What are we, as a country, going to do? Seriously, how are we going to ever get out of this mess? Even if we all generally agreed on a plan, would it ever get done? There's enough moneyed interest in the status quo to ever let it happen...
I wouldn't worry about the status quo. That can't go on much longer.
One number I always used to think about was when the deficit passed over 365 billion a year. I'm not an economist but the idea that everyday we lived in America, we were 1 billion dollars more in debt, seemed alarming. Of course, that was back before we began running up a trillion dollars of new debt by lunchtime.
That was several years ago when right-wing conservatives were writing my blog to brag about how great W. was at the economy.
Well, Allan, I wouldn't shoot the messenger over apostrophe abuse. The Medicare HI fund (Part A ) is expected to be depleted in 2019, and the suppmental insurance fund is growing way faster than general inflation. This report is generated annually, and it ain't good news:
PMG, let's all hope we can think clearly about these problems. I'm not shooting any messengers, a metaphor that I think does not involve skepticism but rather blame shifting. Projected social fund deficits include a lot of assumptions about the future, almost none of which are likely to prove accurate. But the Medicare report (which I'm betting doesn't have a lot of careless mistakes in it) underscores, if anything, the urgency of fundamental health care reform in the United States. Parts C and D of Medicare are a carefully crafted time bomb intended to bankrupt the system and procure its failure, once and for all. This "reform" of Medicare should have been named for Ron Wyden, whose favorable vote single-handedly brought it about. You might guess that I don't think this is the best time in the world to be screaming about the national debt and prospective deficits. What I do think is that efforts now to address these problems directly (through higher taxes, or lower spending, or both) will just make them worse.
I've noticed a huge uptick in right-wingers bleating that "The New Deal didn't work." But right now, we need to put people back to work and put a secure-enough floor under them that they'll begin participating in the consumer-driven economy.
Obama, however, is already turning away from campaign promises to get out of Iraq in 16 months and abolish the Bush tax cuts.
So it doesn't look as if we're going to try solutions that would work.
With the federal, state, county, city debt combined we're looking at over $215,000 per person.
Combining that with the average debt people have in bank cards, mortgages, etc., a family of four would be over $1 Million dollars in debt. That means in one's lifetime with national averages that debt will never be paid off from income expected.
I think we're missing the point here. Saying we owe 200 thousand dollars or whatever, implies a level of stability that's rapidly eroding. What we may be seeing is the beginning of the end of the dollar as our entire system unravels, then crashes down in a heap.
It's like in "No Country for Old Men" when the bad guy is talking to the widow he's about to kill, and she says she still owes a bunch of money for her mother's funeral. He says, "I wouldn't worry about it."
"... how are we going to ever get out of this mess?"
Easy answer. It has all been set out as burden, and onus, for our grandkids and their kids to get out from under.
Government expenditures and appropriations used to be (before Raygun) 'costed' in the current year's budget. Somehow that got shifted in ratchet increments, until now we see government spending, and revenue, stated in terms of projected total amounts cumulative for the projected total years of the legislated take-in and pay-out. We have come "unstuck in Time," like Billy Pilgrim. ("Somehow got shifted" is not to mean there is a mystery of 'how.' Rather, that 'how' is a tedious 30-year narrative -- and totally known, which is more details than a Comment can fit, except to say there is 'some.') But the 'solution' is to re-establish only Current Year revenues and spending in legislative debate and news reports. After all, what one session of Congress can give, the next session of Congress can take away.
Income and expenses in terms of cash on hand can be applied in personal finance, too. For instance, we hear that Social Security is 'broken' about 50 years in the future. Well, all right then, there seems to be almost nothing we can do today to fix the government program, in 2060, and there is very much we can do to fix our personal 'program.' This: Forget Soc.Sec. checks when we retire; plan and act to take that future into personal account and our own hands -- personally save ahead for retirement. Opt out of our own Soc.Sec.
