Detail, east Portland photo, courtesy Miles Hochstein / Portland Ground.

For old times' sake
The bojack bumper sticker -- only $1.50!

To order, click here.

Excellent tunes -- free! And on your browser right now. Just click on Radio Bojack!

E-mail us here.


This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on April 20, 2008 3:27 PM. The previous post in this blog was Buy a condo, they'll throw in a hybrid Camry?. The next post in this blog is City issues order -- Branam already violating it. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.



Law and Taxation
How Appealing
TaxProf Blog
Mauled Again
Tax Appellate Blog
A Taxing Matter
Josh Marquis
Native America, Discovered and Conquered
The Yin Blog
Ernie the Attorney
Above the Law
The Volokh Conspiracy
Going Concern
Bag and Baggage
Wealth Strategies Journal
Jim Hamilton's World of Securities Regulation
World of Work
The Faculty Lounge
Lowering the Bar
OrCon Law

Hap'nin' Guys
Tony Pierce
Parkway Rest Stop
Along the Gradyent
Dwight Jaynes
Bob Borden
Dingleberry Gazette
The Red Electric
Iced Borscht
Jeremy Blachman
Dean's Rhetorical Flourish
Straight White Guy
As Time Goes By
Dave Wagner
Jeff Selis
Alas, a Blog
Scott Hendison
The View Through the Windshield
Appliance Blog
The Bleat

Hap'nin' Gals
My Whim is Law
Lelo in Nopo
Attorney at Large
Linda Kruschke
The Non-Consumer Advocate
10 Steps to Finding Your Happy Place
A Pig of Success
Attorney at Large
Margaret and Helen
Kimberlee Jaynes
Cornelia Seigneur
And Sew It Goes
Mile 73
Rainy Day Thoughts
That Black Girl
Posie Gets Cozy
Cat Eyes
Rhi in Pink
Ragwaters, Bitters, and Blue Ruin
Rose City Journal
Type Like the Wind

Portland and Oregon
Isaac Laquedem
Rantings of a [Censored] Bus Driver
Jeff Mapes
Vintage Portland
The Portlander
South Waterfront
Amanda Fritz
O City Hall Reporters
Guilty Carnivore
Old Town by Larry Norton
The Alaunt
Bend Blogs
Lost Oregon
Cafe Unknown
Tin Zeroes
David's Oregon Picayune
Mark Nelsen's Weather Blog
Travel Oregon Blog
Portland Daily Photo
Portland Building Ads
Portland Food and
Dave Knows Portland
Idaho's Portugal
Alameda Old House History
MLK in Motion

Retired from Blogging
Various Observations...
The Daily E-Mail
Saving James
Portland Freelancer
Furious Nads (b!X)
Izzle Pfaff
The Grich
Kevin Allman
AboutItAll - Oregon
Lost in the Details
Worldwide Pablo
Tales from the Stump
Whitman Boys
Two Pennies
This Stony Planet
1221 SW 4th
I am a Fish
Here Today
What If...?
Superinky Fixations
The Rural Bus Route
Another Blogger
Mikeyman's Computer Treehouse
Portland Housing Blog

Wonderfully Wacky
Dave Barry
Borowitz Report
Stuff White People Like
Worst of the Web

Valuable Time-Wasters
My Gallery of Jacks
Litterbox, On the Prowl
Litterbox, Bag of Bones
Litterbox, Scratch
Ride That Donkey
Singin' Horses
Rally Monkey
Simon Swears
Strong Bad's E-mail

Oregon News
The Oregonian
Portland Tribune
Willamette Week
The Sentinel
Southeast Examiner
Northwest Examiner
Sellwood Bee
Mid-County Memo
Vancouver Voice
Eugene Register-Guard
OPB - Portland
Salem Statesman-Journal
Oregon Capitol News
Portland Business Journal
Daily Journal of Commerce
Oregon Business
Portland Info Net
McMinnville News Register
Lake Oswego Review
The Daily Astorian
Bend Bulletin
Corvallis Gazette-Times
Roseburg News-Review
Medford Mail-Tribune
Ashland Daily Tidings
Newport News-Times
Albany Democrat-Herald
The Eugene Weekly
Portland IndyMedia
The Columbian

The Beatles
Bruce Springsteen
Joni Mitchell
Ella Fitzgerald
Steve Earle
Joe Ely
Stevie Wonder
Lou Rawls

E-mail, Feeds, 'n' Stuff

Sunday, April 20, 2008

The Clinton fix is in

Every so often, we get a reminder of the reality of the situation: Hillary's going to steal the nomination.

