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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on August 7, 2008 8:24 AM. The previous post in this blog was Portland water bills may zoom upward. The next post in this blog is SmartPark rehab: Three bidders for architect and engineer. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Thursday, August 7, 2008

Fifty years later

Here's an article backing up what several bloggers and some of our own commenters have been observing lately: that the rich are taking back the inner cities, and the poor are being pushed further and further to the outskirts of town. Just the opposite of the trends of 1950s.

This from a story in today's O provides corroboration:

While the trend of losses in the non-Latino white population since 2000 seems to have reversed itself in Multnomah County, Proehl said she would be cautious to assume this is true until data in the coming years become available.

If the trend has halted or is reversing, she said, it could be because housing is more affordable outside Portland, such as in Washington and Clackamas counties, and more minorities are moving there.

Posted at 8:24 AM | Bookmark and Share

Comments (13)

South African Townships perhaps?
Now that's scary!

Is that the explanation of why Clackamas and Washington counties have a HIGHER per capita and household income than Multnomah County?

http://tinyurl.com/57ml49

The funny thing is that the same people complain about it either way. I'm starting to think that some folks are just whiners. They whine about white flight, they whine about gentrification, they whine about everything in between.

Is that the explanation of why Clackamas and Washington counties have a HIGHER per capita and household income than Multnomah County?

That's old data, dude (2000 and 2003). A lot can have happened in the 8 and 5 years since that data was first collected. That's one of the points in the TNR piece: much of this gentrification/reversion has happened quite recently.

The 2010 Census will tell us if what happened in Chicago happened in Portland and to what degree. And I'm betting the data will show that the increasing numbers of undocumented ag workers in Washington County will have driven the average and median incomes there down.

Clackamas County, with Lake Oswego and the Happy Valley McMansions, might retain its top rank, though . . .

I'd just like to get in here before the obligitory Jim Karlock UGB tirade.

You know it's coming...

=)

That's old data, dude (2000 and 2003). A lot can have happened in the 8 and 5 years since that data was first collected.

I know the data is not current, but it is hard to imagine a 25% difference in median household income has equalized, let alone reversed in that time frame. Of course, the data is for Multnomah County, not specifically Portland; but I suspect those displaced from or can't afford inner city locations probably can afford mid-county, which is within Portland city limits (contrary to some snickerers who seem to think Portland ends at 82nd Avenue).

Oops, make that "data are not current". That one always snags me.

BTW, the number of persons per household in Washington/Clackamas counties is 2.61/2.62, respectively, while Multnomah county is 2.37 (2000 US Census data). It will be interesting to see what those figures are in 2010.

If there is any neighborhood that has had a radical change in demographics it has to be North Portland. The young liberal hip generation call it "NoPo" but with the displacement of Blacks it will soon be called "NoFro".

And this headline in the Trib

Multnomah County suddenly has jail space to spare, with more than 100 vacant beds.

http://www.portlandtribune.com/news/story.php?story_id=121808514485350500

City-wide carbon tax, anyone?

"And I'm betting the data will show that the increasing numbers of undocumented ag workers in Washington County will have driven the average and median incomes there down."

If they are "undocumented", they are probably not filling out Census forms.

It's not only just me ... who foresee a [censored] future outcome, in the symptoms list -- things we see happening now. But then, viewing sees farther ahead, when it is standing on top of 50 or 60 years piled up of past going's-on, whatcha might call 'history.'

It's a book/website ...
THE END OF SUBURBIA: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of The American Dream
Since World War II North Americans have invested much of their newfound wealth in suburbia. It has promised a sense of space, affordability, family life and upward mobility.

Suburbia, and all it promises, has become the American Dream. But as we enter the 21st century, serious questions are beginning to emerge about the sustainability of this way of life.


It's a movie ...
trailer (on YouTube)

Almost two centuries of taking all the carbon deposits out of Earth, and putting CO2 in the atmostphere so much it shifts the climate recipe -- is a phony baloney advertising gimmick ... it's a big marketing racket, is all.

Now Jim Karlock has to counter-campaign with his own version of a whole 'movie buy,' to erase the fiction of the End of Suburbia movie.

It's not just you, Jack: it's nationwide. I keep noting the number of outrageously expensive condos and apartment buildings that keep going in, from Tampa to San Diego, that hype up the appeal of "being close to work" and emphasizing the gasoline savings. In the meantime, every big project along a rail line or major bicycle route requires the destruction of an existing "run-down but still affordable" apartment complex, and the previous residents have to move further and further out to find something they can afford. It'll only stop when the lower-wage workers can't afford to get to work at all, and I fear for a time when most cities are like San Jose in offering subsidized housing for teachers and fire and police personnel because they have to live within city limits by law.

