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Tuesday, October 28, 2008

A week to go


Posted at 9:22 AM | Bookmark and Share

Comments (18)

Sarah better enjoy those expensive high heels now, 'cause she'll be walking back to Alaska on snowshoes.

Her dress is made from moss gathered in Alaskan forests.

Hey Bill,

Do you think it is just a coinky-dink that Gallup releases a poll showing Obama's lead had narrowed to only 2 pts, and right away the Dow jumps up almost 500 pts?

Hey Butch,
No coincidence at all. The jump in the Dow resulted from the new Pew Research poll out today: "Barack Obama is now narrowly leading John McCain among voters in the 10 battleground states that voted for George W. Bush in 2004.

"The poll finds that among those voters, Obama is now up 47%-43%, which is within the margin of error, but still noteworthy. In the past few weeks Obama has steadily gained, and now passed, McCain among these voters.

"A week ago, according to the poll's internals, McCain led among these red battleground state voters by seven points, 49%-42%."

Wall Street knows what history clearly demonstrates: if you want to live like a Republican, you have to vote Democratic.

You mean that Pew poll whose sample was 39% Democrats, 31% independents, and 26% Republicans? Yeah....I'm sure that is what the turnout will look like next Tuesday......


Hey Bill,

Do you think it is just a coinky-dink that Gallup releases a poll showing Obama's lead had narrowed to only 2 pts, and right away the Dow jumps up almost 500 pts?

Hey Butch,

do you think it is just a coinky-dink that Gallup released a poll showing consumer confidence plunged to its lowest levels in 41 years today?

"do you think it is just a coinky-dink that Gallup released a poll showing consumer confidence plunged to its lowest levels in 41 years today?"

Not at all. Obama is leading in most polls, after all.

The market loves the Democrats. It loved Clinton, and it will love Obama.

Not at all. Obama is leading in most polls, after all.

i'd be grateful if you'd explain the provable correlation between who's "ahead" in a political race and a poll about consumer confidence about the state of the economy (confidence which has been steadily declining in polls for 5 1/2 years.)

The market loves the Democrats. It loved Clinton, and it will love Obama.

i don't know. the state of things right now seems unlikely to respond to that simple stimulation. the problems look too systemic.

And just in time for the election, gas prices have magically dropped! As you were folks...

I wonder what butch would say if it were a Democratic president strong-arming the biggest banks in the land into partial nationalization...

Anyway, there hasn't been a significant difference between Dems and the GOP in policy toward Wall St. since Bill Clinton put Robert Rubin in charge of all things economic in his White House.

Obama's choice of Jason Furman to head an economic policy team loaded with Chicago School free marketeers, and his statement that "I am a pro-growth, free-market guy. I love the market," ought to put to rest any uninformed assertions that Wall Street has anything to fear from an Obama presidency.

(Those of us who see the need for a significant revisiting of New Deal-style policies are the ones who should be concerned about an Obama presidency. Initial signs indicate he will be shy about a definitive departure from neoliberal, markets-first economic policy. Of course, he's far more likely to get it right than McTaxcuts, but it will take considerable pressure from progressives. You can take the man out of Chicago, but can you take the Chicago School out of the man?)

Butch,
Any bounce in the stock market this week could be natural exuberance from knowing we're about to pick George W.'s replacement. This may be a tragedy for you - the way you loved him so much these last few years - but many of us thought George Bush was a psychotic idiot and we're thrilled that Election Day is finally approaching.

I would still hesitate to believe anything we see in the next few days. After all, the Bush administration's still in charge so I'm sure there's much treachery to come. Beware of false flag operations: If there's an attack on America, or if bin Ladin suddenly puts out a heavy metal album, don't buy into it, Butch. Part of quitting George W. will be the realization that questioning the government is what Americans are supposed to do.

October 28 Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg News poll. Hey, Butch -- this one is skewed too? I'm sure you will come up with some rationale for disputing it!

"Obama holds a 50-43-percentage point advantage over Republican John McCain in Florida, the poll finds -- in a state that has only sparingly voted for Democrats since the 1960s, and then only Southern Democrats.

"And Obama holds a 49-40-point advantage over McCain in Ohio among likely voters surveyed -- in a state that has voted the way the nation has voted most times and always been part of a Republican's winning formula."

It's OK Butch.
John McCain does not agree with the polls either. It is probably good you guys are all trying hard to stay "on message" these last few days.

All I can say is - NICE photoshop job!

I didn't do that -- and I wish I knew who did, because they deserve credit.

Me too, I like the photo. work.

It might be instructive -- like father, like son -- as we recall during DaddyB's lameduckery after Clinton beat him but before the inauguration, against all advice of Generals Pentagonal, Prezzy Poopypants invaded Somalia, unprovoked.