And lose the election.

Comments (37)

Would anyone expect anything less from the Clintoons..... McCain/Romney 08

I have told my wife (a truly dispirited Hilary supporter) over and over that if Clinton were to be the nominee, of course I would vote for her--no problem. After watching the C-Team in action the last couple months, I have to say darkening the circle for her in November would not be a slam dunk. Of course I would be forced to vote Clinton mainly due to Supreme Court nominations that will be made by next pres.

Maybe I'm missing something, Jack, but I read that article and I don't see how you use it as evidence that Clinton will get the nomination. What did you see in this article that led you there?

The math is very, very much against Clinton, and if she doesn't win Pennsylvania by double digits, it gets even worse.

Maybe this will make you feel better:

"Clinton has been losing potential endorsers and superdelegate backing from grass-roots activists such as Larson and elected officials, party luminaries and former Clinton White House aides (the most recent being former Labor Secretary Robert Reich, who endorsed Obama on Friday). The constituency provided Clinton with an early lead among superdelegates, one she retains although by a narrowing margin."

I think she's very nearly sunk.

Just to throw my two cents in. Washington this year had a very interesting situation where the delegates were selected by caucus but Washington also had a primary popular vote. Even though Washington hasn't officially released the popular vote total it was clear that while Obama won the caucuses by a two to one margin, he lost the popular vote.

In fact sites such as estimate that while Obama is far ahead on delegates he is just about 200,000 votes ahead of Hillary nationwide. We could possibly have a Democratic contest this year where Hillary has the most popular votes but Obama wins the nomination.

Greg C

The last time Hillary was "very nearly sunk" we were treated with the "Miracle" of New Hampshire where a 42-29 Obama edge in the polls vanished during voting only to return later in the exit polls.
New Hampshire was rigged in my opinion and if Hillary should somehow get what she needs from Pennsylvania - if she should somehow win by over 10 points - then I'm going to suspect electronic voting shenanigans there as well.
There's a head-in-the-sand mentality about our voting process, and it's really a serious problem. Florida in 2000 was rigged primarily by taking voters off the rolls, but Ohio in 2004 was done with the machines. Why would you think the dirty elections stuff would stop now that Bush and Cheney have to face returning to being private citizens? They can't afford to have Obama win, and they are no doubt working overtime to prevent it.

The 2008 Election Will Be Stolen, by David Swanson, April 19, 2008.

A new collection of essays edited by Mark Crispin Miller called "Loser Take All: Election Fraud and the Subversion of Democracy, 2000 - 2008," tells the story better than any single source I've seen yet.

The views of Senator John McCain are so far from those of most Americans, that Miller rightly refers to the Republicans as a fringe party. But that fringe party is perfecting election theft.

We appreciate the credit Clinton gives us for her defeat. For his own good, Obama needs to understand that he's next, that those of us who actively represent the 80 percent of the nation opposed to the occupation will direct our activism at him until he agrees to a speedy and complete withdrawal from Iraq. And we will mobilize millions to guarantee a landslide if Obama stands up this week and leads a filibuster of the next $170 billion for the occupation. If he continues to claim that he opposes the occupation while funding it with our grandchildren's borrowed treasure, his criticism of McCain will fall flat. If he continues to speak of reducing the U.S. presence in Iraq to "non-combat troops" while soldiers get their heads blown off deep within the Green Zone, he will lose all credibility. A "non-combat troop" in Iraq is another name for John McCain's fantasy that the Iraqis will someday stop resisting.

If Obama were to quietly allow impeachment hearings on Cheney or Bush to proceed on such subjects as torture and signing statements, he could put McCain on the defensive and force him to defend each crime while promising not to commit it. Impeachment hearings could squeeze out all coverage of nonsense spats and scandals. And if the American public understood that voting for Obama would put Bush and Cheney behind bars, we would see a landslide that could not be denied.

As Hillary knows, you don't need a good credit rating to rob a 7/11. Just do it!

Tenskie speaks the truth. Barack Obama, forget about Billary. It's time to go hard on the offense against the War Party, otherwise known as the G.O.P. Take whatever steps you can in the Senate to cut-off funds to the war. Pledge to withdraw the troops swiftly once you take office. Those simple steps will lock in the nomination, and assure victory.

