The latest official population estimates for Oregon have been released by the nose-counting experts at Portland State University. As of July 1 of this year, they put the City of Portland's total at 575,930 residents. That is a 1.33 percent increase over the year before. The three-year compounded growth rate was 1.29 percent a year.
We've adjusted the city debt clock in our left sidebar accordingly.
It's important to keep the growth rate in perspective as city officials keep telling us how many zillion more people will be moving to Portland in the years ahead. At least if we're talking about within the city limits, the growth won't be all that dramatic. Over the next decade, at current growth rates the city will add about 79,000 more residents; over the next two decades, about 169,000.
The U.S. Census Bureau won't have its corresponding number out for a while, but the last figure it released was around 18,000 lower than the PSU estimate for the same date. The two numbers likely won't be reconciled until the 2010 census, which, believe it or not, is just over a year away.
Comments (23)
I'm not so sure of your future figures, Jack. If they extend Max to the Idaho Border and south to California Border...Brings back memories of Kaiser Shipyards and the buses from the south.
Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter so despite the birth surge, the population will shrink as Portlanders head for Hawaii to survive.
When all those babies are born in September, Portland proper will actually lose population. There's not enough family housing here, so they will all move to the burbs.
Bill says: Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter ...
Wrong, Bill. Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.
Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.
The statewide 2008 numbers are up -- 3,790,060 for Oregon, up from 3,735,549 -- but I don't believe the "subcounty" (city) 2008 Census numbers are available yet:
We have considered organizing a bucket brigade to pass garbage down to NW 23rd where it can be loaded on the streetcar and efficiently transported away from us. I'm sure they have garbage pick up at RiverPlace.
Frontier times call for frontier measures! Go by streetcar!
We could take all our garbage and dump it in the South Waterfront Neighborhood Park and call it the latest Art installation by the Artist in Residence. They probably wouldn't notice until after the thaw.
Interesting. I wonder what the demographics of the growing population are. Families? College educated? Students? High school grads? Home buyers or renters? Income level?
One article a while back suggested that many of the "new" Portlanders were of lower income levels, which will not bode well for the local economy, and could potentially ask more of state and county services than they contribute in tax dollars.
Hmmm, would be interesting to research this a little.
Don't worry about the trash. It should stay frozen for a while.
Sam the Tram must know what Livin' just found out - all these new folks are probably not going to be reliable tax payers, hence the reason to bust us in the chops NOW for all the purportedly "necessary" infrastructure to support "a million new residents" (Max bridges, street cars, free toilets, convention center hotel, etc.). I guess he has to act before reverse gentrification takes hold.
Funny, while he knows that the public would go crazy paying for something legit like paving the roads, he has no qualms blowing ten times the money on stuff that will benefit 1/10th the population.
Yesterday at his media event he said that this snow event is costing the city $100 thousand a day and "seriously crimping the city's budget and we don't have that kind of money." But recently he offered Vestas Windmills $12.5 MILLION of city money to establish it's headquarter here, additionally offering other tax breaks, job education incentives, SoWhat TIF dollars, and the state's $30 Million to boot.
It odd how city dollars are found for everything imaginable outside of real tasks of the city (Charter required), but then cries poor for the real necessities. I'm sure Sam will use the snow as a major reason to reinstate his $450 Million road tax proposal.
"Blumenauer spoke to the Tribune after giving the keynote address at a conference sponsored by the Northwest Energy Coalition, a group of utility companies and advocacy groups working on alternative energy projects.
In his speech, Blumenauer predicted the population of the Portland area would grow by far more than the estimated 1 million people during the next decade because of “climate change refugees” fleeing areas made unlivable by global warming."
As a 3 year graduate student, I know where the majority of these permanent residents are coming from. Mainly Silent Generation and Baby Boomer retirees, many of whom are East Coast transplants.
Own some property in Boston, NYC, the San Francisco, sell onr off when you reach 60+, buy a condo in the Pearl, and have a bunch of family-bearing age PSU planners inputting your data in a file that becomes a 1.33% increase in the City of Portland.
This may be a cynical view, but it is the view when I ride PDX Streetcar around 1 pm anyday of the week where it is a freaking geriatric clinic up in there.
Well, unless there is a huge amount of infill, or demolition of single-family homes and old apartment buildings, to then be replaced by big condo or apartment buildings, of course the population growth within the city of Portland is going to be small.
Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.
I have no idea what Metro may be doing in this regard, but the fact is that the global climate models forecast more and more climatic extremes (both droughts and years with unusually heavy precipitation) in many regions, including ours. The forecasts also include changes in seasonality of precipitation, and changes in the SORT of precipitation: more rain, less snow (and thus less glacier ice in places that have glaciers). Because mountain snowpacks and glaciers are very important in our water cycle--they amount to natural reservoirs--droughts will be especially severe when they do occur. (And they do.)
It would be entirely prudent for Metro and other governmental bodies in Oregon and Washington to give some thought now to how we might accommodate "climate refugees". Scoff now, and you and especially your children will have to scramble later.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 29
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (23)
I'm not so sure of your future figures, Jack. If they extend Max to the Idaho Border and south to California Border...Brings back memories of Kaiser Shipyards and the buses from the south.
Posted by KISS | December 23, 2008 7:12 AM
That's it! We'll grow our way out of debt!!!
Posted by Snards | December 23, 2008 7:19 AM
We'll grow our way out of debt!
When uncontrollable inflation hits, these debt numbers will look like chump change, and our city fathers like the geniuses they know they are.
Posted by Allan L. | December 23, 2008 7:52 AM
With all the snow and ice lately, birth rates will spike upwards in about 9 months.
Posted by Charlie | December 23, 2008 8:19 AM
Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter so despite the birth surge, the population will shrink as Portlanders head for Hawaii to survive.
