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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 23, 2008 4:03 AM. The previous post in this blog was He knows if you've been bad or good. The next post in this blog is A beautiful sight, we're happy tonight. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.



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Tuesday, December 23, 2008

City of Portland population grew 1.33%, says PSU

The latest official population estimates for Oregon have been released by the nose-counting experts at Portland State University. As of July 1 of this year, they put the City of Portland's total at 575,930 residents. That is a 1.33 percent increase over the year before. The three-year compounded growth rate was 1.29 percent a year.

We've adjusted the city debt clock in our left sidebar accordingly.

It's important to keep the growth rate in perspective as city officials keep telling us how many zillion more people will be moving to Portland in the years ahead. At least if we're talking about within the city limits, the growth won't be all that dramatic. Over the next decade, at current growth rates the city will add about 79,000 more residents; over the next two decades, about 169,000.

The U.S. Census Bureau won't have its corresponding number out for a while, but the last figure it released was around 18,000 lower than the PSU estimate for the same date. The two numbers likely won't be reconciled until the 2010 census, which, believe it or not, is just over a year away.

Comments (23)

I'm not so sure of your future figures, Jack. If they extend Max to the Idaho Border and south to California Border...Brings back memories of Kaiser Shipyards and the buses from the south.

That's it! We'll grow our way out of debt!!!

We'll grow our way out of debt!

When uncontrollable inflation hits, these debt numbers will look like chump change, and our city fathers like the geniuses they know they are.

With all the snow and ice lately, birth rates will spike upwards in about 9 months.

Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter so despite the birth surge, the population will shrink as Portlanders head for Hawaii to survive.

When all those babies are born in September, Portland proper will actually lose population. There's not enough family housing here, so they will all move to the burbs.

Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.

Bill says: Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter ...

Wrong, Bill. Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

i'd like to see those. can you point us to them?

It's funny how Salem and Eugene continue to be neck and neck.

Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?

Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.

The statewide 2008 numbers are up -- 3,790,060 for Oregon, up from 3,735,549 -- but I don't believe the "subcounty" (city) 2008 Census numbers are available yet:

"Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?"

Do you really think that visionaries have time to think about garbage?

We have considered organizing a bucket brigade to pass garbage down to NW 23rd where it can be loaded on the streetcar and efficiently transported away from us. I'm sure they have garbage pick up at RiverPlace.

Frontier times call for frontier measures! Go by streetcar!

We could take all our garbage and dump it in the South Waterfront Neighborhood Park and call it the latest Art installation by the Artist in Residence. They probably wouldn't notice until after the thaw.

Interesting. I wonder what the demographics of the growing population are. Families? College educated? Students? High school grads? Home buyers or renters? Income level?

One article a while back suggested that many of the "new" Portlanders were of lower income levels, which will not bode well for the local economy, and could potentially ask more of state and county services than they contribute in tax dollars.

Hmmm, would be interesting to research this a little.

Don't worry about the trash. It should stay frozen for a while.

Sam the Tram must know what Livin' just found out - all these new folks are probably not going to be reliable tax payers, hence the reason to bust us in the chops NOW for all the purportedly "necessary" infrastructure to support "a million new residents" (Max bridges, street cars, free toilets, convention center hotel, etc.). I guess he has to act before reverse gentrification takes hold.

Funny, while he knows that the public would go crazy paying for something legit like paving the roads, he has no qualms blowing ten times the money on stuff that will benefit 1/10th the population.

Amen, bro.

Sam the Tram is definitely a hypocrite.

Yesterday at his media event he said that this snow event is costing the city $100 thousand a day and "seriously crimping the city's budget and we don't have that kind of money." But recently he offered Vestas Windmills $12.5 MILLION of city money to establish it's headquarter here, additionally offering other tax breaks, job education incentives, SoWhat TIF dollars, and the state's $30 Million to boot.

It odd how city dollars are found for everything imaginable outside of real tasks of the city (Charter required), but then cries poor for the real necessities. I'm sure Sam will use the snow as a major reason to reinstate his $450 Million road tax proposal.

You people are NOT listening!

