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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on September 22, 2009 8:43 PM. The previous post in this blog was I come to bury Creepy, not to praise him. The next post in this blog is Gadhafi finds a New York landlord. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.



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Tuesday, September 22, 2009

End up like a 'dog that's been beat too much

It was about as frustrating a week as you could imagine in the pro football underdog pool in which I play. Half of the underdogs in the league won their games outright, scoring points for pool participants who were smart enough to pick them. Eight winners! Did I have one of them? Hells to the no.

What makes it even more deflating is that my original instinct -- Houston -- was correct, but I allowed some of my trusted advisors (you know who you are) to talk me out of that one and let me think that Carolina was a better play. There were several voices singing the Charlotte swan song, and that right off should have warned me that it was the wrong way to go. Jake Dahbumme fell through again. Somebody needs to find that fellow a bench to warm.

It gets worse. I was so torn between the Texans and the Panthers that I actually flipped a coin with minutes to go before the deadline to pick the week's underdog. Every time I have used the coin flip method to make up my mind, things have ended in heartbreak. Never again.

The final nail in the coffin was that I awoke on Sunday to see that my buddy Gordon also picked Carolina. When he and I go the same way in the underdog pool, the sporting weekend does not usually end on a happy note.

Oh, well. Win early, lose late -- but now I'm way behind. One guy has 15½ points already, to my zip. This can't go on too much longer, people.

So here's this week's lineup, with lots of favorites on the road, which is always interesting. Let me know if you see a 'dog (in caps) who can win its game outright -- straight-up, without the benefit of the point spread. The points are relevant in this pool only in that they show how many points I'll win if I pick a winning 'dog. Whom do you like? I will take all nominations under advisement. But don't be offended if I go my own way this time.

13.5 CLEVELAND at Baltimore
9.5 CAROLINA at Dallas
7 TAMPA BAY vs. NY Giants
7 ST. LOUIS vs. Green Bay
7 SAN FRANCISCO at Minnesota
6.5 DETROIT vs. Washington
6 BUFFALO vs. New Orleans
6 MIAMI at San Diego
4.5 CINCINNATI vs. Pittsburgh
4.5 ATLANTA at New England
2.5 TENNESSEE at NY Jets
2.5 SEATTLE vs. Chicago
2 OAKLAND vs. Denver

UPDATE, 9/24, 11:05 p.m.: Add one last game to the list:

9.5 KANSAS CITY at Philadelphia

Comments (27)

Don't want to sound like a broken record, but the 49ERS are on a mission. They'll steal one from Favre. 7 big ones and you are back in the game, Jack. BUFFALO would be my second big-point pick.

Gave you Giants last week and potentially Rams (who only lost 9-7 as the biggest underdog of the week)....

#1 on my list: Dolphins
#2 Atlanta.

Go forth and prosper.

Since you're already behind and need to make a move, I like Detroit to get off the schneid (apologies to Chris Berman) against Washington. I'll be rooting for the Niners, but I won't be putting money on them: fandom has its limits.

I like the 49s too...their coach will have them fired up for this one too...

I don't want to be banned or anything but maybe THIS is the week for Carolina.

They seem better than 0-3. But is Dallas going to go 0-2 in the blimp hangar?

Dallas is ripe for another loss, after getting way up for the Giants and dying at the finish anyway. The Cats are underdogs for sure, but that unjustifiably huge spread is going to help motivate them and becalm the Pokes.

I think most upsets have more to do with the factors having to do with reasons for the favored team to lose than anything else. And Dallas is a team without much, if any, character, and may not respond to the NYG loss the way it happens in movies.

Singletary is a motivator, who would want to come off the field to atone to the guy?
SF - 7 pts.

Colts, Jacksonville, Oakland.

The Giants were my gift to you last week. If you're already in the hole, you need some bigger point spread upsets in week 3 to get back in the pool. I like Miami over San Diego for 6. The 'Fins outplayed the Colts in every way but the final score Monday night. Which is why I also like the Colts for a 2 point upset over the Cards.

San Francisco is looking like a winner by the week. And Oakland is also showing some signs of life.

That's what you get for listening to "advisers" (read: people avoiding doing real work by reading your blog)!

Last week I gave you my slam dunk of Baltimore over SD. And it hurt to say it.

(yes, I know my 2nd pick was Carolina, so sorry for that...)

This week's slam dunk is Tennessee. No doubt they will beat the Jets. Not many points, but at least it's something.

Houston woke up for 1 week, but Jacksonville will put them back to sleep. So that's the 2nd best option.

Third best... again... as much as I hate saying it... is for my Chargers to fall to Miami.

#1 Detroit: Wash looks really bad and Det is starting to look like a pro team again.

#2 Carolina: Dal RB is 50/50 and they have no proven big time reliable WR's now. Delhomme looked better and they pull it out this week.

(My record to date 1-1 3.5pts)

Good lord this is easy. Atlanta, Jack. The Patriots are really just not very good this year. Their O-line can't control a thing, and their defense sans Meyo and Seymour is full of holes that Ryan, Turner, and Gonzalez, and White (man, how many more weapons can one team have??) will exploit with relative ease.

I'd like Atlanta over NE if it weren't in NE. I think NE finally puts together a decent game and Atlanta returns to the mean.

The Jets are gonna be the September team this year. Hot start - then people will figure out how to disrupt their kid quarterback.

San Fran does look hot, but I don't trust teams that win big games by busting open big yardage plays. That's just not a reliable method for winning games.