"Clinton has been losing potential endorsers and superdelegate backing from grass-roots activists such as Larson

What?!?!? Lars Larson is a grass-roots organizer for Hillary Clinton?

Sorry about the noise, my head just exploded....

Why all the angst about who gets the privilege to lose to John McCain? Neither one can win the general election - that is clear. You think Hillary is unpacking Obama's baggage? Just wait until the 'Repugs' get their turn. Gonna be ugly no matter who is facing McCain.

It seems like just yesterday you were predicting great things for Giuliani.

And of course the best part of all this is that most of the American people won't really start thinking about who they are going to vote for until after Labor Day.

Relax people it's still early yet.

Greg C

by May 1st, they'll announce that Obama is the Dem cadidate.

Clinton or Jim Webb will be VP.

Nice try Bill. I never liked Giuliani, and never said anything in support of him. Don't particularly like McCain either. But considering the alternatives.......

Who are Oregon's superdelegates? Did I read that neither former Gov. Barbara Roberts not former Gov. John Kitzhaber are? And according to this article, one Gail Rasmussen (who?) is an undecided Oregon superdelegate? I know I could pay more attention to the Oregon political party politics, but perhaps someone could enlighten me with a list.

Sarah, Gail is an at-large DNC member from Oregon. Bill Bradbury is elected by the other Democratic Secretaries of State to be a DNC member, and therefore an automatic delegate. The others are the Democratic Congresspeople, the Governor and the rest of the DNC delegation, including the DPO Chair and Vice Chair and two elected members. The State Convention will elect one more unpledged delegate, and that has been Governor Roberts in recent times.

Tired, tired, tired. At least Babs Roberts is for Obama.

Yep Sarah, sleepy Ted is in Hillary's camp and is out looking for votes for her. That is why I switched my party from R to D. :-) Nice to see the Dems out throwing away money at each other. It does not get any better when you have James Carville bad mouthing a fellow Dem!

"It seems like just yesterday you were predicting great things for Giuliani."

This is the best chance for a D victory, but replace Giuliani with Bloomberg. If Bloomer runs, we have the 1992 Perot deja vue all over again. Obama (or even Hillary) could beat McCain with only 43%, if Bloomer takes all of Maverick John's Indy vote. 43% D to 41% R to Bloomer's 16%.

Oooh! Scary headline Jack! But no, the sky ain't falling over here in SW PDX.

Her scorched earth approach has done this to her negatives:

Yes, superdels will be paying attention to how she's become the second Queen of Mean. Apologies to the late great Leona Helmsley.

Clinton or Jim Webb will be VP.

Which Clinton?

Clinton or Jim Webb will be VP

Howard Dean may hope that Hillary is the party's #2, but I wouldn't count on it. She's taking this all the way to Denver and then she'll hope Obama goes down in November so she can get the nomination in 2012. I'm with Rush and Sean on that one.

As for Jim Webb, three months ago I would have been all over that. But ever since he chose to cave on telecom immunity, he's a non-starter in my book. Who's the veep then? Try this on...Colin Powell. I know, I know. But I think in his heart he's a good guy who knows he done wrong. What better way to make up for it.

If Hill sticks this out (she will) and takes the nomination (she won't), Denver will become another Chicago and the Democratic party will be finished. Period.

um, just a friendly reminder: Obama needs superdelegates to get the nomination. IN the popular vote, they're separated by less than 1 percent. Obama's name was on the florida ballot, and against party rules, he advertised there, and STILL wouldn't support a revote. And they lying/hypocritical part is that he opposed a ballot by mail initiative in Florida but hey, he sponsored one in the senate. He argued that Florida's mail in vote is too risky, but not one for the rest of the country? This guy is still smokin' weed or something else since his lying and inability to be consistent on anything is showing. So, if anyone steals the nomination, it's OBAMA by disenfranchising voters and intentionally blocking a revote to let them count. If the tables were reversed, and he was loosing by 140 or so delegates, he'd be proslytizing his HOPE against disenfranchisement if Clinton would not allow a recount. You Obama supporters can't help but be in love with your own double standards.

The preceding message by the Republican Party was not paid for.

The difference between Clinton and Obama - socialist versus uber-socialist. I vote for none of the above. It means I'll be voting for McCain, but that is almost the same as none of the above (no I'm not happy about him either).

I'll be voting for "none of the above" as well. And I'm having a great time watching Hillary lose. I'm not sure Obama is electable; the "racist church" issue is just too much of a turnoff for everyone. So that leaves us with McCain, and 4 more years of Republican bullpuckey masquerading as conservatism.

