Whatever one may think of Tri-Met's spendy light rail line to Milwaukie ("All aboard for... Milwaukie?"), there's one thing for sure: It ain't gonna create no 12,300 jobs.
It's fun to watch the fake numbers go up with every boondoggle, though. Remember the 5,000 biotech jobs that were coming to the SoWhat District? Then it was 10,000. Quite humorous. Now we're up to 12,300. Fun with numbers.
But hey, the construction companies and the unions must be fed -- in Portland, as it is on "The Sopranos." And so ever onward we go -- by streetcar!
(2) realize that building lots of things has lots of impact--some disastrous--so create projects that mitigate some of the damage--which creates mostly temporary, barely living-wage jobs.
(3) realize that the projects built to mitigate damage actually create their own kind of damage. notice that the middle class is going away, due to lack of economic stability and an economy built on short-term stimulus and credit.
repeat steps 1-3 as necessary, labeling appropriate parts "green" as needed to promote decisions.
Not much different from the TriMet WES Heavy Rail Project that is about 3,000 riders short of their grossly inflated ridership projection. And let's not even discuss the huge over-runs in costs.
Hmmm, it's not subject to the Multnomah County Board or the clowns in Portland's city hall. Maybe the train to Milwaukie doesn't sound so bad after all.
I am not totally opposed to the Milwaukie Light Rail project, after all it will pass within short walking distance of my home in Westmoreland. However, I am already girding my loins for the inevitable, over engineering and cost overrun ridden project. This one should not kill the taxpayer. The right of way along the current rail tracks will not require the condemnation of homes and business'. People could actually ride downtown to go to work. Skip the over priced ineffectual green bits and build us a train!
Funny, usually the standard government formula for "job creation" is $1 million spent = 14 jobs. If they used that, 1,400 million * 14 = 19,600 jobs. Still seems high but maybe this is an attempt at honest accounting.
Dean: "The right of way along the current rail tracks will not require the condemnation of homes and business'"
You're right...the problem is, once it turns due south, somewhere around Powell, and parallels 17th Ave, and then goes along McLoughlin, it will take out many businesses. Over a hundred, I believe. In fact, that's why the project is so expensive: property acquisition and business relocation costs. 3 times the cost of the I-205/mall line, for roughly the same length of track.
but claiming that public transit construction "creates jobs" and provides some sort of long-term, benevolent economic benefit is disingenuine. almost all the jobs are TEMPORARY. and, a significant number go to workers who come to the city for the sole purpose of doing the job. it's not simply a case of "provide jobs for local workers."
same happens with development. same happens with constructing sports stadiums. highways. big bridges that cross rivers.
and, unfortunately, it applies to wind turbines. the vague, middle-finger promises of thousands of big-time "green jobs" related to wind turbines is bogus.
in other words--using development as a way to prop up an economy ultimately leads to disaster. if you thought 2008 was bad, wait for 2009 and 2010--when folks living off credit cards and selling off luxury goods reach the end of the line, and realize that they can't refi that house anymore, let alone make the giant mortgage and Subaru Outback car payment or shop at New Seasons for weekly groceries.
meanwhile, Winco and Goodwill are having explosive growth.
See where I am going with this little snarky ass comment?
If you support this then at least have the nuts to make an argument why; otherwise shut up because one liners are just troll comments begging to be recited and killed by cold-hearted mofos like me.
As for the PSU to Milwaukie creating 12,300 jobs, they are correct if they are adding up all the ancillary employment concerning the creation of the steel, plastic, seat cushions, etc. It is a stretch, but it is right and they cite that number to build support in a media that is in the "tank" with them.
They are dead wrong if they are referring to 12,300 living wage jobs that offer benefits and a pension for those in the Portland Metro Area. This has been discussed at length in the above comments and I am not a fan of redundancy.
Very simple solution: stop electing people who are in love with big expensive projects. At some point the taxpaying public will have to realize that electing these folks is going to bankrupt us. This group of politicians will spend money without regard. They cannot control their spending themselves, the only solution to to remove them from office.
I wish our politicans would redefine "job" - instead of being that one employee found something to do (i.e. make a seat cushion for a MAX train), that the "jobs" must be related in terms of 2080 hours (40 hours a week times 52 weeks a year).
So, if 100 "jobs" are created that only work 20 hours total on the job, that's only 2,000 hours - or ***ONE*** fulltime job.
There is a huge difference between someone who gets paid $20/hour for 20 hours, or someone who gets paid $12/hour for 40 hours a week, 50 weeks a year (assuming 10 days of vacation).
They're probably calculating on some sort of FAR-swapping-like basis which allows them to claim excess jobs created from some other area and apply them to a process with an anticipated job deficit.
