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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 23, 2008 4:03 AM. The previous post in this blog was He knows if you've been bad or good. The next post in this blog is A beautiful sight, we're happy tonight. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Tuesday, December 23, 2008

City of Portland population grew 1.33%, says PSU

The latest official population estimates for Oregon have been released by the nose-counting experts at Portland State University. As of July 1 of this year, they put the City of Portland's total at 575,930 residents. That is a 1.33 percent increase over the year before. The three-year compounded growth rate was 1.29 percent a year.

We've adjusted the city debt clock in our left sidebar accordingly.

It's important to keep the growth rate in perspective as city officials keep telling us how many zillion more people will be moving to Portland in the years ahead. At least if we're talking about within the city limits, the growth won't be all that dramatic. Over the next decade, at current growth rates the city will add about 79,000 more residents; over the next two decades, about 169,000.

The U.S. Census Bureau won't have its corresponding number out for a while, but the last figure it released was around 18,000 lower than the PSU estimate for the same date. The two numbers likely won't be reconciled until the 2010 census, which, believe it or not, is just over a year away.

Comments (23)

I'm not so sure of your future figures, Jack. If they extend Max to the Idaho Border and south to California Border...Brings back memories of Kaiser Shipyards and the buses from the south.

That's it! We'll grow our way out of debt!!!

We'll grow our way out of debt!

When uncontrollable inflation hits, these debt numbers will look like chump change, and our city fathers like the geniuses they know they are.

With all the snow and ice lately, birth rates will spike upwards in about 9 months.

Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter so despite the birth surge, the population will shrink as Portlanders head for Hawaii to survive.

When all those babies are born in September, Portland proper will actually lose population. There's not enough family housing here, so they will all move to the burbs.

Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.

Bill says: Relax, climate change will soon make Portland unlivable in the winter ...

Wrong, Bill. Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

i'd like to see those. can you point us to them?

It's funny how Salem and Eugene continue to be neck and neck.

Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?

Actually, the 2008 numbers from the Census Bureau are now out, too.

The statewide 2008 numbers are up -- 3,790,060 for Oregon, up from 3,735,549 -- but I don't believe the "subcounty" (city) 2008 Census numbers are available yet:

http://www.census.gov/popest/cities/files/SUB-EST2007-mtwy.csv

"Does anybody know if Metro is working on any plans to pick up the garbage this week?"

Do you really think that visionaries have time to think about garbage?

We have considered organizing a bucket brigade to pass garbage down to NW 23rd where it can be loaded on the streetcar and efficiently transported away from us. I'm sure they have garbage pick up at RiverPlace.

Frontier times call for frontier measures! Go by streetcar!

We could take all our garbage and dump it in the South Waterfront Neighborhood Park and call it the latest Art installation by the Artist in Residence. They probably wouldn't notice until after the thaw.

Interesting. I wonder what the demographics of the growing population are. Families? College educated? Students? High school grads? Home buyers or renters? Income level?

One article a while back suggested that many of the "new" Portlanders were of lower income levels, which will not bode well for the local economy, and could potentially ask more of state and county services than they contribute in tax dollars.

Hmmm, would be interesting to research this a little.

Don't worry about the trash. It should stay frozen for a while.

Sam the Tram must know what Livin' just found out - all these new folks are probably not going to be reliable tax payers, hence the reason to bust us in the chops NOW for all the purportedly "necessary" infrastructure to support "a million new residents" (Max bridges, street cars, free toilets, convention center hotel, etc.). I guess he has to act before reverse gentrification takes hold.

Funny, while he knows that the public would go crazy paying for something legit like paving the roads, he has no qualms blowing ten times the money on stuff that will benefit 1/10th the population.

Amen, bro.

Sam the Tram is definitely a hypocrite.

Yesterday at his media event he said that this snow event is costing the city $100 thousand a day and "seriously crimping the city's budget and we don't have that kind of money." But recently he offered Vestas Windmills $12.5 MILLION of city money to establish it's headquarter here, additionally offering other tax breaks, job education incentives, SoWhat TIF dollars, and the state's $30 Million to boot.

It odd how city dollars are found for everything imaginable outside of real tasks of the city (Charter required), but then cries poor for the real necessities. I'm sure Sam will use the snow as a major reason to reinstate his $450 Million road tax proposal.

You people are NOT listening!

"Blumenauer spoke to the Tribune after giving the keynote address at a conference sponsored by the Northwest Energy Coalition, a group of utility companies and advocacy groups working on alternative energy projects.

In his speech, Blumenauer predicted the population of the Portland area would grow by far more than the estimated 1 million people during the next decade because of “climate change refugees” fleeing areas made unlivable by global warming."

As a 3 year graduate student, I know where the majority of these permanent residents are coming from. Mainly Silent Generation and Baby Boomer retirees, many of whom are East Coast transplants.

Own some property in Boston, NYC, the San Francisco, sell onr off when you reach 60+, buy a condo in the Pearl, and have a bunch of family-bearing age PSU planners inputting your data in a file that becomes a 1.33% increase in the City of Portland.