Voting McCain - let's expend our tax dollars for a 100 year occupation - to counter socialism? I guess it's only socialism when you expend tax dollars at home rather than for a futile war?

the "racist church" issue is just too much of a turnoff for everyone

"Everyone" seems a bit broad. At least you're not concerned about Obama being a Muslim. But if you think a candidate's associations with others are important, you might want to learn a little bit about those others (like, for example, Jeremiah Wright) before passing judgment.

you might want to learn a little bit about those others (like, for example, Jeremiah Wright

Whats to learn? He's a hypocrite and a race-baiter for money.

Look again, Jon. He's a Marine, veteran, respected (well, to the extent that's possible in his line of work) professional in the traditiion of American protestantism. Hypocrites and race-baiters? Try Falwell, Robertson, Hagee.

Try this on...Colin Powell. I know, I know. But I think in his heart he's a good guy who knows he done wrong. What better way to make up for it.

actually, that just might happen. i wonder if Middle America could handle a ticket with two African Americans, though.

i think Clinton because she's got too much of the popular vote. she pulls in people Obama doesn't, she's white, she's female.

There's only one thing one needs to understand about Clinton: it only helps her for the democrats to win if she's the nominee.

We're doomed.

Look again, Jon. He's a Marine, veteran, respected (well, to the extent that's possible in his line of work) professional in the traditiion of American protestantism. Hypocrites and race-baiters? Try Falwell, Robertson, Hagee.

Who gives a crap if he was a marine or veteran? Does that mean he cant be a bigot? I respect and thank him for his service, but that doesnt mean what he is saying and doing today is automatically forgiven.
And yes, all those listed are hypocrites and race-baiters as well..whats your point? Are you trying to excuse Wright by pointing to other idiots? That doesnt really help us.

I read that article and I don't see how you use it as evidence that Clinton will get the nomination. What did you see in this article that led you there?

Try the headline.

Undecided superdelegates don't feel bound by primaries

I see that to mean it doesnt matter what the primary numbers say, the superdelegates will vote for Clinton no matter what.

Are you trying to excuse Wright by pointing to other idiots?

No. I'm saying they are, but he's not.


As a lawyer/blogger, I get
to be a member of:

