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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 20, 2007 12:40 AM. The previous post in this blog was Both teams played hard. The next post in this blog is Slam dunk. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Thursday, December 20, 2007

Every 'dog has his weekend

As noted here earlier, we finally picked a winner in the pro football underdog pool last weekend. We went with our gut instinct -- Carolina over Seattle -- and we were right. We even got to catch the end of the game on the tube and whoop it up a little, which is what the pool was supposed to be about.

We're waaaaaaay out of the money, but happily we've stopped our descent into the cellar of the standings. And who knows? Maybe we can sneak up a few more notches this weekend. See any underdogs on this list (in caps) who can win their game outright? The number to the left of each game is how many points I'll score if I pick that 'dog and it wins:

22 MIAMI at New England
13 OAKLAND at Jacksonville
10.5 CAROLINA vs. Dallas (Saturday)
10 ATLANTA at Arizona
9 CHICAGO vs. Green Bay
8.5 NEW YORK JETS at Tennessee
8.5 DENVER at San Diego
7.5 ST. LOUIS vs. Pittsburgh (Thursday)
7 HOUSTON at Indianapolis
7 SAN FRANCISCO vs. Tampa Bay
6.5 WASHINGTON at Minnesota
5 KANSAS CITY vs. Detroit
3 CINCINNATI vs. Cleveland
3 BUFFALO vs. New York Giants
3 PHILADELPHIA at New Orleans

Anybody else think the 'Skins look good for Sunday night? Can KC win at home against Motown, with both teams playing for next year? How about the Rams getting it done at home against a strong but fading Pittsburgh? If that last one looks good to you, better speak up quick: Kickoff is at 5 this afternoon.

I'm thinking even Houston has a shot. Indy's a lock in the playoffs already, and the Colts might phone this one in. Anyway, readers, as usual I'm all ears.

Posted at 12:40 AM | Bookmark and Share

Comments (8)

Hey Jack,

Any reason for not listing the Ravens-Seahawks game? I know they've lost 8 games in a row, but it seems unfair to pretend that the Ravens don't even exist. Although they are unlikely to be a victorious underdog this weekend, the Ravens do play Seattle on Sunday.

Let's put this in financial terms...

Aggressive risk: OAKLAND at Jacksonville.
Moderate risk: SF over Tampa Bay
Conservative: BUFFALO over Giants

Seattle/Baltimore is OFF THE BOARD. Maybe too many questions about who is actually going to start for the Ravens. Or Seattle, for that matter. They have won the division, but don't get a bye - so they could easily skate a week or two to rest players intermittently. About the best explanation I can come up with.

The Baltimore-Seattle game does not appear in the pool I play in. Not sure why that is. Usually a game is held for uncertainty about a key player's ability to play, or the fact that the oddsmakers can't pick a favorite.

Now that we know Troy Smith is starting QB for the Ravens, odds on that game will be up shortly.

Potentially amusing antecdote. Jack, I was at dinner the other week and realized you were at the table next to me. With some of your work cohorts I think. I mentioned to my wife who you were, and that I read your blog, etc. She asked why I didn't say Hi.

"Because I've been feeding him lousy NFL picks all season long!"

So here's another to continue tradition: Houston (playing for nothing) over Indy (playing for nothing but resting starters).

You should have said hello. Of all the commenters here, your NFL picks have actually been among the more helpful.

I would have offered to buy you an "Aviation cocktail." Those things are wicked good.

Late update:

10.5 BALTIMORE at Seattle

Pick Carolina over Dallas! Check out this site-

http://www.ruinromo.com/

Either Carolina or Chicago. My perennial picks, I think. Maybe Favre will do what Grossman did last year: "well, it was the last game of the season ... we're already in the playoffs ... it's holiday time."