So my upset pick of the week is Detroit. They're gonna win sooner or later, and this may finally be their day. And Washington does look AWFUL, and Jason Campbell is hurt. And it's in Detroit.

"And it's in Detroit."

Um, is that really helping them? There might be more Lions fans in DC than Detroit right now.

6.5 DETROIT vs. Washington

49ers, or the Bengals at home over the Steelers. Sorry I couldn't help out last week, Jack -- was off the grid at an undisclosed location, diggin' autumn comin' up.

Detroit is an intriguing option ...

the skins can't score. it's FINALLY time for the lions to break the winless streak. this is the week.

Cleveland ... because why the hell not.

If you were considering the Lions, consider this: "The overall #1 pick of the draft, Matthew Stafford, is off to a horrendous start for the Lions, with 1 TD to 5 INTs and a QB rating of 40.5 in the first two games. " Does that mean he's going to continue to suck or does it mean that he's due for a breakout game?

After injury reports, weather changing, and Steeler resolve intensifying (Parker, Mendenhall & Moore could run wild on Paul Brown Stadium's fieldturf), I'd lay off Cinci and go with 49ers over Vikes (+7). Another thought might be St. Louis over G.B. (line's dropped .5). G.B. is overrated and on the road in St.L.

P.S. -- Detroit over Wash. is tempting, but compare defenses and running games and go from there.

Colts, Jacksonville, Oakland

Well, I was 2 for 3. I'm surprised by the Raiders.

Detroit, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, and Indianapolis so far ...

This is HARD! Stupid Brett Favre.


As a lawyer/blogger, I get
to be a member of:

In Vino Veritas

Lange, Pinot Gris 2015
Kiona, Lemberger 2014
Willamette Valley, Pinot Gris 2015
Aix, Rosé de Provence 2016
Marchigüe, Cabernet 2013
Inazío Irruzola, Getariako Txakolina Rosé 2015
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Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Kirkland, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2016
Cantele, Salice Salentino Reserva 2013
Whispering Angel, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2013
Avissi, Prosecco
Cleto Charli, Lambrusco di Sorbara Secco, Vecchia Modena
Pique Poul, Rosé 2016
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Rosé 2016
Stoller, Pinot Noir Rosé 2016
Chehalem, Inox Chardonnay 2015
The Four Graces, Pinot Gris 2015
Gascón, Colosal Red 2013
Cardwell Hill, Pinot Gris 2015
L'Ecole No. 41, Merlot 2013
Della Terra, Anonymus
Willamette Valley, Dijon Clone Chardonnay 2013
Wraith, Cabernet, Eidolon Estate 2012
Januik, Red 2015
Tomassi, Valpolicella, Rafaél, 2014
Sharecropper's Pinot Noir 2013
Helix, Pomatia Red Blend 2013
La Espera, Cabernet 2011
Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2013
Locations, Spanish Red Wine
Locations, Argentinian Red Wine
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Shatter, Grenache, Maury 2012
Argyle, Vintage Brut 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16 Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2014
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Primarius, Pinot Gris 2015
Januik, Merlot 2013
Napa Cellars, Cabernet 2013
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Marchigüe, Cabernet, Colchagua Valley 2013
Oberon, Cabernet 2014
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Balboa, Rose of Grenache 2015
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Villa Maria, Sauvignon Blanc 2015
G3, Cabernet 2013
Chateau Smith, Cabernet, Washington State 2014
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16
Willamette Valley, Rose of Pinot Noir, Whole Clusters 2015
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Ca' del Baio Barbaresco Valgrande 2012
Goodfellow, Reserve Pinot Gris, Clover 2014
Lugana, San Benedetto 2014
Wente, Cabernet, Charles Wetmore 2011
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King Estate, Pinot Gris 2015
Adelsheim, Pinot Gris 2015
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Abbot's Table, Columbia Valley 2014
Intrinsic, Cabernet 2014
Oyster Bay, Pinot Noir 2010
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Layer Cake, Shiraz 2013
Desert Wind, Ruah 2011
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The Occasional Book

Phil Stanford - Rose City Vice
Kenneth R. Feinberg - What is Life Worth?
Kent Haruf - Our Souls at Night
Peter Carey - True History of the Kelly Gang
Suzanne Collins - The Hunger Games
Amy Stewart - Girl Waits With Gun
Philip Roth - The Plot Against America
Norm Macdonald - Based on a True Story
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Ryan Holiday - The Obstacle is the Way
Ruth Sepetys - Between Shades of Gray
Richard Adams - Watership Down
Claire Vaye Watkins - Gold Fame Citrus
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James Joyce - Dubliners
Cheryl Strayed - Torch
William Golding - Lord of the Flies
Saul Bellow - Mister Sammler's Planet
Phil Stanford - White House Call Girl
John Kaplan & Jon R. Waltz - The Trial of Jack Ruby
Kent Haruf - Eventide
David Halberstam - Summer of '49
Norman Mailer - The Naked and the Dead
Maria Dermoȗt - The Ten Thousand Things
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Markus Zusak - The Book Thief
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Bill Bryson - A Short History of Nearly Everything
Cheryl Strayed - Tiny Beautiful Things
Sara Varon - Bake Sale
Stephen King - 11/22/63
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Steve Martin - Born Standing Up: A Comic's Life
Beverly Cleary - A Girl from Yamhill, a Memoir
Kent Haruf - Plainsong
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
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Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
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Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 113
At this date last year: 155
Total run in 2016: 155
In 2015: 271
In 2014: 401
In 2013: 257
In 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269

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