This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on January 12, 2010 3:57 AM.
The previous post in this blog was Linchpin countdown.
The next post in this blog is Nigel, you missed one.
Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.
The government workers' unions are bleeding all of us dry. Public administration is collapsing under the weight of their pensions -- and it's going to get worse, much worse. When people ask how you can vote no on a tax increase measure that is going to "save the children," just tell them Willie sent you:
The deal used to be that civil servants were paid less than private sector workers in exchange for an understanding that they had job security for life.
But we politicians, pushed by our friends in labor, gradually expanded pay and benefits to private-sector levels while keeping the job protections and layering on incredibly generous retirement packages that pay ex-workers almost as much as current workers.
Talking about this is politically unpopular and potentially even career suicide for most officeholders. But at some point, someone is going to have to get honest about the fact that 80 percent of the state, county and city budget deficits are due to employee costs.
Either we do something about it at the ballot box, or a judge will do something about in Bankruptcy Court. And if you think I'm kidding, just look at Vallejo.
Comments (20)
Yep, I am living this right now along with Willie Brown. Liberals blame California Proposition 13 (1978), which capped annual increases in property taxes to no more than 1%. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_13_%281978%29). Conservatives blame a liberal dominated legislature who has given concession after concession to the public employees and teacher's unions who fund their campaigns.
Ironically, I consider both right in their blame.
Prop 13 put in place a two-thirds majority in both California houses of legislature for any tax to pass with the intent to limit the size of government and promote balanced budgets, while Democrats kept on upping state agency budgets to the point where the state budget became unbalanced and unfeasible during a serious economic downturn. California Democrats believe in boom cycles, but their fiscal stewardship never prepared for a prolonged bust cycle like we are in now.
What I will say is, the current CALPERS scheme is unsustainable and I truly feel sorry for my parent's generation who expects to retire like their parents with the RV and second home.
Someone will get shorted when it comes to CALPERS. I believe those who retire later in their late 60s and 70s will get shorted, while those who retire in the next couple of years will get far more than they put in.
I know far too many family members who retire before age 65 and they are getting too much out of CALPERS than they ever put in my opinion.
The accounting profession bears a big chunk of responsibility for the fiasco. With all its mumbo jumbo about whether expenses and liabilties should be recognized based on single-employer vs multi-employer pension plan status, and the application of modified accrual basis accounting to government plans, the green-eye-shade crowd has created cooperative dodges and been an effective enabler for the let's ignore the reality of mounting pension and entitlement-program liabilities crowd.
The actuaries don't get a free pass either. When assessing liabilities for Federal Government plans (I don't know specifically about state or local), the actuaries typically go back to the beginning of the working life of active employees and/or annuitants to grab a set of investment returns (right in principle). This includes periods from the mid 70's to the mid 80's when baby boomers had entered the workforce in large number. There were significant net contributions to plans that could have generated returns. Government bonds were earning high returns (up to 14 percent) courtesy first of stagflation and then of Paul Volcker's breaking-the-back-of-inflation monetary policy. Except the plans didn't actually buy and hold the high-yield bonds (the wrong in practice part). Good luck in relying on assumed double digit returns for funding actual social security, medicare and federal pension payments going forward.
Their are multiple actuarial tsunamis coming down the pike including for most pension plans, social security, medicare and liabilities that will accrue under the pending health care bill.
Remember California also has that so called three legged stool of taxation; property tax, income tax and sales tax, as Oregon progressives want this state to have for imaginary stable funding. If California can’t balance their budget having some of the highest taxes in the nation because they can’t control spending what makes people think that Oregon’s legislature will do any better if they get more money in their coffers.
Remember California also has that so called three legged stool of taxation; property tax, income tax and sales tax, as Oregon progressives want this state to have for imaginary stable funding.
"Progressives" want a sales tax? The chief petitioners for sales taxes in the past several attempts haven't exactly been the most progressive people about. Yes, there are some Democrats out there who've swallowed the sales tax water (including a number of the folks at Blue Oregon), but on the political level, the people pushing for it have been folks like now-Treasurer Ben Westlund, who floated a 5% sales tax plan back while he was still a Republican and Rep. Scott Bruun (R-West Linn) who wrote an editorial in the Oregonian supporting a sales tax a couple years back.
