Since late last winter, we have been reporting on the financial results of OnPoint Community Credit Union based in Portland. We are not really competent to judge the significance of all the data contained in that institution's financial statements, but we have been blogging about them here for a number of reasons. First, it's a Portland-centric money house, and so it might be seen as some indicator of how things are going in the local economy. Second, we've got a little bit of money parked there, as a long-time member. Third, we never see anyone else report about OnPoint's quarterly results, which is always a little disconcerting. And last but not least, the management over there is not real open with the nitty-gritty numbers; you won't find much hard data on its website, even if you look hard.
And so here we go with another quarter's worth, as of June 30, 2008. The full Excel file of what OnPoint reported to the National Credit Union Administration, a federal agency, is here. And here are some of the line items we've picked out that seemed interesting to our relatively untrained eye. If nothing else, they confirm the trend of ever-increasing loan delinquency:
Item
9/30/07
3/31/08
6/30/08
Q'ly increase
9-mo. increase
Total investments
$239,660,803
$266,999,202
$298,019,625
11.6%
24.4%
Federal agency securities
$97,766,028
$99,580,429
$153,595,595
54.2%
57.1%
Total reportable delinquency - total delinquent loans
$3,525,641
$7,289,749
$9,944,789
36.4%
182.1%
Total reportable delinquency - indirect lending
$1,659,211
$3,141,885
$3,736,341
18.9%
125.2%
Total outstanding loan balances subject to bankruptcies
$4,595,702
$2,047,768
$6,218,843
203.7%
35.3%
Ratio of delinquent loans to total loans
0.17
0.34
0.45
Ratio of total delinquent loans to net worth
1.56
3.05
4.09
Delinquent loans are those delinquent for two months or more.
Year-to-date net income for the quarter ended June 30 was $10,139,886, down 18.0% from the same quarter last year ($12,364,142). For the first time since we've been watching, deposits fell during the quarter, from $2,303,473,491 to $2,278,482,461 -- a 1.1% drop.
Comments (10)
Deposits at many banks have been falling for the past year or two. I think it has to do with the contraction in mortgage lending which tends to also get associated mortgage money deposits. That they are still turning a profit (net income), and enough to cover defaults, is pretty good. But this is only a partial picture, and what has been surprising in this current credit crisis is how long it has taken for banks to report losses. Live and learn. As an investor, I am left wondering are banks like airlines, to be traded but not held in the buy & hold fashion.
p.s. Onpoint should have kept its old name Portland Teacher's Credit Union. It was more wholesome sounding to me.
Could you clarify something? On the above when they state ratio of delin loans to total loans at 0.45, do they mean
45% or 0.45%
I can see the delinq loans to net worth ratio as high since banks don't have to have too much net worth (another comforting thought) in relation to loans.
Interesting, too, that they've been buying up "federal agency securities". Wonder if those are Treasuries, something from the Federal Home Loan Bank system, or something from the Bernanke bailout bonanza. Perhaps a good sign, if they're stockpiling "safe" investments to counter losses in their mortgage book.
Credit union delinquency numbers historically run a small fraction of those run by for-profit financial institutions. Don't believe the reasons for this have actually been researched, but credit union advocates (e.g. myself) say it is due to knowing members better (better risk evaluation), member loyalty and respect for the cooperative nature of the institution.
Will look at their numbers and post again. Loan loss reserve to total capital is always interesting, as it is a better indication of what kind of hit management actually thinks they are going to take. Reporting of delinquencies is tightly regulated, so not always indicative. There is always some percentage of the over 60 days behind loans that management knows are going to be caught up or worked out without loss. Again, with CU's that number runs higher than at banks.
Let us raise a toast to the bright bulbs who got credit unions started. Imagine trying to create a financial services co-op today, if they didn't already exist. You would quickly see confirmation that de-regulation only applies to the for-profit corporations, and then only when they are making the bucks. What we have today is socialized corporate risk, and deregulated corporate profit.
What I gather from a green eye-shade examination of those numbers is that their loan losses are indeed increasing, as are losses on non-RE, non-plastic loans (i.e. auto, boat, RV). However, that has merely moved their loss ratios from damn good to very good. Bankruptcies are an issue, but that is a regional and national issue they can't be expected to escape. On the whole, my take is that the asset quality issue is a headache, but not more. Pass the Advil.
The numbers that would scare me are their decline in ROAA, from 1.07 in June07 to 0.79 in June08, and some of the paper they are holding, $92 million in mortgaged backed securities of fed agencies, and $36 million in CMO’s. Pass the Tums.
I work at 1st tech and DQ is an issue here too.
To figure out delinquency add total balances of ALL loans and credit cards and divide by total balances of all that are 60+ days behind. As you might guess higher balance loans affect the bottom line more when they go 60 days.
Many credit unions broadened their membership base and it increased delinquency.We got more people who had no real long-term relationship that they cared about protecting.
We had an issue with indirect auto loans (go to dealer pick a car sit in back office with finance guy get a stmt 2 weeks later from some bank/credit union you never heard of saying they carry your car note).
We bought too many of these loans & many went to 19 yr old kids with no credit history and no sense of responsiblity and we financed a 30 k Dodge Ram for them!
Mortgages are an issue not due to the number that are 60 days past due (we hold our notes and largely avoided the dodgy kind of deals that went on at places like Countrywide). However the balances are so high so they affect the bottom line more.