The smart move would be to add a couple of HOT lanes to HWT99E at a fraction of the cost (especially if you don't build all the extra fancy shelters, etc), add some nice new express buses, and watch the Milwaukie commute be the envy of the region (it is already pretty good). Unfortunately, this would make rail look as bad as it really is.
The line to Milwaukee will easily get 13k per riders plus per day. Even the Yellow line gets that now and it is the most absurdly slow light rail line in the region.
I'm not even going to comment on the 12,300 jobs, already did that on my blog also. :)
As for the last comment about HOT lanes, That would be the single road project that I would actually be FOR in the area. I despise the idea of roads being built on tax dollar being "free". Just stupid, as it degrades the value of the roads themselves and we get this ingrate "free" mentality toward things.
Express buses on HOT though, I'm not sure if I'm for that either though... I'd prefer HOT w/ actual FAST light/heavy rail for honest comparisons. Done right, it would be a truly competitive commute.
...ETA w/ 3-4 stops of heavy rail at speed should be about 20 minutes from Milwaukee to downtown. ETA of HOT lanes driving from Milwaukee to downtown should be about 15 minutes. ETA of light rail that actually goes with 6-7 stops should be 24-26 minutes...
When it does get done, with the way they tend to build these projects here - heavy rail would be 30 minutes, HOT lanes wouldn't exist, a bus would take 30 minutes, and the light rail will take 40-45 minutes.
...somehow Portland is getting pretty notorious for taking a particular mode, and getting ridership (re: streetcar w/ almost 12k rides per day) and making it slower than any other comparable system in the nation.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (20)
How Sustainability Really Works
(1) build lots of stuff--which creates mostly temporary, barely living-wage jobs.
(2) realize that building lots of things has lots of impact--some disastrous--so create projects that mitigate some of the damage--which creates mostly temporary, barely living-wage jobs.
(3) realize that the projects built to mitigate damage actually create their own kind of damage. notice that the middle class is going away, due to lack of economic stability and an economy built on short-term stimulus and credit.
repeat steps 1-3 as necessary, labeling appropriate parts "green" as needed to promote decisions.
Posted by ecohuman | April 6, 2009 1:17 PM
Not much different from the TriMet WES Heavy Rail Project that is about 3,000 riders short of their grossly inflated ridership projection. And let's not even discuss the huge over-runs in costs.
Posted by Dave A. | April 6, 2009 2:12 PM
Maybe they plan to build it by hand.
Posted by Seegh | April 6, 2009 2:19 PM
Hmmm, it's not subject to the Multnomah County Board or the clowns in Portland's city hall. Maybe the train to Milwaukie doesn't sound so bad after all.
Posted by p | April 6, 2009 2:34 PM
I am not totally opposed to the Milwaukie Light Rail project, after all it will pass within short walking distance of my home in Westmoreland. However, I am already girding my loins for the inevitable, over engineering and cost overrun ridden project. This one should not kill the taxpayer. The right of way along the current rail tracks will not require the condemnation of homes and business'. People could actually ride downtown to go to work. Skip the over priced ineffectual green bits and build us a train!
Posted by Dean | April 6, 2009 2:44 PM
I'd be shocked if they get 12,300 riders, let alone temporary construction workers.
Posted by Mike (the other one) | April 6, 2009 2:50 PM
Oh don't worry, this one will be on-time and on-budget like all the other MAX projects.
Y'know, after the retroactively edit the schedule and budget on the day the line opens...
12,300 jobs - what a load of horsesh*t.
Posted by MachineShedFred | April 6, 2009 3:40 PM
Funny, usually the standard government formula for "job creation" is $1 million spent = 14 jobs. If they used that, 1,400 million * 14 = 19,600 jobs. Still seems high but maybe this is an attempt at honest accounting.
Dean: "The right of way along the current rail tracks will not require the condemnation of homes and business'"
You're right...the problem is, once it turns due south, somewhere around Powell, and parallels 17th Ave, and then goes along McLoughlin, it will take out many businesses. Over a hundred, I believe. In fact, that's why the project is so expensive: property acquisition and business relocation costs. 3 times the cost of the I-205/mall line, for roughly the same length of track.
Posted by GLV | April 6, 2009 4:24 PM
creating public transit isn't inherently wrong.
but claiming that public transit construction "creates jobs" and provides some sort of long-term, benevolent economic benefit is disingenuine. almost all the jobs are TEMPORARY. and, a significant number go to workers who come to the city for the sole purpose of doing the job. it's not simply a case of "provide jobs for local workers."
same happens with development. same happens with constructing sports stadiums. highways. big bridges that cross rivers.
and, unfortunately, it applies to wind turbines. the vague, middle-finger promises of thousands of big-time "green jobs" related to wind turbines is bogus.
in other words--using development as a way to prop up an economy ultimately leads to disaster. if you thought 2008 was bad, wait for 2009 and 2010--when folks living off credit cards and selling off luxury goods reach the end of the line, and realize that they can't refi that house anymore, let alone make the giant mortgage and Subaru Outback car payment or shop at New Seasons for weekly groceries.
meanwhile, Winco and Goodwill are having explosive growth.