"Blumenauer spoke to the Tribune after giving the keynote address at a conference sponsored by the Northwest Energy Coalition, a group of utility companies and advocacy groups working on alternative energy projects.

In his speech, Blumenauer predicted the population of the Portland area would grow by far more than the estimated 1 million people during the next decade because of “climate change refugees” fleeing areas made unlivable by global warming."

As a 3 year graduate student, I know where the majority of these permanent residents are coming from. Mainly Silent Generation and Baby Boomer retirees, many of whom are East Coast transplants.

Own some property in Boston, NYC, the San Francisco, sell onr off when you reach 60+, buy a condo in the Pearl, and have a bunch of family-bearing age PSU planners inputting your data in a file that becomes a 1.33% increase in the City of Portland.

This may be a cynical view, but it is the view when I ride PDX Streetcar around 1 pm anyday of the week where it is a freaking geriatric clinic up in there.

If you want to comment on spending priorities, check out this simplistic City of Portland poll:

Well, unless there is a huge amount of infill, or demolition of single-family homes and old apartment buildings, to then be replaced by big condo or apartment buildings, of course the population growth within the city of Portland is going to be small.

Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

I have no idea what Metro may be doing in this regard, but the fact is that the global climate models forecast more and more climatic extremes (both droughts and years with unusually heavy precipitation) in many regions, including ours. The forecasts also include changes in seasonality of precipitation, and changes in the SORT of precipitation: more rain, less snow (and thus less glacier ice in places that have glaciers). Because mountain snowpacks and glaciers are very important in our water cycle--they amount to natural reservoirs--droughts will be especially severe when they do occur. (And they do.)

It would be entirely prudent for Metro and other governmental bodies in Oregon and Washington to give some thought now to how we might accommodate "climate refugees". Scoff now, and you and especially your children will have to scramble later.


As a lawyer/blogger, I get
to be a member of:

In Vino Veritas

Lange, Pinot Gris 2015
Kiona, Lemberger 2014
Willamette Valley, Pinot Gris 2015
Aix, Rosé de Provence 2016
Marchigüe, Cabernet 2013
Inazío Irruzola, Getariako Txakolina Rosé 2015
Maso Canali, Pinot Grigio 2015
Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Kirkland, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2016
Cantele, Salice Salentino Reserva 2013
Whispering Angel, Côtes de Provence Rosé 2013
Avissi, Prosecco
Cleto Charli, Lambrusco di Sorbara Secco, Vecchia Modena
Pique Poul, Rosé 2016
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Rosé 2016
Stoller, Pinot Noir Rosé 2016
Chehalem, Inox Chardonnay 2015
The Four Graces, Pinot Gris 2015
Gascón, Colosal Red 2013
Cardwell Hill, Pinot Gris 2015
L'Ecole No. 41, Merlot 2013
Della Terra, Anonymus
Willamette Valley, Dijon Clone Chardonnay 2013
Wraith, Cabernet, Eidolon Estate 2012
Januik, Red 2015
Tomassi, Valpolicella, Rafaél, 2014
Sharecropper's Pinot Noir 2013
Helix, Pomatia Red Blend 2013
La Espera, Cabernet 2011
Campo Viejo, Rioja Reserva 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2013
Locations, Spanish Red Wine
Locations, Argentinian Red Wine
La Antigua Clásico, Rioja 2011
Shatter, Grenache, Maury 2012
Argyle, Vintage Brut 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16 Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2014
Benton Hill, Pinot Gris 2015
Primarius, Pinot Gris 2015
Januik, Merlot 2013
Napa Cellars, Cabernet 2013
J. Bookwalter, Protagonist 2012
LAN, Rioja Edicion Limitada 2011
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2009
Denada Cellars, Cabernet, Maipo Valley 2014
Marchigüe, Cabernet, Colchagua Valley 2013
Oberon, Cabernet 2014
Hedges, Red Mountain 2012
Balboa, Rose of Grenache 2015
Ontañón, Rioja Reserva 2015
Three Horse Ranch, Pinot Gris 2014
Archery Summit, Vireton Pinot Gris 2014
Nelms Road, Merlot 2013
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris 2014
Conn Creek, Cabernet, Napa 2012
Conn Creek, Cabernet, Napa 2013
Villa Maria, Sauvignon Blanc 2015
G3, Cabernet 2013
Chateau Smith, Cabernet, Washington State 2014
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #16
Willamette Valley, Rose of Pinot Noir, Whole Clusters 2015
Albero, Bobal Rose 2015
Ca' del Baio Barbaresco Valgrande 2012
Goodfellow, Reserve Pinot Gris, Clover 2014
Lugana, San Benedetto 2014
Wente, Cabernet, Charles Wetmore 2011
La Espera, Cabernet 2011
King Estate, Pinot Gris 2015
Adelsheim, Pinot Gris 2015
Trader Joe's, Pinot Gris, Willamette Valley 2015
La Vite Lucente, Toscana Red 2013
St. Francis, Cabernet, Sonoma 2013
Kendall-Jackson, Pinot Noir, California 2013
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Napa Valley 2013
Erath, Pinot Noir, Estate Selection 2012
Abbot's Table, Columbia Valley 2014
Intrinsic, Cabernet 2014
Oyster Bay, Pinot Noir 2010
Occhipinti, SP68 Bianco 2014
Layer Cake, Shiraz 2013
Desert Wind, Ruah 2011
WillaKenzie, Pinot Gris 2014
Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2013
Des Amis, Rose 2014
Dunham, Trautina 2012
RoxyAnn, Claret 2012
Del Ri, Claret 2012
Stoppa, Emilia, Red 2004
Primarius, Pinot Noir 2013
Domaines Bunan, Bandol Rose 2015
Albero, Bobal Rose 2015
Deer Creek, Pinot Gris 2015
Beaulieu, Rutherford Cabernet 2013
Archery Summit, Vireton Pinot Gris 2014
King Estate, Pinot Gris, Backbone 2014
Oberon, Napa Cabernet 2013
Apaltagua, Envero Carmenere Gran Reserva 2013
Chateau des Arnauds, Cuvee des Capucins 2012
Nine Hats, Red 2013
Benziger, Cabernet, Sonoma 2012
Roxy Ann, Claret 2012
Januik, Merlot 2012
Conundrum, White 2013
St. Francis, Sonoma Cabernet 2012

