This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on August 23, 2006 12:38 AM.
The previous post in this blog was Zoobomb casualty.
The next post in this blog is The Bush military "draft".
Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.
It must be because Randy Gragg is back. The O is losing touch with reality again.
First there was the story the other day that said that the Saturday Market vendors are fine with being ousted from under the Burnside Bridge, so long as the move isn't too far. Commenters here who identified themselves as vendors take issue with that.
Today we're being told (scrolll down) that a City Council vote against the Goose Hollow condo scam would be perceived by people like Tim Boyle of Columbia Sportswear as "anti-business":
This week will tell us a little more about what kind of Portland this City Council wants. The council is expected to cast up-or-down votes on the future of Linnton's riverfront and a Goose Hollow condo tower.
In Linnton, it's a battle for 36 riverfront acres. Neighbors, led by Pat Wagner, want housing. Industrial businesses want, well, industry to remain.
In Goose Hollow, developer Paul Krueger is taking creativity to new heights. He wants to transfer unused development rights above a Lloyd District building to build an even taller condo tower at 1715 S.W. Salmon St. Neighbors are split on the idea. Which way council members side will show how they feel about the still super-charged condo construction.
Depending how they fall, the votes may also give more yarn to Tim Boyle and the "Portland is anti-business" crowd.
On the Goose Hollow deal, the reporter's got it bass ackwards. There's a difference between condo monkey business and real business. Giving away still more of Portland's money and character to unscrupulous developers is about as "anti-business" as you can get. If Portland would stop the freebies for the real estate sharpies and start using its resources to support (or at least stop hassling) real businesses like Columbia Sportswear, I'm sure the Tim Boyles of the world would applaud.
Comments (1)
Jack, just look at the Winkler deal in that same article:
The Oregonian The city is close to a deal with developer Jim Winkler to turn a grassy lot at Killingsworth Street into four stories of 51 condos.
The Oregonian Winkler's deal would require $4 million in city money
The Oregonian The prices will bottom out at $145,000 for a one bedroom and top out at $368,000. JK: Suppose one-half of the units are $145k and the rest are market rate. Then the math is $4 mil/25 or $160k each. Well, well, that is more than the selling price of the low priced units. Looks like Winkler expects the city to foot the whole cost of these units, then sell them for a tidy $145k each. (looks, to me, to be a very good payoff for his campaign donations to the city council.)
One other little detail: its on the MAX line therefore it is eligible for the TOD property tax exemption. So we are paying $4,000,000 to build a tax exempt project. Another good reason to sunset the PDC.
I'm sure the PDC and the planning zealots consider this a low price to pay for density. Hey all you lovers of density out there: here is yet another example of how much money we have to take from schools, police and fire department to pay for you dream world high density city.
Thanks
JK
Posted by: jim karlock at August 23, 2006 07:09 AM
You are right on target with you comments again Jack. I know the tipping point with the business community is the Linnton decision,
"Linnton conflict goes to council
‘Village’ fans expected to pack hearing on plan to change zoning
By Jim Redden
The Portland Tribune Jul 17, 2006
The emotion-charged debate over the future of North Portland’s Linnton neighborhood moves to the City Council on Wednesday with a rare evening hearing on whether to allow a mixed-use development to be built along the west bank of the Willamette River near fuel transportation and storage facilities
………….
Two local developers also are interested in the outcome. Homer Williams, the driving force behind the Pearl District and South Waterfront, has announced he will build a mixed-use development on the site if the council changes the comprehensive plan and underlying zoning. Developer John Beardsley hopes to build an alternative fuel processing plant on the site if the council retains the industrial zoning.
AND SURPRISE SURPRISE whose name pops out in the article, but the same cast of characters.
This is issue that most business people feel will tell whether Portland is a lost cause to condo mania. Building the infrastructure to bridge the massive underground gas pipelines, and clean up the area will make SoWhat look like a cake walk.
That is not to say the the folks in Linnton haven't been worked over by the system and don't deserve better. When the Highway was expanded it cut out the heart of their community. They should be compensated somehow or relocated.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 08:27 AM
At a presentation to the East Portland Chamber of Commerce a representative of PDC stated that, in their view, affordable housing development IS economic development.
My question: What housing is affordable without a job?
Posted by: Dave Lister at August 23, 2006 08:29 AM
In all fairness some of this makes sense, after all all of the aging boomers, won't be able to mow thier lawns and many want to downsize and travel, if thier pensions don't disappear like the United Airlines Pilots or US Steel workers.