Willie just licked the new third rail of American Politics. Will it destroy him, or elevate him to the rank of National Leader?
Willie Brown probably wouldn't have spoken out on this issue if he was still in the San Francisco Mayor's Office (term limited after 8 years).
He would have avoided it like the plague if he was still in the Calif State Assembly (term limited after 15 years as Speaker).
Getting some distance from "service" is generally rehabilitative for politicians, but I think he's just beginning to see the writing on the wall. CalPers is on a path to drive the state into bankruptcy.
His pension may be "vested" but he realizes that even government creditors (e.g., public pension beneficiaries) may not be immune to the cliche about blood and turnips.
I pray that the Feds don't bail out California. Better for them to face the music now than find a way to "extend and pretend" a couple more years.
Govt costs are the problem across the board, and employee costs are by far the biggest chunk of that.
Govt always wants to do more. Often it is well intentioned, but the net effect is that govt always grows and never shrinks, and ALWAYS genuinely believes that it doesn't have enough money.
Y'know...as a public employee for over twenty years now, I'd certainly like to know who these cushy over-paid folks are...
Are you talking about those at my public agency who were pulling down six-figure annual bonuses? Rather like the private sector CEO shenanigans that we all pay for? Prior to the private sector collapse, private sector wages were increasing far faster than public sector wages...in my field, at least.
I haven't seen any raise other than a substandard "cost-of-living" increase in the contracted wages I earn. I've been at the top of my classification for ten years and I've been losing money.
Most of my co-workers are doing the same. That's the bulk of public employees, so far as I can tell.
We are all hoping that the retirement system we bought into will still be there when we get to retirement, rather than having been pillaged by the state legislature.
Having been on both sides, it seems to me that both sides engage in the same crap. The public types gouge the taxpayers, the private side types gouge their customers, employees, and stockholders. Immorality is rewarded all 'round, and those who might fix it are have already sold out.
"The public types gouge the taxpayers, the private side types gouge their customers, employees, and stockholders."
That's the rationale used by all of the public employees gouging the system...thanks godfry.
The great inequity is that taxpayers are held hostage and must endure this gouging by the "public types" and their unions, while customers, employees, and stockholders all have a choice as to whether they want to get gouged by the "private side types".
Essentially, godfry is saying..."lots of gouging going on in the private sector, so it's okay for taxpayers to get fleeced by the public sector"...
This is the logic that is killing this great country...
YOU need to alter your behavior as much as, if not more than, I do.
I know this because you spread lies about public employees which I know are not true about all, or even most public employees. You extend the falsehood that if some, at the top are culpable, ALL public employees are to be damned and punished.
Let's lay off all the prison guards, the police and fire, and the prosecuting attorneys. They all make WAAAAAY too much money anyway...and accomplish anything? No.
Actually, I don't think all public employees are culpable. I think the public employee unions are the villains in this by breeding a false sense of entitlement among public employees and strong-arming the legislative process at the expense of the taxpayer to get what they want.
Sure this happens with corporate lobbyists, but in the private realm the stakeholdes largely get to vote with their dollar, but it the public sesspool we're all held hostage to the wants of the union mob.
BS - Private parties are defrauding the taxpayers faster than any union, public or not. Think government contracts. All I need do is think of Dickhead Cheney and Halliburton, but it goes much further than that...each and every "Defense" contractor is culpable of defrauding the taxpayer...as is Big Finance and Big Pharm. The list goes on with totally unnecessary subsidies to greater undeserving than public employee unions...with tobacco, cotton, automobiles, asphalt, concrete...you name it. The crimes far surpass any perfidy of any union, public or otherwise.
As for you claim of voting with their feet...it would be nice, but it is largely a delusion, because so much in corporate Amerika is determined by price-leadership oligopoly.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (20)
Yep, I am living this right now along with Willie Brown. Liberals blame California Proposition 13 (1978), which capped annual increases in property taxes to no more than 1%. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_13_%281978%29). Conservatives blame a liberal dominated legislature who has given concession after concession to the public employees and teacher's unions who fund their campaigns.
Ironically, I consider both right in their blame.