The Occasional Book

Marc Maron - Waiting for the Punch
Phil Stanford - Rose City Vice
Kenneth R. Feinberg - What is Life Worth?
Kent Haruf - Our Souls at Night
Peter Carey - True History of the Kelly Gang
Suzanne Collins - The Hunger Games
Amy Stewart - Girl Waits With Gun
Philip Roth - The Plot Against America
Norm Macdonald - Based on a True Story
Christopher Buckley - Boomsday
Ryan Holiday - The Obstacle is the Way
Ruth Sepetys - Between Shades of Gray
Richard Adams - Watership Down
Claire Vaye Watkins - Gold Fame Citrus
Markus Zusak - I am the Messenger
Anthony Doerr - All the Light We Cannot See
James Joyce - Dubliners
Cheryl Strayed - Torch
William Golding - Lord of the Flies
Saul Bellow - Mister Sammler's Planet
Phil Stanford - White House Call Girl
John Kaplan & Jon R. Waltz - The Trial of Jack Ruby
Kent Haruf - Eventide
David Halberstam - Summer of '49
Norman Mailer - The Naked and the Dead
Maria Dermoȗt - The Ten Thousand Things
William Faulkner - As I Lay Dying
Markus Zusak - The Book Thief
Christopher Buckley - Thank You for Smoking
William Shakespeare - Othello
Joseph Conrad - Heart of Darkness
Bill Bryson - A Short History of Nearly Everything
Cheryl Strayed - Tiny Beautiful Things
Sara Varon - Bake Sale
Stephen King - 11/22/63
Paul Goldstein - Errors and Omissions
Mark Twain - A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
Steve Martin - Born Standing Up: A Comic's Life
Beverly Cleary - A Girl from Yamhill, a Memoir
Kent Haruf - Plainsong
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 5
At this date last year: 3
Total run in 2017: 113
In 2016: 155
In 2015: 271
In 2014: 401
In 2013: 257
In 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269

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