I wonder how much of the public pension funds are in REITs and the Utilities which used to be the "widows and orphans" mainstay of long term investment have been pillaged, that are supporting this "retirement class" and I too wonder what will happen when as Dave says, no one has a job.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 09:02 AM
John Capradoe:
"I wonder how much of the public pension funds are in REITs and the Utilities which used to be the "widows and orphans" mainstay of long term investment have been pillaged, that are supporting this "retirement class..."
Could you please clarify? Im kinda confused on this statement (I will admit, im not the brightest bulb in the lamp)
thanks
As a private citizen, I can see why people may wish to live in in a high density, mixed use area, and have no problemw ith a city or local governemnt zoning to promote that kind of devlopment.
But I am not sure I understand why that government should be using public funds to subsidize for-profit real estate developments.
Planning and zoning are one thing, and I respect in concept Portland's attempts to keep its downtown vital by making sure there are enough residents nearby to support all the business there, but even someone like myself who has "drunk the koolaid" questions using public funds to basically pump up the profit margins for condo developers.
Posted by: atlanta scott at August 23, 2006 12:58 PM
No Problem gl, I explain but first I want to say Atlanta Scott, BINGO.
REIT stands for Real Estate Investment Trust, when stocks were not doing so well these REIT's were formed where things like condo's and other real estate is bought in hot areas and the capital grows in value, just like stock, and it is purchased in lieu of stock by many managed funds. The "risk" is spread out by the trust usually by investing in diverse areas. One of the more visible PERS backed real estate deals about 10 or 15 years ago I think now was when the pension fund backed the commercial development of an airline repair hanger at PDX. It went defunct, and PERS lost the money it had invested.
On the "Widows and Orphans" Stock I am dating myself but before the Enron's of the world successfully conned and bribed thier way to deregulation, we had a system of regulation that had been in place since the last generation of Robber Barons who controled or monpolized energy in the early 20th century. This reform led to strickly controlled utilities, before the days of collecting profits and calling them taxes, where the best and brightest served on oversight boards and actually could do the math and determine how much it should cost to operate, and so the private utilites did so with a guarenteed profit of around 6%, hence thier stock was not very sexy, but stable and since everyone uses power, and we tend use more every year, it was the investment of choice for trustees of those retirees, widows, and orphans who got a little more return than T-bills or bond, a secure assets, and liquidity.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 06:34 PM
John,
Im an Investment Banker, so Im familiar with REITS and "Widow and Orphan" stocks.
I was confused as to the pillaging of the REITS and Stocks, Both traded in capital markets which makes the pillaging null.
I think what you may be trying to describe is more along the lines of a private placement for PERS. The private placements that PERS suscribes to will operate in an entirely different arena then a conventional REIT.
The concern I had that like the dot.coms and Utility Stocks, REIT's with the run up in real estate prices may not be as safe as once thought. I worry about the viability or sustainability of the Cities. I wonder why we have to both subsidize these Condos developments and tax abate them. You obviously have a more grounded financial background, with the Automotive industry floundering, not only the Enrons but utilities like Montana Power pilaged. Many moons ago I started out in the Automotive industry, and its massive vertical integration, particularly the almost monopolistic grip GM had on the American Car Market prior to the first Arab Oil Embargo. To keep profits up they internationalized, their parts supply and much of that vertical integration so that the innovation in the supply chain became foreign. Then when enough of the components became foreign, so did the automobiles in the 80's.