Prop 13 put in place a two-thirds majority in both California houses of legislature for any tax to pass with the intent to limit the size of government and promote balanced budgets, while Democrats kept on upping state agency budgets to the point where the state budget became unbalanced and unfeasible during a serious economic downturn. California Democrats believe in boom cycles, but their fiscal stewardship never prepared for a prolonged bust cycle like we are in now.
What I will say is, the current CALPERS scheme is unsustainable and I truly feel sorry for my parent's generation who expects to retire like their parents with the RV and second home.
Someone will get shorted when it comes to CALPERS. I believe those who retire later in their late 60s and 70s will get shorted, while those who retire in the next couple of years will get far more than they put in.
I know far too many family members who retire before age 65 and they are getting too much out of CALPERS than they ever put in my opinion.
Posted by RyanLeo | January 12, 2010 4:34 AM
Willie just licked the new third rail of American Politics. Will it destroy him, or elevate him to the rank of National Leader?
Posted by Mister Tee | January 12, 2010 5:52 AM
Well, we only need about a few thousand more Willie's to run for public office. Public employeee unions are a "feed the beast" phenomenen.
You can try to slay it now or make it go away with a few bits of tribute and have it come back later stronger.
Honestly, I think the cost of govt is going to be the one thing that kills us as a country. Sorry kids.
Posted by Steve | January 12, 2010 6:19 AM
Govt. Employee Union $$ wag the D's and Corporate $$ wag the R's. Same 'ol, Same 'ol.
whaddya gonna do...
Posted by jimbo | January 12, 2010 6:30 AM
The accounting profession bears a big chunk of responsibility for the fiasco. With all its mumbo jumbo about whether expenses and liabilties should be recognized based on single-employer vs multi-employer pension plan status, and the application of modified accrual basis accounting to government plans, the green-eye-shade crowd has created cooperative dodges and been an effective enabler for the let's ignore the reality of mounting pension and entitlement-program liabilities crowd.
The actuaries don't get a free pass either. When assessing liabilities for Federal Government plans (I don't know specifically about state or local), the actuaries typically go back to the beginning of the working life of active employees and/or annuitants to grab a set of investment returns (right in principle). This includes periods from the mid 70's to the mid 80's when baby boomers had entered the workforce in large number. There were significant net contributions to plans that could have generated returns. Government bonds were earning high returns (up to 14 percent) courtesy first of stagflation and then of Paul Volcker's breaking-the-back-of-inflation monetary policy. Except the plans didn't actually buy and hold the high-yield bonds (the wrong in practice part). Good luck in relying on assumed double digit returns for funding actual social security, medicare and federal pension payments going forward.
Their are multiple actuarial tsunamis coming down the pike including for most pension plans, social security, medicare and liabilities that will accrue under the pending health care bill.
Posted by Grady Foster | January 12, 2010 7:38 AM
Govt. Employee Union $$ wag the D's and Corporate $$ wag the R's. Same 'ol, Same 'ol.
There are a lot of "corporate $$" that wag D's too...just look at the current health care debate for starters.
Posted by Jon | January 12, 2010 7:53 AM
Im not sure exactly when it happened, but somehow government employees became part of the elite class while private employees became the peasants.
Posted by mk | January 12, 2010 8:35 AM
Remember California also has that so called three legged stool of taxation; property tax, income tax and sales tax, as Oregon progressives want this state to have for imaginary stable funding. If California can’t balance their budget having some of the highest taxes in the nation because they can’t control spending what makes people think that Oregon’s legislature will do any better if they get more money in their coffers.
Posted by John Benton | January 12, 2010 8:39 AM
"Progressives" want a sales tax? The chief petitioners for sales taxes in the past several attempts haven't exactly been the most progressive people about. Yes, there are some Democrats out there who've swallowed the sales tax water (including a number of the folks at Blue Oregon), but on the political level, the people pushing for it have been folks like now-Treasurer Ben Westlund, who floated a 5% sales tax plan back while he was still a Republican and Rep. Scott Bruun (R-West Linn) who wrote an editorial in the Oregonian supporting a sales tax a couple years back.
Posted by darrelplant | January 12, 2010 9:41 AM
The public employee unions and the Democrats they elect for power do not care what imminent mayhem they create.
California.
They all just think it will happen after they get theirs.