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In Vino Veritas

Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
David Hill, Estate Pinot Noir, Barrel Select 2006
Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
Magnificent, Cabernet, Steak House 2008
Conundrum 2008
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
La Granja, Tempranillo 360, 2008
Santa Rita, Mendalla Real Cabernet 2006
Columbia Crest, Grand Estates Merlot 2006
Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Collegiata, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo
Troon, Druid's Fluid 2008
La Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Monte Antico, Toscana 2006
Vieux Papes, Blanc de Blancs
Beaulieu, Georges De Latour Cabernet 1995
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, La Paulée, 2006
Woodbridge, Chardonnay
Paranga, Kir-Yianni 2005
L. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Rose 2007
Newman's Own, Cabernet 2007
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Columbia Valley Merlot 2005
Monte Antico, Toscana Red 2006
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Vins Auvigne, Macon-Fuisse 2007
Vina Gormaz, Tempranillo 2007
Chandon, Brut Classic
Dom Martinho, Tinto 2005
Chateau St. Jean, Cabernet, California 2007
Kirkland, Napa Cabernet 2007
Revelry, The Reveler, 2007
Joseph Drouhin, Chablis 2006
Altos Las Hormigas, Mendoza Malbec 2008
Alodio, Ribeira Sacra Mencia 2007
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2008
Kiona, Lemberger 2006
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Columbia Valley Merlot 2005
Gloria Ferrer, Sonoma Brut
Kirkland, Napa Valley Meritage 2006
Abacela, Tempranillo 2006
Woodward Canyon, Columbia Valley Red
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2007
Mas Donis Barrica, Celler de Capcanes Red, 2005
Three Rivers, Merlot 2006
Raptor Ridge, Pinot Gris 2008
Lezaun, Rosado, Navarra
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Hedges, Three Vineyards, Red Mountain 2005
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Vega Sindoa, Cabernet-Tempranillo 2006
Inama, Soave Classico 2007
Alois Lageder, Lagrein Rosato 2008
Broglia, Gavi 2007
Marqués de Cáceres, Rioja Rose 2008
Spaltagna, Riserva Pinot Noir 2008
Portuga, Rose 2008
Warre's Warrior Port
Lange, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Guiraud, Le G, 2007
Falset, Garnacha Rose, Montsant 2006
Castello di Bossi, Chianti Classico 2004
Domaine Chandon, Pinot Noir, La Riviere Sonoma 2006
Brazin, Old Vine Zinfandel, Lodi 2006
B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2006
Casillero del Diablo, Cabernet 2007
Gentil Hugel, Alsace 2006
Mesoneros de Castilla, Ribero del Duero, Rosado 2008
Cor, Momentum 2007
Santa Margherita, Pinot Grigio 2006
Rubico, Lacrima di Morro d'Alba 2007
Gilstrap Brothers, Reserve Merlot 2003
Conundrum 2007
Chandler Reach, 36 Red
Santa Rita, Reserve Cabernet 2005
Marietta, Old Vine Red Lot 47
L'Ecole No. 41, Recess Red 2006
Dom Martinho, Red 2004
Beaulieu, Georges Latour 1994
Caymus, Cabernet 1995
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2005
Bergevin Lane, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2005
Savigny-les-Beaune, Les Lavieres 2003
David Hill, Reserve Merlot, Rogue Valley 2006
Educated Guess, Cabernet 2006
Maquis Lien, Red 2005
Charles Smith, Kung Fu Girl Riesling 2007
David Hill, Farmhouse White
Robert Mondavi Solaire, Cabernet 2005
Castello Monaci, Liante, Salice Salentino 2006
Ricardo Santos, Malbec 2006
Quinta da Espiga, Tinto 2006
Charles Smith, Holy Cow Merlot 2006
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King Estate, Pinot Gris 2007
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Silkwood, Red Duet Cabernet-Syrah 2004
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Osborne, Solaz 2004
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Reserva 2005
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill, Shiraz Cabernet 2006
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Hannah Nicole, Red 2004
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2005
Protocolo, Red 2005
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2006
Portuga, Vinho Branco 2006
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
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B.R. Cohn, Silver Label Cabernet 2005

The Occasional Book

Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 0
At this date last year: 0
Total run in 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
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