The "retirement" industry supporting our Condo Citise is only as good as the pension funds from business, and CalPERS, and the Chinese purchase of our T-bills as best I can tell.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 24, 2006 01:31 AM
Charamba, Douro 2008
Horse Heaven Hills, Cabernet 2010
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills Pinot Grigio 2011
Avignonesi, Montepulciano 2004
Lorelle, Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2011
Villa Antinori, Toscana 2007
Mercedes Eguren, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Lorelle, Columbia Valley Cabernet 2011
Purple Moon, Merlot 2011
Purple Moon, Chardonnnay 2011
Abacela, Vintner's Blend No. 12
Opula Red Blend 2010
Liberte, Pinot Noir 2010
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Indian Wells Red Blend 2010
Woodbridge, Chardonnay 2011
King Estate, Pinot Noir 2011
Famille Perrin, Cotes du Rhone Villages 2010
Columbia Crest, Les Chevaux Red 2010
14 Hands, Hot to Trot White Blend
Familia Bianchi, Malbec 2009
Terrapin Cellars, Pinot Gris 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2009
Campo Viejo, Rioja, Termpranillo 2010
Ravenswood, Cabernet Sauvignon 2009
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2010
Waterbrook, Reserve Merlot 2009
Lorelle, Horse Heaven Hills, Pinot Grigio 2011
Tarantas, Rose
Chateau Lajarre, Bordeaux 2009
La Vielle Ferme, Rose 2011
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio 2011
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir 2009
Lello, Douro Tinto 2009
Quinson Fils, Cotes de Provence Rose 2011
Anindor, Pinot Gris 2010
Buenas Ondas, Syrah Rose 2010
Les Fiefs d'Anglars, Malbec 2009
14 Hands, Pinot Gris 2011
Conundrum 2012
Condes de Albarei, Albariño 2011
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2007
Penelope Sanchez, Garnacha Syrah 2010
Canoe Ridge, Merlot 2007
Atalaya do Mar, Godello 2010
Vega Montan, Mencia
Benvolio, Pinot Grigio
Nobilo Icon, Pinot Noir, Marlborough 2009
Portuga, Rose 2011
Revelation, Chardonnay, Pays d'Oc 2010
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 2005
Monte Alto, Tinto Reserva 2005
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Cabernet, Indian Wells 2009
Espiral, Vinho Rose
Vin-Koru, Pinot Gris 2011
14 Hands, Hot to Trot Red 2009
Rodney Strong, Cabernet, Sonoma 2009
Abacela, Vintner's Blend #11
Portuga, White 2010
La Bourgeoisie, Red 2009
Januik, Red 2009
Three Rivers, River's Red 2008
Kirkland, Alexander Valley Merlot 2008
Muga, Rioja Rose 2010
Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
The Occasional Book
Neil Young - Waging Heavy Peace
Mark Bego - Aretha Franklin, the Queen of Soul (2012 ed.)
Jenny Lawson - Let's Pretend This Never Happened
J.D. Salinger - Franny and Zooey
Charles Dickens - A Christmas Carol
Timothy Egan - The Big Burn
Deborah Eisenberg - Transactions in a Foreign Currency
Kurt Vonnegut Jr. - Slaughterhouse Five
Kathryn Lance - Pandora's Genes
Cheryl Strayed - Wild
Fyodor Dostoyevsky - The Brothers Karamazov
Jack London - The House of Pride, and Other Tales of Hawaii
Jack Walker - The Extraordinary Rendition of Vincent Dellamaria
Colum McCann - Let the Great World Spin
Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt
Road Work
Miles run year to date: 21
At this date last year: 52
Total run in 2012: 129
In 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Comments (1)
Jack, just look at the Winkler deal in that same article:
The Oregonian The city is close to a deal with developer Jim Winkler to turn a grassy lot at Killingsworth Street into four stories of 51 condos.
The Oregonian Winkler's deal would require $4 million in city money
JK: OK, its arithmetic time: $4,000,000 / 51 = $78,431 each.
The Oregonian The prices will bottom out at $145,000 for a one bedroom and top out at $368,000.
JK: Suppose one-half of the units are $145k and the rest are market rate. Then the math is $4 mil/25 or $160k each. Well, well, that is more than the selling price of the low priced units. Looks like Winkler expects the city to foot the whole cost of these units, then sell them for a tidy $145k each. (looks, to me, to be a very good payoff for his campaign donations to the city council.)
One other little detail: its on the MAX line therefore it is eligible for the TOD property tax exemption. So we are paying $4,000,000 to build a tax exempt project. Another good reason to sunset the PDC.
I'm sure the PDC and the planning zealots consider this a low price to pay for density. Hey all you lovers of density out there: here is yet another example of how much money we have to take from schools, police and fire department to pay for you dream world high density city.
Thanks
Posted by: jim karlock at August 23, 2006 07:09 AMJK
You are right on target with you comments again Jack. I know the tipping point with the business community is the Linnton decision,
"Linnton conflict goes to council
‘Village’ fans expected to pack hearing on plan to change zoning
By Jim Redden
The Portland Tribune Jul 17, 2006
The emotion-charged debate over the future of North Portland’s Linnton neighborhood moves to the City Council on Wednesday with a rare evening hearing on whether to allow a mixed-use development to be built along the west bank of the Willamette River near fuel transportation and storage facilities
………….
Two local developers also are interested in the outcome. Homer Williams, the driving force behind the Pearl District and South Waterfront, has announced he will build a mixed-use development on the site if the council changes the comprehensive plan and underlying zoning. Developer John Beardsley hopes to build an alternative fuel processing plant on the site if the council retains the industrial zoning.
http://www.portlandtribune.com/news/story.php?story_id=115319107906727700
AND SURPRISE SURPRISE whose name pops out in the article, but the same cast of characters.