Posted by Ben | January 12, 2010 9:53 AM
Willie just licked the new third rail of American Politics. Will it destroy him, or elevate him to the rank of National Leader?
Willie Brown probably wouldn't have spoken out on this issue if he was still in the San Francisco Mayor's Office (term limited after 8 years).
He would have avoided it like the plague if he was still in the Calif State Assembly (term limited after 15 years as Speaker).
Getting some distance from "service" is generally rehabilitative for politicians, but I think he's just beginning to see the writing on the wall. CalPers is on a path to drive the state into bankruptcy.
His pension may be "vested" but he realizes that even government creditors (e.g., public pension beneficiaries) may not be immune to the cliche about blood and turnips.
Posted by Anon | January 12, 2010 10:05 AM
I pray that the Feds don't bail out California. Better for them to face the music now than find a way to "extend and pretend" a couple more years.
Govt costs are the problem across the board, and employee costs are by far the biggest chunk of that.
Govt always wants to do more. Often it is well intentioned, but the net effect is that govt always grows and never shrinks, and ALWAYS genuinely believes that it doesn't have enough money.
Posted by Snards | January 12, 2010 10:24 AM
Y'know...as a public employee for over twenty years now, I'd certainly like to know who these cushy over-paid folks are...
Are you talking about those at my public agency who were pulling down six-figure annual bonuses? Rather like the private sector CEO shenanigans that we all pay for? Prior to the private sector collapse, private sector wages were increasing far faster than public sector wages...in my field, at least.
I haven't seen any raise other than a substandard "cost-of-living" increase in the contracted wages I earn. I've been at the top of my classification for ten years and I've been losing money.
Most of my co-workers are doing the same. That's the bulk of public employees, so far as I can tell.
We are all hoping that the retirement system we bought into will still be there when we get to retirement, rather than having been pillaged by the state legislature.
Having been on both sides, it seems to me that both sides engage in the same crap. The public types gouge the taxpayers, the private side types gouge their customers, employees, and stockholders. Immorality is rewarded all 'round, and those who might fix it are have already sold out.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 12:25 PM
"The public types gouge the taxpayers, the private side types gouge their customers, employees, and stockholders."
That's the rationale used by all of the public employees gouging the system...thanks godfry.
The great inequity is that taxpayers are held hostage and must endure this gouging by the "public types" and their unions, while customers, employees, and stockholders all have a choice as to whether they want to get gouged by the "private side types".
Essentially, godfry is saying..."lots of gouging going on in the private sector, so it's okay for taxpayers to get fleeced by the public sector"...
This is the logic that is killing this great country...
Posted by PD | January 12, 2010 1:24 PM
No...I'm saying that YOU are just as culpable as I.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 2:50 PM
YOU need to alter your behavior as much as, if not more than, I do.
I know this because you spread lies about public employees which I know are not true about all, or even most public employees. You extend the falsehood that if some, at the top are culpable, ALL public employees are to be damned and punished.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 2:53 PM
I know!
Let's lay off all the prison guards, the police and fire, and the prosecuting attorneys. They all make WAAAAAY too much money anyway...and accomplish anything? No.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 2:59 PM
Actually, I don't think all public employees are culpable. I think the public employee unions are the villains in this by breeding a false sense of entitlement among public employees and strong-arming the legislative process at the expense of the taxpayer to get what they want.
Sure this happens with corporate lobbyists, but in the private realm the stakeholdes largely get to vote with their dollar, but it the public sesspool we're all held hostage to the wants of the union mob.
Sorry godfry, it's a fact.
Posted by PD | January 12, 2010 3:05 PM
BS - Private parties are defrauding the taxpayers faster than any union, public or not. Think government contracts. All I need do is think of Dickhead Cheney and Halliburton, but it goes much further than that...each and every "Defense" contractor is culpable of defrauding the taxpayer...as is Big Finance and Big Pharm. The list goes on with totally unnecessary subsidies to greater undeserving than public employee unions...with tobacco, cotton, automobiles, asphalt, concrete...you name it. The crimes far surpass any perfidy of any union, public or otherwise.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 5:19 PM
As for you claim of voting with their feet...it would be nice, but it is largely a delusion, because so much in corporate Amerika is determined by price-leadership oligopoly.
Posted by godfry | January 12, 2010 5:21 PM