If everyone who can do that, would do that, then Soc.Sec. is NOT 'broken' 50 years in the future.
Whatsa matter, you can't do that? You can't foresee how it's going to go, and where you're going to be, for 'retirement?' If you can't, then how can we rationally expect government can?
Earn earnings this year. Spend some this year. Save some this year. Stay current. Then there'll be no burden on grandkids, and the rest ....
Some comic relief in contrast: There are those who wreck the party by talking reality, as said in the headline; and then there are those LIARS who distort reality by misstating a fun and ceremonial party.
Summary:MSNBC's Tamron Hall stated that "the inauguration festivities" for President-elect Barack Obama are "estimated to reach as high as $150 million," while "[i]n 2004, to note, the inauguration of George W. Bush cost roughly $40 million." But the $40 million figure that Hall cited for Bush's second inauguration reportedly does not include security and transportation costs incurred by the federal government and the District of Columbia; these costs are included in the $150 million estimate that the media are reporting for the Obama inauguration.
Perhaps it is odd -- NOT! -- that LIARS Larson broadcast those same EXACT NUMBERS from Drudge, on Friday. "Obama's party is costing $150 million, Bush's party cost only $40 million," said LIARS.
But that's not reality, in fact.
Some of his listeners reading this here should call-in LIARS radio program today, (his screener hangs up on me -- LIARS has not got the guts to face true facts and me), to tell him why his reputation is he is LIARS.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (14)
I wonder if their arithmetic is any better than their spelling and grammar. It's hard to credit sources that are so careless with details.
Posted by Allan L. | January 19, 2009 7:12 AM
Wow, good thing we gave all those bank & mortgage lender CEOs their bonuses. They could be hurting if this gets any worse.
Posted by Jon | January 19, 2009 7:55 AM
What are we, as a country, going to do? Seriously, how are we going to ever get out of this mess? Even if we all generally agreed on a plan, would it ever get done? There's enough moneyed interest in the status quo to ever let it happen...
Posted by TKrueg | January 19, 2009 8:03 AM
I wouldn't worry about the status quo. That can't go on much longer.
One number I always used to think about was when the deficit passed over 365 billion a year. I'm not an economist but the idea that everyday we lived in America, we were 1 billion dollars more in debt, seemed alarming. Of course, that was back before we began running up a trillion dollars of new debt by lunchtime.
That was several years ago when right-wing conservatives were writing my blog to brag about how great W. was at the economy.
Posted by Bill McDonald | January 19, 2009 8:40 AM
Well, Allan, I wouldn't shoot the messenger over apostrophe abuse. The Medicare HI fund (Part A ) is expected to be depleted in 2019, and the suppmental insurance fund is growing way faster than general inflation. This report is generated annually, and it ain't good news:
http://www.cms.hhs.gov/ReportsTrustFunds/downloads/tr2008.pdf
Posted by PMG | January 19, 2009 8:58 AM
seems like yesterday that Bubba was leaving office and the national debt was on track to be paid off in 15 yrs...
Posted by jimbo | January 19, 2009 9:11 AM
PMG, let's all hope we can think clearly about these problems. I'm not shooting any messengers, a metaphor that I think does not involve skepticism but rather blame shifting. Projected social fund deficits include a lot of assumptions about the future, almost none of which are likely to prove accurate. But the Medicare report (which I'm betting doesn't have a lot of careless mistakes in it) underscores, if anything, the urgency of fundamental health care reform in the United States. Parts C and D of Medicare are a carefully crafted time bomb intended to bankrupt the system and procure its failure, once and for all. This "reform" of Medicare should have been named for Ron Wyden, whose favorable vote single-handedly brought it about. You might guess that I don't think this is the best time in the world to be screaming about the national debt and prospective deficits. What I do think is that efforts now to address these problems directly (through higher taxes, or lower spending, or both) will just make them worse.