(As it stands, I passed through the town of Terrell, Texas yesterday, just east of Dallas, and noted the number of signs hyping "Save Gas by Working In Terrell Instead of Driving To Dallas." Great advice, if you can afford the 25% to 50% pay cut on taking one of the few jobs in Terrell that can't be filled by high school students or livestock. I suspect that we're going to be seeing a lot of those sorts of signs, especially in far North California, East Oregon, and most of Washington, in order to convince people that we should be glad to accept the lousy pay and worse benefits being offered.)

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In Vino Veritas

Dom Martinho, Tinto 2005
Chateau St. Jean, Cabernet, California 2007
Kirkland, Napa Cabernet 2007
Revelry, The Reveler, 2007
Joseph Drouhin, Chablis 2006
Altos Las Hormigas, Mendoza Malbec 2008
Alodio, Ribeira Sacra Mencia 2007
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2008
Kiona, Lemberger 2006
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Columbia Valley Merlot 2005
Paranga, Kir-Yianni 2005
L. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Rose 2007
Gloria Ferrer, Sonoma Brut
Kirkland, Napa Valley Meritage 2006
Abacela, Tempranillo 2006
Woodward Canyon, Columbia Valley Red
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2007
Mas Donis Barrica, Celler de Capcanes Red, 2005
Three Rivers, Merlot 2006
Raptor Ridge, Pinot Gris 2008
Lezaun, Rosado, Navarra
Lezaun, Red, Navarra
Hedges, Three Vineyards, Red Mountain 2005
Raptor Ridge, Pinot Gris 2008
Vega Sindoa, Cabernet-Tempranillo 2006
Inama, Soave Classico 2007
Alois Lageder, Lagrein Rosato 2008
Broglia, Gavi 2007
Marqués de Cáceres, Rioja Rose 2008
Spaltagna, Riserva Pinot Noir 2008
Portuga, Rose 2008
Warre's Warrior Port
Lange, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Guiraud, Le G, 2007
Falset, Garnacha Rose, Montsant 2006
Castello di Bossi, Chianti Classico 2004
Domaine Chandon, Pinot Noir, La Riviere Sonoma 2006
Brazin, Old Vine Zinfandel, Lodi 2006
B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2006
Casillero del Diablo, Cabernet 2007
Gentil Hugel, Alsace 2006
Mesoneros de Castilla, Ribero del Duero, Rosado 2008
Cor, Momentum 2007
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2006
Rubico, Lacrima di Morro d'Alba 2007
Gilstrap Brothers, Reserve Merlot 2003
Conundrum 2007
Chandler Reach, 36 Red
Santa Rita, Reserve Cabernet 2005
Marietta, Old Vine Red Lot 47
L'Ecole No. 41, Recess Red 2006
Dom Martinho, Red 2004
Beaulieu, Georges Latour 1994
Caymus, Cabernet 1995
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2005
Bergevin Lane, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2005
Savigny-les-Beaune, Les Lavieres 2003
David Hill, Reserve Merlot, Rogue Valley 2006
Educated Guess, Cabernet 2006
Maquis Lien, Red 2005
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2007
David Hill, Farmhouse White
Robert Mondavi Solaire, Cabernet 2005
Castello Monaci, Liante, Salice Salentino 2006
Ricardo Santos, Malbec 2006
Quinta da Espiga, Tinto 2006
Charles Smith, Holy Cow Merlot 2006
Charles Smith, Boom Boom Syrah 2006
Charles Smith, The Honorable Pinot Gris 2007
Santa Rita, Cabernet Reserva 2005
King Estate, Pinot Gris 2007
Gloria, Douro, Tinto 2002
Bogle, Petite Sirah Port, Clarksburg 2005
Cardwell Hill, Pinot Noir 2004
Silkwood, Red Duet Cabernet-Syrah 2004
Portuga, Vinho Branco 2006, 2007
Osborne, Solaz 2004
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Reserva 2005
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill, Shiraz Cabernet 2006
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2004
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Horse Heaven Hills 2004
Hannah Nicole, Red 2004
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2005
Protocolo, Red 2005
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2006
Portuga, Vinho Branco 2006
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1996
Kirkland, Roogle Shiraz 2004
Garda, Classico Chiaretto
A to Z, Oregon Pinot Gris 2005
I Giusti & Zanza, Nemorino 2006
Treana, Marsanne-Viognier, Central Coast 2005
Fife, Syrah, "Stanford" 2000
B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2005
Marques de Casa Concha, Cabernet 2005
Santi, Sortesele Pinot Grigio 2006
Al Muvedre, Tinto Joven 2006
Layer Cake, Shiraz 2006
Gritti, Ca' Andrea, Umbria red 2005
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Thomas Leithner, Zweigelt 2004
Cain Cuvee NV 3
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Meridian, Sauvignon Blanc 2005
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2003
Paringa, Shiraz 2005

The Occasional Book

F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 64
At this date last year: 28
Total run in 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
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