This is issue that most business people feel will tell whether Portland is a lost cause to condo mania. Building the infrastructure to bridge the massive underground gas pipelines, and clean up the area will make SoWhat look like a cake walk.
That is not to say the the folks in Linnton haven't been worked over by the system and don't deserve better. When the Highway was expanded it cut out the heart of their community. They should be compensated somehow or relocated.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 08:27 AMAt a presentation to the East Portland Chamber of Commerce a representative of PDC stated that, in their view, affordable housing development IS economic development.
My question: What housing is affordable without a job?
Posted by: Dave Lister at August 23, 2006 08:29 AMIn all fairness some of this makes sense, after all all of the aging boomers, won't be able to mow thier lawns and many want to downsize and travel, if thier pensions don't disappear like the United Airlines Pilots or US Steel workers.
I wonder how much of the public pension funds are in REITs and the Utilities which used to be the "widows and orphans" mainstay of long term investment have been pillaged, that are supporting this "retirement class" and I too wonder what will happen when as Dave says, no one has a job.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 09:02 AMJohn Capradoe:
"I wonder how much of the public pension funds are in REITs and the Utilities which used to be the "widows and orphans" mainstay of long term investment have been pillaged, that are supporting this "retirement class..."
Could you please clarify? Im kinda confused on this statement (I will admit, im not the brightest bulb in the lamp)
Posted by: gl at August 23, 2006 11:38 AMthanks
As a private citizen, I can see why people may wish to live in in a high density, mixed use area, and have no problemw ith a city or local governemnt zoning to promote that kind of devlopment.
But I am not sure I understand why that government should be using public funds to subsidize for-profit real estate developments.
Planning and zoning are one thing, and I respect in concept Portland's attempts to keep its downtown vital by making sure there are enough residents nearby to support all the business there, but even someone like myself who has "drunk the koolaid" questions using public funds to basically pump up the profit margins for condo developers.
Posted by: atlanta scott at August 23, 2006 12:58 PMNo Problem gl, I explain but first I want to say Atlanta Scott, BINGO.
REIT stands for Real Estate Investment Trust, when stocks were not doing so well these REIT's were formed where things like condo's and other real estate is bought in hot areas and the capital grows in value, just like stock, and it is purchased in lieu of stock by many managed funds. The "risk" is spread out by the trust usually by investing in diverse areas. One of the more visible PERS backed real estate deals about 10 or 15 years ago I think now was when the pension fund backed the commercial development of an airline repair hanger at PDX. It went defunct, and PERS lost the money it had invested.
On the "Widows and Orphans" Stock I am dating myself but before the Enron's of the world successfully conned and bribed thier way to deregulation, we had a system of regulation that had been in place since the last generation of Robber Barons who controled or monpolized energy in the early 20th century. This reform led to strickly controlled utilities, before the days of collecting profits and calling them taxes, where the best and brightest served on oversight boards and actually could do the math and determine how much it should cost to operate, and so the private utilites did so with a guarenteed profit of around 6%, hence thier stock was not very sexy, but stable and since everyone uses power, and we tend use more every year, it was the investment of choice for trustees of those retirees, widows, and orphans who got a little more return than T-bills or bond, a secure assets, and liquidity.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 23, 2006 06:34 PMJohn,
Im an Investment Banker, so Im familiar with REITS and "Widow and Orphan" stocks.
I was confused as to the pillaging of the REITS and Stocks, Both traded in capital markets which makes the pillaging null.
Posted by: gl at August 23, 2006 11:37 PMI think what you may be trying to describe is more along the lines of a private placement for PERS. The private placements that PERS suscribes to will operate in an entirely different arena then a conventional REIT.
gl,
The concern I had that like the dot.coms and Utility Stocks, REIT's with the run up in real estate prices may not be as safe as once thought. I worry about the viability or sustainability of the Cities. I wonder why we have to both subsidize these Condos developments and tax abate them. You obviously have a more grounded financial background, with the Automotive industry floundering, not only the Enrons but utilities like Montana Power pilaged. Many moons ago I started out in the Automotive industry, and its massive vertical integration, particularly the almost monopolistic grip GM had on the American Car Market prior to the first Arab Oil Embargo. To keep profits up they internationalized, their parts supply and much of that vertical integration so that the innovation in the supply chain became foreign. Then when enough of the components became foreign, so did the automobiles in the 80's.
The "retirement" industry supporting our Condo Citise is only as good as the pension funds from business, and CalPERS, and the Chinese purchase of our T-bills as best I can tell.
Posted by: John Capradoe at August 24, 2006 01:31 AM[Posted as indicated; restored later.]
Posted by Blog restoration | August 14, 2007 12:25 PM