Posted by ecohuman | April 6, 2009 4:51 PM
The city of Portland will also shift $972,673 from a project aimed at inner east side sidewalks to offset the cost of funding the study now.
What? They are diverting $1 million dollars from inner NE sidewalks to a street car route to Lake Oswego?
Posted by Michael | April 6, 2009 4:55 PM
almost all the jobs are TEMPORARY.
Well, all jobs are temporary.
Posted by Allan L. | April 6, 2009 6:19 PM
Well, all jobs are temporary.
no fair gettin' metaphysical.
Posted by ecohuman | April 6, 2009 6:33 PM
Well, all human lives are temporary.
See where I am going with this little snarky ass comment?
If you support this then at least have the nuts to make an argument why; otherwise shut up because one liners are just troll comments begging to be recited and killed by cold-hearted mofos like me.
As for the PSU to Milwaukie creating 12,300 jobs, they are correct if they are adding up all the ancillary employment concerning the creation of the steel, plastic, seat cushions, etc. It is a stretch, but it is right and they cite that number to build support in a media that is in the "tank" with them.
They are dead wrong if they are referring to 12,300 living wage jobs that offer benefits and a pension for those in the Portland Metro Area. This has been discussed at length in the above comments and I am not a fan of redundancy.
Posted by YoungOregonMoonbat | April 6, 2009 8:48 PM
This is not going to create anywhere near 12,300 jobs and somebody should be held accountable for this b.s.
Trimet is in the same league as the bank bailouts. Money down a rathole.
Posted by Libertarian Guy | April 6, 2009 9:04 PM
Very simple solution: stop electing people who are in love with big expensive projects. At some point the taxpaying public will have to realize that electing these folks is going to bankrupt us. This group of politicians will spend money without regard. They cannot control their spending themselves, the only solution to to remove them from office.
Posted by andy | April 7, 2009 2:33 PM
I wish our politicans would redefine "job" - instead of being that one employee found something to do (i.e. make a seat cushion for a MAX train), that the "jobs" must be related in terms of 2080 hours (40 hours a week times 52 weeks a year).
So, if 100 "jobs" are created that only work 20 hours total on the job, that's only 2,000 hours - or ***ONE*** fulltime job.
There is a huge difference between someone who gets paid $20/hour for 20 hours, or someone who gets paid $12/hour for 40 hours a week, 50 weeks a year (assuming 10 days of vacation).
Posted by erik h. | April 8, 2009 12:19 PM
They're probably calculating on some sort of FAR-swapping-like basis which allows them to claim excess jobs created from some other area and apply them to a process with an anticipated job deficit.
Posted by NW Portlander | April 8, 2009 7:33 PM
The smart move would be to add a couple of HOT lanes to HWT99E at a fraction of the cost (especially if you don't build all the extra fancy shelters, etc), add some nice new express buses, and watch the Milwaukie commute be the envy of the region (it is already pretty good). Unfortunately, this would make rail look as bad as it really is.
Posted by John | April 10, 2009 4:50 PM
How do you create 12,300 jobs?
Start with 15,000 jobs.
Posted by MJ | April 12, 2009 11:21 PM
The line to Milwaukee will easily get 13k per riders plus per day. Even the Yellow line gets that now and it is the most absurdly slow light rail line in the region.
I'm not even going to comment on the 12,300 jobs, already did that on my blog also. :)
As for the last comment about HOT lanes, That would be the single road project that I would actually be FOR in the area. I despise the idea of roads being built on tax dollar being "free". Just stupid, as it degrades the value of the roads themselves and we get this ingrate "free" mentality toward things.
Express buses on HOT though, I'm not sure if I'm for that either though... I'd prefer HOT w/ actual FAST light/heavy rail for honest comparisons. Done right, it would be a truly competitive commute.
...ETA w/ 3-4 stops of heavy rail at speed should be about 20 minutes from Milwaukee to downtown. ETA of HOT lanes driving from Milwaukee to downtown should be about 15 minutes. ETA of light rail that actually goes with 6-7 stops should be 24-26 minutes...
When it does get done, with the way they tend to build these projects here - heavy rail would be 30 minutes, HOT lanes wouldn't exist, a bus would take 30 minutes, and the light rail will take 40-45 minutes.
...somehow Portland is getting pretty notorious for taking a particular mode, and getting ridership (re: streetcar w/ almost 12k rides per day) and making it slower than any other comparable system in the nation.
My question is WTF.
Posted by Adron | April 26, 2009 8:27 PM