That's the one where Dan Rather was standing on the sand, in full reportorial splendor, with cameraman, greeting the Marines wading up wet from the landing craft to the beach ... remember? Then later, some 'warlords' (as if Prezzy Poopypants was pacifist - NOT), dragged Marines bodies through the dusty Mogadishu 'streets' ... again, made-for-TV in front of the cameras. All hell let loose for incoming Clinton by Popster Bushbutcher after he was election LOSER.

Videos.

Tons o' fun, anti-Palin, HERE.

Lots more, HERE.

Homemade Hollywood. It's good, all good. Organic. Natural television, not like that crap that's broadcast.

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Dom Martinho, Tinto 2005
Chateau St. Jean, Cabernet, California 2007
Kirkland, Napa Cabernet 2007
Revelry, The Reveler, 2007
Joseph Drouhin, Chablis 2006
Altos Las Hormigas, Mendoza Malbec 2008
Alodio, Ribeira Sacra Mencia 2007
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2008
Kiona, Lemberger 2006
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Columbia Valley Merlot 2005
Paranga, Kir-Yianni 2005
L. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Rose 2007
Gloria Ferrer, Sonoma Brut
Kirkland, Napa Valley Meritage 2006
Abacela, Tempranillo 2006
Woodward Canyon, Columbia Valley Red
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2007
Mas Donis Barrica, Celler de Capcanes Red, 2005
Three Rivers, Merlot 2006
Raptor Ridge, Pinot Gris 2008
Lezaun, Rosado, Navarra
Lezaun, Red, Navarra
Hedges, Three Vineyards, Red Mountain 2005
Raptor Ridge, Pinot Gris 2008
Vega Sindoa, Cabernet-Tempranillo 2006
Inama, Soave Classico 2007
Alois Lageder, Lagrein Rosato 2008
Broglia, Gavi 2007
Marqués de Cáceres, Rioja Rose 2008
Spaltagna, Riserva Pinot Noir 2008
Portuga, Rose 2008
Warre's Warrior Port
Lange, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Guiraud, Le G, 2007
Falset, Garnacha Rose, Montsant 2006
Castello di Bossi, Chianti Classico 2004
Domaine Chandon, Pinot Noir, La Riviere Sonoma 2006
Brazin, Old Vine Zinfandel, Lodi 2006
B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2006
Casillero del Diablo, Cabernet 2007
Gentil Hugel, Alsace 2006
Mesoneros de Castilla, Ribero del Duero, Rosado 2008
Cor, Momentum 2007
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2006
Rubico, Lacrima di Morro d'Alba 2007
Gilstrap Brothers, Reserve Merlot 2003
Conundrum 2007
Chandler Reach, 36 Red
Santa Rita, Reserve Cabernet 2005
Marietta, Old Vine Red Lot 47
L'Ecole No. 41, Recess Red 2006
Dom Martinho, Red 2004
Beaulieu, Georges Latour 1994
Caymus, Cabernet 1995
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2005
Bergevin Lane, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2005
Savigny-les-Beaune, Les Lavieres 2003
David Hill, Reserve Merlot, Rogue Valley 2006
Educated Guess, Cabernet 2006
Maquis Lien, Red 2005
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2007
David Hill, Farmhouse White
Robert Mondavi Solaire, Cabernet 2005
Castello Monaci, Liante, Salice Salentino 2006
Ricardo Santos, Malbec 2006
Quinta da Espiga, Tinto 2006
Charles Smith, Holy Cow Merlot 2006
Charles Smith, Boom Boom Syrah 2006
Charles Smith, The Honorable Pinot Gris 2007
Santa Rita, Cabernet Reserva 2005
King Estate, Pinot Gris 2007
Gloria, Douro, Tinto 2002
Bogle, Petite Sirah Port, Clarksburg 2005
Cardwell Hill, Pinot Noir 2004
Silkwood, Red Duet Cabernet-Syrah 2004
Portuga, Vinho Branco 2006, 2007
Osborne, Solaz 2004
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Reserva 2005
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill, Shiraz Cabernet 2006
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2004
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Horse Heaven Hills 2004
Hannah Nicole, Red 2004
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2005
Protocolo, Red 2005
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2006
Portuga, Vinho Branco 2006
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1996
Kirkland, Roogle Shiraz 2004
Garda, Classico Chiaretto
A to Z, Oregon Pinot Gris 2005
I Giusti & Zanza, Nemorino 2006
Treana, Marsanne-Viognier, Central Coast 2005
Fife, Syrah, "Stanford" 2000
B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2005
Marques de Casa Concha, Cabernet 2005
Santi, Sortesele Pinot Grigio 2006
Al Muvedre, Tinto Joven 2006
Layer Cake, Shiraz 2006
Gritti, Ca' Andrea, Umbria red 2005
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Thomas Leithner, Zweigelt 2004
Cain Cuvee NV 3
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot 2003
Meridian, Sauvignon Blanc 2005
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Paringa, Shiraz 2005

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William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

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