This may be a cynical view, but it is the view when I ride PDX Streetcar around 1 pm anyday of the week where it is a freaking geriatric clinic up in there.

If you want to comment on spending priorities, check out this simplistic City of Portland poll:

http://www.zoomerang.com/Survey/survey-intro.zgi?p=WEB228LQQ5DPZ2

Well, unless there is a huge amount of infill, or demolition of single-family homes and old apartment buildings, to then be replaced by big condo or apartment buildings, of course the population growth within the city of Portland is going to be small.

Metro is working on plans to deal with the millions of climate refugees fleeing the heat of Arizona and California for oh-so temperate Oregon.

I have no idea what Metro may be doing in this regard, but the fact is that the global climate models forecast more and more climatic extremes (both droughts and years with unusually heavy precipitation) in many regions, including ours. The forecasts also include changes in seasonality of precipitation, and changes in the SORT of precipitation: more rain, less snow (and thus less glacier ice in places that have glaciers). Because mountain snowpacks and glaciers are very important in our water cycle--they amount to natural reservoirs--droughts will be especially severe when they do occur. (And they do.)

It would be entirely prudent for Metro and other governmental bodies in Oregon and Washington to give some thought now to how we might accommodate "climate refugees". Scoff now, and you and especially your children will have to scramble later.


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If You See Kay, Red 2011
Turnbull, Old Bull Red 2010
Cherry Tart, Cherry Pie Pinot Noir 2012
Trader Joe's Grand Reserve Cabernet, Oakville 2012
Benton Lane, Pinot Gris 2012
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Reserva 2008
Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2012
Pendulum Red 2011
Vina Real, Plata, Crianza Rioja 2009
Edmunds St. John, Bone/Jolly, Gamay Noir Rose 2013
Bookwalter, Subplot No. 26
Ayna, Tempranillo 2011
Pete's Mountain, Pinot Noir, Haley's Block 2010
Apaltagua, Reserva Camenere 2012
Lugana, San Benedetto 2012
Argyle Brut 2007
Wildewood Pinot Gris 2012
Anciano, Tempranillo Reserva 2007
Santa Rita, Reserva Cabernet 2009
Casone, Toscana 2008
Fonseca Porto, Bin No. 27
Louis Jadot, Pouilly-Fuissé 2011
Trader Joe's, Grower's Reserve Pinot Noir 2012
Zenato, Lugana San Benedetto 2012
Vintjs, Cabernet 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White 2012
Rainstorm, Oregon Pinot Gris 2012
Silver Palm, North Coast Cabernet 2011
Andrew Rich, Gewurtztraminer 2008
Rodney Strong, Charlotte's Home Sauvignon Blanc 2012
Canoe Ridge, Pinot Gris, Expedition 2012
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Gamay Noir Rose 2012
Dark Horse, Big Red Blend No. 01A
Elk Cove, Pinot Noir Rose 2012
Fletcher, Shiraz 2010
Picollo, Gavi 2011
Domaine Eugene Carrel, Jongieux 2012
Eyrie, Pinot Blanc 2010
Atticus, Pinot Noir 2010
Walter Scott, Pinot Noir, Holstein 2011
Shingleback, Cabernet, Davey Estate 2010
Coppola, Sofia Rose 2012
Joel Gott, 851 Cabernet 2010
Pol Roget Reserve Sparkling Wine
Mount Eden Chardonnay, Santa Cruz Mountains 2009
Rombauer Chardonnay, Napa Valley 2011
Beringer, Chardonnay, Napa Reserve 2011
Kim Crawford, Sauvignon Blanc 2011
Schloss Vollrads, Spaetlese Rheingau 2010
Belle Glos, Pinot Noir, Clark & Telephone 2010
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Chauteau de Beaucastel, Chateauneuf-du-Pape 2005
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Silver Oak, Cabernet, Alexander Valley 2002
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Trader Joe's, Chardonnay, Grower's Reserve 2012
Silver Palm, Cabernet, North Coast 2010
Shingleback, Cabernet, Davey Estate 2010
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone 2009
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2011
Alamos, Cabernet 2011
Cousino Macul, Cabernet, Anitguas Reservas 2009
Dreaming Tree Cabernet 2010
1967, Toscana 2009
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
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Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
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Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
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Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
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The Occasional Book

Norman Mailer - The Naked and the Dead
Maria Dermoȗt - The Ten Thousand Things
William Faulkner - As I Lay Dying
Markus Zusak - The Book Thief
Christopher Buckley - Thank You for Smoking
William Shakespeare - Othello
Joseph Conrad - Heart of Darkness
Bill Bryson - A Short History of Nearly Everything
Cheryl Strayed - Tiny Beautiful Things
Sara Varon - Bake Sale
Stephen King - 11/22/63
Paul Goldstein - Errors and Omissions
Mark Twain - A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
Steve Martin - Born Standing Up: A Comic's Life
Beverly Cleary - A Girl from Yamhill, a Memoir
Kent Haruf - Plainsong
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
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Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
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Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 225
At this date last year: 71
Total run in 2013: 257
In 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269


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