In Vino Veritas

Kendall-Jackson, Pinot Noir, California 2013
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Napa Valley 2013
Erath, Pinot Noir, Estate Selection 2012
Abbot's Table, Columbia Valley 2014
Intrinsic, Cabernet 2014
Oyster Bay, Pinot Noir 2010
Occhipinti, SP68 Bianco 2014
Layer Cake, Shiraz 2013
Desert Wind, Ruah 2011
WillaKenzie, Pinot Gris 2014
Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2013
Des Amis, Rose 2014
Dunham, Trautina 2012
RoxyAnn, Claret 2012
Del Ri, Claret 2012
Stoppa, Emilia, Red 2004
Primarius, Pinot Noir 2013
Domaines Bunan, Bandol Rose 2015
Albero, Bobal Rose 2015
Deer Creek, Pinot Gris 2015
Beaulieu, Rutherford Cabernet 2013
Archery Summit, Vireton Pinot Gris 2014
King Estate, Pinot Gris, Backbone 2014
Oberon, Napa Cabernet 2013
Apaltagua, Envero Carmenere Gran Reserva 2013
Chateau des Arnauds, Cuvee des Capucins 2012
Nine Hats, Red 2013
Benziger, Cabernet, Sonoma 2012
Roxy Ann, Claret 2012
Januik, Merlot 2012
Conundrum, White 2013
St. Francis, Sonoma Cabernet 2012
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2012
Decoy, Cabernet, Sonoma 2013
Marqués de Murrieta, Reserva Rioja 2010
Kendall-Jackson, Grand Reserve Cabernet 2009
Seven Hills, Merlot 2013
Los Vascos, Grande Reserve Cabernet 2011
Abbot's Table, Columbia Valley 2014
Forlorn Hope, St. Laurent, Ost-Intrigen 2013
Upper Five, Tempranillo 2010 and 2012
The Four Graces, Pinot Gris 2015
Topsail, Syrah 2013
Jim Barry, The Lodge Hill Shiraz 2013
Robert Mondavi, Cabernet, Napa Valley 2012
Adelsheim, Pinot Gris 2014
Boomtown, Cabernet 2013
Boulay, Sauvignon Blanc 2014
Domaine de Durban Muscat 2011
Patricia Green, Estate Pinot Noir 2012
Crios, Cabernet, Mendoza 2011
WillaKenzie, Pinot Gris 2014
Dehesa la Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #15
Selvapiana, Chianti Ruffina 2012
Joseph Carr, Cabernet 2012
Prendo, Pinot Grigio, Vigneti Delle Dolomiti 2014
Joel Gott, Oregon Pinot Gris 2014
Otazu, Red 2010
Chehalem, Pinot Gris, Three Vineyards 2013
Wente, Merlot, Sandstone 2011
Abacela, Fiesta Tempranillo 2012
Monmousseau, Vouvray 2014
Duriguttti, Malbec 2013
Ruby, Pinot Noir 2012
Castellare, Chianti 2013
Lugana, San Benedetto 2013
Canoe Ridge, Cabernet, Horse Heaven Hills 2011
Arcangelo, Negroamaro Rosato
Vale do Bomfim, Douro 2012
Portuga, Branco 2013
Taylor Fladgate, Late Bottled Vintage Porto 2009
Pete's Mountain, Pinot Noir, Kristina's Reserve 2010
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2012
Bookwalter, Subplot No. 28, 2012
Coppola, Sofia, Rose 2014
Kirkland, Napa Cabernet 2012
Trader Joe's Grand Reserve, Napa Meritage 2011
Kramer, Chardonnay Estate 2012
Forlorn Hope, Que Saudade 2013
Ramos, Premium Tinto, Alentejano 2012
Trader Joe's Grand Reserve, Rutherford Cabernet 2012
Bottego Vinaia, Pinot Grigio Trentino 2013
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2011
Pete's Mountain, Elijah's Reserve Cabernet, 2007
Beaulieu, George Latour Cabernet 1998
Januik, Merlot 2011
Torricino, Campania Falanghina 2013
Edmunds St. John, Heart of Gold 2012
Chloe, Pinot Grigio, Valdadige 2013
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Gamay Noir 2013
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio, Friuli 2013
St. Francis, Red Splash 2011
Rodney Strong, Canernet, Alexander Valley 2011
Erath, Pinot Blanc 2013
Taylor Fladgate, Porto 2007
Portuga, Rose 2013
Domaine Digioia-Royer, Chambolle-Musigny, Vielles Vignes Les Premieres 2008
Locations, F Red Blend
El Perro Verde, Rueda 2013
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red 2010
Chloe, Pinot Grigio, Valdadige 2013
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly Gamay Noir 2013
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio, Friuli 2013
St. Francis, Red Splash 2011
Rodney Strong, Canernet, Alexander Valley 2011
Erath, Pinot Blanc 2013
Taylor Fladgate, Porto 2007
Portuga, Rose 2013

The Occasional Book

Ruth Sepetys - Between Shades of Gray
Richard Adams - Watership Down
Claire Vaye Watkins - Gold Fame Citrus
Markus Zusak - I am the Messenger
Anthony Doerr - All the Light We Cannot See
James Joyce - Dubliners
Cheryl Strayed - Torch
William Golding - Lord of the Flies
Saul Bellow - Mister Sammler's Planet
Phil Stanford - White House Call Girl
John Kaplan & Jon R. Waltz - The Trial of Jack Ruby
Kent Haruf - Eventide
David Halberstam - Summer of '49
Norman Mailer - The Naked and the Dead
Maria Dermoȗt - The Ten Thousand Things
William Faulkner - As I Lay Dying
Markus Zusak - The Book Thief
Christopher Buckley - Thank You for Smoking
William Shakespeare - Othello
Joseph Conrad - Heart of Darkness
Bill Bryson - A Short History of Nearly Everything
Cheryl Strayed - Tiny Beautiful Things
Sara Varon - Bake Sale
Stephen King - 11/22/63
Paul Goldstein - Errors and Omissions
Mark Twain - A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
Steve Martin - Born Standing Up: A Comic's Life
Beverly Cleary - A Girl from Yamhill, a Memoir
Kent Haruf - Plainsong
Hope Larson - A Wrinkle in Time, the Graphic Novel
Rudyard Kipling - Kim
Peter Ames Carlin - Bruce
Fran Cannon Slayton - When the Whistle Blows
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 144
At this date last year: 203
Total run in 2015: 271
In 2014: 401
In 2013: 257
In 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269

Clicky Web Analytics