Posted by Allan L. | January 19, 2009 9:26 AM
It's only money
Posted by tom | January 19, 2009 9:51 AM
I've noticed a huge uptick in right-wingers bleating that "The New Deal didn't work." But right now, we need to put people back to work and put a secure-enough floor under them that they'll begin participating in the consumer-driven economy.
Obama, however, is already turning away from campaign promises to get out of Iraq in 16 months and abolish the Bush tax cuts.
So it doesn't look as if we're going to try solutions that would work.
Posted by Roger | January 19, 2009 9:55 AM
"The New Deal didn't work."
I had one of them in my face with "The New Deal caused the Depression." Exact quote.
Posted by Jack Bog | January 19, 2009 10:04 AM
With the federal, state, county, city debt combined we're looking at over $215,000 per person.
Combining that with the average debt people have in bank cards, mortgages, etc., a family of four would be over $1 Million dollars in debt. That means in one's lifetime with national averages that debt will never be paid off from income expected.
Where's Momma?
Posted by Lee | January 19, 2009 10:08 AM
I think we're missing the point here. Saying we owe 200 thousand dollars or whatever, implies a level of stability that's rapidly eroding. What we may be seeing is the beginning of the end of the dollar as our entire system unravels, then crashes down in a heap.
It's like in "No Country for Old Men" when the bad guy is talking to the widow he's about to kill, and she says she still owes a bunch of money for her mother's funeral. He says, "I wouldn't worry about it."
Posted by Bill McDonald | January 19, 2009 11:06 AM
"... how are we going to ever get out of this mess?"
Easy answer. It has all been set out as burden, and onus, for our grandkids and their kids to get out from under.
Government expenditures and appropriations used to be (before Raygun) 'costed' in the current year's budget. Somehow that got shifted in ratchet increments, until now we see government spending, and revenue, stated in terms of projected total amounts cumulative for the projected total years of the legislated take-in and pay-out. We have come "unstuck in Time," like Billy Pilgrim. ("Somehow got shifted" is not to mean there is a mystery of 'how.' Rather, that 'how' is a tedious 30-year narrative -- and totally known, which is more details than a Comment can fit, except to say there is 'some.') But the 'solution' is to re-establish only Current Year revenues and spending in legislative debate and news reports. After all, what one session of Congress can give, the next session of Congress can take away.
Income and expenses in terms of cash on hand can be applied in personal finance, too. For instance, we hear that Social Security is 'broken' about 50 years in the future. Well, all right then, there seems to be almost nothing we can do today to fix the government program, in 2060, and there is very much we can do to fix our personal 'program.' This: Forget Soc.Sec. checks when we retire; plan and act to take that future into personal account and our own hands -- personally save ahead for retirement. Opt out of our own Soc.Sec.
If everyone who can do that, would do that, then Soc.Sec. is NOT 'broken' 50 years in the future.
Whatsa matter, you can't do that? You can't foresee how it's going to go, and where you're going to be, for 'retirement?' If you can't, then how can we rationally expect government can?
Earn earnings this year. Spend some this year. Save some this year. Stay current. Then there'll be no burden on grandkids, and the rest ....
Posted by Tenskwatawa | January 19, 2009 12:02 PM
Some comic relief in contrast: There are those who wreck the party by talking reality, as said in the headline; and then there are those LIARS who distort reality by misstating a fun and ceremonial party.
MSNBC's Tamron Hall asserted Bush's 2005 inauguration "cost roughly $40 million," ignored reported $100 million in additional costs, Media Matters, Jan 18, 2009.
.
Perhaps it is odd -- NOT! -- that LIARS Larson broadcast those same EXACT NUMBERS from Drudge, on Friday. "Obama's party is costing $150 million, Bush's party cost only $40 million," said LIARS.
But that's not reality, in fact.
Some of his listeners reading this here should call-in LIARS radio program today, (his screener hangs up on me -- LIARS has not got the guts to face true facts and me), to tell him why his reputation is he is LIARS.
Posted by Tenskwatawa | January 19, 2009 12:32 PM