Remember when we all agreed that something serious had to be done about the hideous conflicts of interest that afflict the system by which corporate and government bonds are rated by outfits like Moody's and Standard & Poor's? An overhaul was badly needed in order for investors to get the straight scoop on the soundness of the bonds they were being offered.
Well, guess what. That reform isn't happening. Instead, we get what one noted economist is calling "Botox shots." It's a disgrace. Maybe the state attorneys general will show some guts. Let's hope so. The rating agencies are doing to our retirements what Joe Camel did to Grandpa's lungs.
Comments (5)
As explained by Dean Baker, a Washington economist, you can see that this conflict is just so complex and gnarly and intractable that we just have to live with it:
"One important aspect of the financial crisis was the willingness of the credit rating agencies to rate complex derivative instruments as investment grade, even though they were filled with junk assets. The rating agencies had a motive to do this because they are paid by the companies whose issues they rate. Since they do not want to lose the business of a Citigroup or Goldman Sachs, they have a strong incentive to give overly positive ratings.
The NYT notes that Congress seems unlikely to do anything about this basic conflict of interest in its regulatory reform bill. It would have been useful to note that this fundamental conflict could be easily eliminated, if Congress cared about it.
It is only necessary to take away the hiring decision from the company whose issuers are being rated. If a third party, such as the stock exchange on which the company is listed, selected the rating agency, then the agency would have no incentive to bend its analysis. Its ability to get future business would not in any way be helped by bending its analysis.
It is striking that it appears that Congress never seriously considered this simple measure."
I wonder if the President is afraid that if they come down on the rating agencies they will lower the rating on US Treasury debt? If they do that the effects would be terrible and given the amount of borrowing the President is doing, lowering the debt rating would not be unreasonable.
There may be a lot of self-interest. Imagine if the ratings agencies told the truth about Cali gen obligation bonds or Oregon's or CoP's?
What do you think that would do to the values of those. Guess who would have to make up the difference? I mean every extra upside in revenue is going to fund benefits now, we don't really need another ding.
It's remarkable that anyone listens to these agencies any more anyway. What is a Moody's AAA rating really worth? Jack squat judging from the last couple of years.
The public needs constant reminding that there has been essentially no financial reform since big banks were on the brink of collapse and had to be bailed out with HUGE sums of our money.
Nothing meaningful has been changed from the regulatory regime that brought us to that point. Literally EVERYONE knows that Glass Steagel must be restored but politicians in the White House and Congress won't do it simply because they're being paid not to by lobbyists.
Welcome to America in 2009. We taxpayers have only begun handing out our money on this one. 2010 will look exactly the same. Get ready for the commercial real estate bailouts.
There are some pretty straightforward disclosure requirements that might have shed a lot of light on the risk that was building up in CDO's.
Let's say, for example, composite FICO scores, composite debt to income ratios, debt to equity ratios etc. for the underlying mortgages and mortgagees, and the pct. mortgagees with stated vs verified incomes, and the average length of employment at current job.
There could also be reporting requirements on the track record of the agency placing the mortgage.
Data is so cheap and easy to come by and simple to compile these days, yet the regulatory system gravitates towards certifications by putative experts in lieu of disclosure. And the primary training of those experts is in MBA programs that teach 8 ways to Sunday on how to buy low and sell high -- hardly the crew you might look to for objective advice.
Let's get creative about creating a culture of disclosure and reporting. That would reduce or eliminate the importance of the middle-man bond raters.
And totally agree on the restoration of Glass Steagal.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (5)
As explained by Dean Baker, a Washington economist, you can see that this conflict is just so complex and gnarly and intractable that we just have to live with it:
"One important aspect of the financial crisis was the willingness of the credit rating agencies to rate complex derivative instruments as investment grade, even though they were filled with junk assets. The rating agencies had a motive to do this because they are paid by the companies whose issues they rate. Since they do not want to lose the business of a Citigroup or Goldman Sachs, they have a strong incentive to give overly positive ratings.
The NYT notes that Congress seems unlikely to do anything about this basic conflict of interest in its regulatory reform bill. It would have been useful to note that this fundamental conflict could be easily eliminated, if Congress cared about it.
It is only necessary to take away the hiring decision from the company whose issuers are being rated. If a third party, such as the stock exchange on which the company is listed, selected the rating agency, then the agency would have no incentive to bend its analysis. Its ability to get future business would not in any way be helped by bending its analysis.
It is striking that it appears that Congress never seriously considered this simple measure."
Posted by Allan L. | December 8, 2009 10:43 AM
I wonder if the President is afraid that if they come down on the rating agencies they will lower the rating on US Treasury debt? If they do that the effects would be terrible and given the amount of borrowing the President is doing, lowering the debt rating would not be unreasonable.
Posted by Robert | December 8, 2009 10:44 AM
There may be a lot of self-interest. Imagine if the ratings agencies told the truth about Cali gen obligation bonds or Oregon's or CoP's?
What do you think that would do to the values of those. Guess who would have to make up the difference? I mean every extra upside in revenue is going to fund benefits now, we don't really need another ding.
Posted by Steve | December 8, 2009 10:51 AM
It's remarkable that anyone listens to these agencies any more anyway. What is a Moody's AAA rating really worth? Jack squat judging from the last couple of years.
The public needs constant reminding that there has been essentially no financial reform since big banks were on the brink of collapse and had to be bailed out with HUGE sums of our money.
Nothing meaningful has been changed from the regulatory regime that brought us to that point. Literally EVERYONE knows that Glass Steagel must be restored but politicians in the White House and Congress won't do it simply because they're being paid not to by lobbyists.
Welcome to America in 2009. We taxpayers have only begun handing out our money on this one. 2010 will look exactly the same. Get ready for the commercial real estate bailouts.
Posted by Snards | December 8, 2009 11:42 AM
There are some pretty straightforward disclosure requirements that might have shed a lot of light on the risk that was building up in CDO's.
Let's say, for example, composite FICO scores, composite debt to income ratios, debt to equity ratios etc. for the underlying mortgages and mortgagees, and the pct. mortgagees with stated vs verified incomes, and the average length of employment at current job.
There could also be reporting requirements on the track record of the agency placing the mortgage.
Data is so cheap and easy to come by and simple to compile these days, yet the regulatory system gravitates towards certifications by putative experts in lieu of disclosure. And the primary training of those experts is in MBA programs that teach 8 ways to Sunday on how to buy low and sell high -- hardly the crew you might look to for objective advice.
Let's get creative about creating a culture of disclosure and reporting. That would reduce or eliminate the importance of the middle-man bond raters.
And totally agree on the restoration of Glass Steagal.
Posted by Grady Foster | December 8, 2009 1:31 PM