America just overextended itself on credit mortgages are one example; repos are going up-many of these people were behind on their car loans from the start. Many people took loans for gas guzzlers & now they can't afford the gas for their F-350 and they don't want to pay for a vehicle they aren't driving.
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 29
At this date last year: 66
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (10)
Deposits at many banks have been falling for the past year or two. I think it has to do with the contraction in mortgage lending which tends to also get associated mortgage money deposits. That they are still turning a profit (net income), and enough to cover defaults, is pretty good. But this is only a partial picture, and what has been surprising in this current credit crisis is how long it has taken for banks to report losses. Live and learn. As an investor, I am left wondering are banks like airlines, to be traded but not held in the buy & hold fashion.
p.s. Onpoint should have kept its old name Portland Teacher's Credit Union. It was more wholesome sounding to me.
Posted by Bob Clark | August 5, 2008 8:39 AM
Could you clarify something? On the above when they state ratio of delin loans to total loans at 0.45, do they mean
45% or 0.45%
I can see the delinq loans to net worth ratio as high since banks don't have to have too much net worth (another comforting thought) in relation to loans.
Posted by Steve | August 5, 2008 8:41 AM
My guess if 4.5 percent - since nationally 95 percent of all mortgages are current.
Posted by John Fairplay | August 5, 2008 9:18 AM
Interesting, too, that they've been buying up "federal agency securities". Wonder if those are Treasuries, something from the Federal Home Loan Bank system, or something from the Bernanke bailout bonanza. Perhaps a good sign, if they're stockpiling "safe" investments to counter losses in their mortgage book.
Posted by Ari | August 5, 2008 9:28 AM
I don't understand those ratio figures either. They seem to be saying that the delinquent loans equal 45% of total loans.
The figure below it seems to say that delinquent loans are 4 times their net worth.
I guess it's dangerous to dive into these numbers with too little knowledge.
Posted by Deeds | August 5, 2008 10:13 AM
do they mean 45% or 0.45%
I believe it is 0.45%. Which means that for every $10,000 of loans they have out there (principal balance), $45 are delinquent by two months or more.
Delinquent loans are as listed above, $9,944,789. Total loans are $2,187,487,380. That's 0.454622%.
Delinquent loans make up 4.09% of the credit union's net worth.
Posted by Jack Bog | August 5, 2008 12:59 PM
They do mean 0.45%.
Credit union delinquency numbers historically run a small fraction of those run by for-profit financial institutions. Don't believe the reasons for this have actually been researched, but credit union advocates (e.g. myself) say it is due to knowing members better (better risk evaluation), member loyalty and respect for the cooperative nature of the institution.
Will look at their numbers and post again. Loan loss reserve to total capital is always interesting, as it is a better indication of what kind of hit management actually thinks they are going to take. Reporting of delinquencies is tightly regulated, so not always indicative. There is always some percentage of the over 60 days behind loans that management knows are going to be caught up or worked out without loss. Again, with CU's that number runs higher than at banks.
Let us raise a toast to the bright bulbs who got credit unions started. Imagine trying to create a financial services co-op today, if they didn't already exist. You would quickly see confirmation that de-regulation only applies to the for-profit corporations, and then only when they are making the bucks. What we have today is socialized corporate risk, and deregulated corporate profit.
Posted by dyspeptic | August 5, 2008 1:12 PM
What I gather from a green eye-shade examination of those numbers is that their loan losses are indeed increasing, as are losses on non-RE, non-plastic loans (i.e. auto, boat, RV). However, that has merely moved their loss ratios from damn good to very good. Bankruptcies are an issue, but that is a regional and national issue they can't be expected to escape. On the whole, my take is that the asset quality issue is a headache, but not more. Pass the Advil.
The numbers that would scare me are their decline in ROAA, from 1.07 in June07 to 0.79 in June08, and some of the paper they are holding, $92 million in mortgaged backed securities of fed agencies, and $36 million in CMO’s. Pass the Tums.
Posted by dyspeptic | August 5, 2008 3:39 PM
I work at 1st tech and DQ is an issue here too.
To figure out delinquency add total balances of ALL loans and credit cards and divide by total balances of all that are 60+ days behind. As you might guess higher balance loans affect the bottom line more when they go 60 days.
Many credit unions broadened their membership base and it increased delinquency.We got more people who had no real long-term relationship that they cared about protecting.
We had an issue with indirect auto loans (go to dealer pick a car sit in back office with finance guy get a stmt 2 weeks later from some bank/credit union you never heard of saying they carry your car note).
We bought too many of these loans & many went to 19 yr old kids with no credit history and no sense of responsiblity and we financed a 30 k Dodge Ram for them!
Mortgages are an issue not due to the number that are 60 days past due (we hold our notes and largely avoided the dodgy kind of deals that went on at places like Countrywide). However the balances are so high so they affect the bottom line more.
America just overextended itself on credit mortgages are one example; repos are going up-many of these people were behind on their car loans from the start. Many people took loans for gas guzzlers & now they can't afford the gas for their F-350 and they don't want to pay for a vehicle they aren't driving.
Posted by Mike | August 5, 2008 3:53 PM
Thanks for posting, Mike. Very helpful background.
Posted by dyspeptic | August 5, 2008 3:57 PM