Posted by Bill McDonald | December 23, 2008 8:24 AM
When all those babies are born in September, Portland proper will actually lose population. There's not enough family housing here, so they will all move to the burbs.
Posted by Gil Johnson | December 23, 2008 8:49 AM
Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.
Posted by Kari Chisholm | December 23, 2008 9:46 AM
Bill says: Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter ...
Wrong, Bill. Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.
Posted by Garage Wine | December 23, 2008 10:41 AM
Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.
i'd like to see those. can you point us to them?
Posted by ecohuman | December 23, 2008 11:34 AM
It's funny how Salem and Eugene continue to be neck and neck.
Posted by Paul | December 23, 2008 11:47 AM
Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?
Posted by Bill McDonald | December 23, 2008 12:36 PM
Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.
The statewide 2008 numbers are up -- 3,790,060 for Oregon, up from 3,735,549 -- but I don't believe the "subcounty" (city) 2008 Census numbers are available yet:
http://www.census.gov/popest/cities/files/SUB-EST2007-mtwy.csv
Posted by Jack Bog | December 23, 2008 12:46 PM
"Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?"
Do you really think that visionaries have time to think about garbage?
Posted by Tom | December 23, 2008 1:36 PM
We have considered organizing a bucket brigade to pass garbage down to NW 23rd where it can be loaded on the streetcar and efficiently transported away from us. I'm sure they have garbage pick up at RiverPlace.
Frontier times call for frontier measures! Go by streetcar!
Posted by NW Portlander | December 23, 2008 2:54 PM
We could take all our garbage and dump it in the South Waterfront Neighborhood Park and call it the latest Art installation by the Artist in Residence. They probably wouldn't notice until after the thaw.
Posted by Tom | December 23, 2008 4:04 PM
Interesting. I wonder what the demographics of the growing population are. Families? College educated? Students? High school grads? Home buyers or renters? Income level?
One article a while back suggested that many of the "new" Portlanders were of lower income levels, which will not bode well for the local economy, and could potentially ask more of state and county services than they contribute in tax dollars.
Hmmm, would be interesting to research this a little.
Don't worry about the trash. It should stay frozen for a while.
Posted by Livin la Vida Suburbia | December 23, 2008 4:20 PM
Sam the Tram must know what Livin' just found out - all these new folks are probably not going to be reliable tax payers, hence the reason to bust us in the chops NOW for all the purportedly "necessary" infrastructure to support "a million new residents" (Max bridges, street cars, free toilets, convention center hotel, etc.). I guess he has to act before reverse gentrification takes hold.
Funny, while he knows that the public would go crazy paying for something legit like paving the roads, he has no qualms blowing ten times the money on stuff that will benefit 1/10th the population.
Posted by Mike (the other one) | December 23, 2008 7:01 PM
Amen, bro.
Posted by Jack Bog | December 23, 2008 7:43 PM
Sam the Tram is definitely a hypocrite.
Yesterday at his media event he said that this snow event is costing the city $100 thousand a day and "seriously crimping the city's budget and we don't have that kind of money." But recently he offered Vestas Windmills $12.5 MILLION of city money to establish it's headquarter here, additionally offering other tax breaks, job education incentives, SoWhat TIF dollars, and the state's $30 Million to boot.
It odd how city dollars are found for everything imaginable outside of real tasks of the city (Charter required), but then cries poor for the real necessities. I'm sure Sam will use the snow as a major reason to reinstate his $450 Million road tax proposal.
Posted by lw | December 23, 2008 8:07 PM
You people are NOT listening!
"Blumenauer spoke to the Tribune after giving the keynote address at a conference sponsored by the Northwest Energy Coalition, a group of utility companies and advocacy groups working on alternative energy projects.
In his speech, Blumenauer predicted the population of the Portland area would grow by far more than the estimated 1 million people during the next decade because of “climate change refugees” fleeing areas made unlivable by global warming."
Posted by pdxjim | December 23, 2008 9:15 PM
As a 3 year graduate student, I know where the majority of these permanent residents are coming from. Mainly Silent Generation and Baby Boomer retirees, many of whom are East Coast transplants.
Own some property in Boston, NYC, the San Francisco, sell onr off when you reach 60+, buy a condo in the Pearl, and have a bunch of family-bearing age PSU planners inputting your data in a file that becomes a 1.33% increase in the City of Portland.
This may be a cynical view, but it is the view when I ride PDX Streetcar around 1 pm anyday of the week where it is a freaking geriatric clinic up in there.
Posted by YoungOregonMoonNut | December 23, 2008 9:18 PM
If you want to comment on spending priorities, check out this simplistic City of Portland poll:
http://www.zoomerang.com/Survey/survey-intro.zgi?p=WEB228LQQ5DPZ2
Posted by NW Portlander | December 24, 2008 5:40 PM
Well, unless there is a huge amount of infill, or demolition of single-family homes and old apartment buildings, to then be replaced by big condo or apartment buildings, of course the population growth within the city of Portland is going to be small.
Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.
I have no idea what Metro may be doing in this regard, but the fact is that the global climate models forecast more and more climatic extremes (both droughts and years with unusually heavy precipitation) in many regions, including ours. The forecasts also include changes in seasonality of precipitation, and changes in the SORT of precipitation: more rain, less snow (and thus less glacier ice in places that have glaciers). Because mountain snowpacks and glaciers are very important in our water cycle--they amount to natural reservoirs--droughts will be especially severe when they do occur. (And they do.)
It would be entirely prudent for Metro and other governmental bodies in Oregon and Washington to give some thought now to how we might accommodate "climate refugees". Scoff now, and you and especially your children will have to scramble later.
Posted by joebob | December 25, 2008 1:59 PM