."
Suburbs = bad
Transit oriented development = good
"Twenty minute neighborhoods blah blah"
Judging by the average rents quoted in the article for the different parts of the metro region, apartment residents' patterns of voting with their feet agree with these concepts. And, as most of you know, so do I.
But that being said, I don't agree with how it's been implemented here, and the fops certainly don't speak for me. Mark this day - I agree with Snards, mark, and portland native: we don't need the developer subsidies for this kind of development.
As I've posted before, why do we have our own government competing against property owners that have rental units? That also applies to health clubs, why are we using tax payer money to subsidize the OHSU Health Club and now the future PGE Park Health Club, while many local clubs are financially hurting?
I'm surprised Multiple-Family Housing Council, Home Builders Association, and other organizations haven't been more vocal in voicing their objections to having their and other peoples tax dollars used to create unfair competition. Same goes for the health club association.
It doesn't take a genious to figure out why the Portland downtown rental market suffers from such high vacancy. Former condo towers such as the Cyan, Ladd, Ardea (SoWa), Riva (SoWa), or course the Wyatt and others were all ruthlessly dumped on to the market as apartment projects after it became clear that the real estate market was in the toilet. In total, these condo "reversions" total well over 3,500 "luxury" rental units.
In my mind, this not only speaks to failed development and master-planned areas such as SoWa, but it spells long long term trouble for the downtown markets. Because these were "luxury" units with a higher cost structure out of the gate, there will be upward pressure on downtown rents across the board as the economy hopefully improves. Compare this to having the market flooded with product that was supposed to be reasonably priced housing to begin with.
This is another failure on behalf of our fine city leadership. They ignored a balanced approach in housing policy and wined and dined high-end condo developers. "The City that Works".
You've got it backwards. Our fine elected officials and PDC staff and BPS and BDS staff were wined and dined by the fat cats seeking free tax dollars and other favors, not the other way around.
I was at a meeting last night where Eric Engstrom, head thinker on the Portland Plan silliness, where Eric denied that the SoWhat and Pearl stuff was essential empty.
So out of touch. Scary.
"Portland, the City that Works You Over and Over and Over"
I realize that I'm building dream castles and measuring for drapes, but had anyone considered that vacancies will remain high unless someone wants to lower prices? Say, by lowering rents in exchange for putting in sweat equity, and something approximating a guarantee that residents won't be kicked out without warning if the owner decides to sell out?
Oh, that's just silly: pardon me for bringing that up. We all know that the current outrageous rents in Portland will be met by the million new hipsters rushing to move into downtown any day now. Yep, any...day...now.
Weren't those luxury condos that got dumped on the rental market originally intended to target culture-hungry retirees and status-conscious medical professionals? No way would any creative person take a Cyan condo.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (13)
That "fop" link is priceless.
"Dear Portland: Please tell your mayor to quit pooping in my garden."
Posted by Garage Wine | January 26, 2010 10:41 AM
Judging by my neighborhood, they're all living five to a house.
"AN EVENING OF CONVERSATION ON PORTLAND'S BUILT ENVIRONMENT"
I find all these planning "conversations" and "seminars" interesting, because they all know what's going to be said, and everyone there will already be in agreement, or else they wouldn't be there.
Agenda:
Sustainability = good
Suburbs = bad
Transit = good
Bikes = good
Transit oriented development = good
"Twenty minute neighborhoods blah blah"
What can we do to have more of these things?
Take questions from the like-minded audience
Rinse, repeat.
Posted by Snards | January 26, 2010 10:48 AM
This information shines a brighter light on the recently approved (by Council) HAP proposal for Hillsdale Terrace redevelopment. (Nov 4 Agenda item #36751)
I have built and owned numerous multi family units.
If those 63 units were sold in this depressed market they might bring between $3 and $3.5 Million.
The HAP proposal is for $41 Million.
Does anyone else see the concern?
The existing site is problematic so why redevelop there?
If they simply gave them away for the tax credit, and relocated the families into existing units at a cost of $70-90,000 per, it would only cost $6-7 Million and the admin cost would remain about the same.
Who gets the remaining $35 Million and for what?
Why do we have to continue to ask this question?
To anyone looking at this critically it would seem that perpetuating the dependence on subsidies and manipulating families to that end, in order to maintain the lifestyles of those administering the program has a higher priority than breaking that dependency on federal subsidies and incorporating those families into mainstream society.
While not all families would be able, I'm certain that some could make it on their own, and contribute to our collective
benefit.
Posted by mark | January 26, 2010 11:04 AM
Q: Has any of the FOPS ever had a real job???
A: NO
Result: economic and social disaster
Posted by portland native | January 26, 2010 11:38 AM
Ran into a young "cultural creative" in a decadent (aka "affordable") eastern city recently. They had just moved "back east" after two-and-a-half years in Portland ("a fun place") -- left because "there were no jobs."
Posted by Mojo | January 26, 2010 12:07 PM
Suburbs = bad
Transit oriented development = good
"Twenty minute neighborhoods blah blah"
Judging by the average rents quoted in the article for the different parts of the metro region, apartment residents' patterns of voting with their feet agree with these concepts. And, as most of you know, so do I.
But that being said, I don't agree with how it's been implemented here, and the fops certainly don't speak for me. Mark this day - I agree with Snards, mark, and portland native: we don't need the developer subsidies for this kind of development.
Posted by John Rettig | January 26, 2010 12:47 PM
As I've posted before, why do we have our own government competing against property owners that have rental units? That also applies to health clubs, why are we using tax payer money to subsidize the OHSU Health Club and now the future PGE Park Health Club, while many local clubs are financially hurting?
I'm surprised Multiple-Family Housing Council, Home Builders Association, and other organizations haven't been more vocal in voicing their objections to having their and other peoples tax dollars used to create unfair competition. Same goes for the health club association.
Posted by Lee | January 26, 2010 1:27 PM
It doesn't take a genious to figure out why the Portland downtown rental market suffers from such high vacancy. Former condo towers such as the Cyan, Ladd, Ardea (SoWa), Riva (SoWa), or course the Wyatt and others were all ruthlessly dumped on to the market as apartment projects after it became clear that the real estate market was in the toilet. In total, these condo "reversions" total well over 3,500 "luxury" rental units.
In my mind, this not only speaks to failed development and master-planned areas such as SoWa, but it spells long long term trouble for the downtown markets. Because these were "luxury" units with a higher cost structure out of the gate, there will be upward pressure on downtown rents across the board as the economy hopefully improves. Compare this to having the market flooded with product that was supposed to be reasonably priced housing to begin with.
This is another failure on behalf of our fine city leadership. They ignored a balanced approach in housing policy and wined and dined high-end condo developers. "The City that Works".
Posted by PD | January 26, 2010 1:37 PM
PD -
You've got it backwards. Our fine elected officials and PDC staff and BPS and BDS staff were wined and dined by the fat cats seeking free tax dollars and other favors, not the other way around.
I was at a meeting last night where Eric Engstrom, head thinker on the Portland Plan silliness, where Eric denied that the SoWhat and Pearl stuff was essential empty.
So out of touch. Scary.
"Portland, the City that Works You Over and Over and Over"
Posted by Nonny Mouse | January 26, 2010 2:15 PM
I realize that I'm building dream castles and measuring for drapes, but had anyone considered that vacancies will remain high unless someone wants to lower prices? Say, by lowering rents in exchange for putting in sweat equity, and something approximating a guarantee that residents won't be kicked out without warning if the owner decides to sell out?
Oh, that's just silly: pardon me for bringing that up. We all know that the current outrageous rents in Portland will be met by the million new hipsters rushing to move into downtown any day now. Yep, any...day...now.
Posted by Texas Triffid Ranch | January 26, 2010 3:39 PM
Here is a report released locally to apartment owners.
http://northwestapartmentinvestor.blogspot.com/2010/01/appraiser-mark-d-barry-releases-2010.html
for one opinion on market trends see:
"the landlord times" real estate market trends for 2010.
Posted by mark | January 26, 2010 3:41 PM
Right Nonny, I meant to say: "wined and dined with"...
Posted by PD | January 26, 2010 3:55 PM
Weren't those luxury condos that got dumped on the rental market originally intended to target culture-hungry retirees and status-conscious medical professionals? No way would any creative person take a Cyan condo.
Posted by ep | January 26, 2010 10:20 PM